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報告_MS_OCP峰會2026_20261013

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M Update October 13, 2026 04:27 PM GMT

Greater China Semiconductors | Global

OCP kick off - Optical, Packaging, Memory and Power in focus

Al infrastructure innovation is shifting toward rack-level cooptimization, creating opportunities in optical interconnects, advanced packaging, memory architectures, and power delivery as agentic Al drives inference demand

Key Takeaways

  • Optical interconnect: CPO is moving toward rack-scale scale-up, while pluggables retain a scale-out advantage.
  • Custom ASICs and packaging: MediaTek sees 3.5D gaining traction as 2.5D approaches physical limits
  • Memory architecture: SK hynix targets inference capacity and KV-cache bottlenecks through MARS arid HBF.
  • Power and cooling: Racks above 200kW accelerate 800V DC, vertical power delivery and liquid cooling.

CPO: Optical scale-up is getting closer to reality. A 64- PU CPO-enabled compute-rack demonstration highlighted the potential for direct optical links between accelerators. As 200G/lane electrical channels approach physical limitations, optical scale-up will become more important, particularly for customized PUs. However, pluggagle optics should retain scale-out volume leadership given advantages in serviceability and cost. Packaging yield, fiber alignment, and reliability remain key commercialization challenges.

Advanced packaging: Moving eyond 2.5D. MediaTek highlighted custom ASIC designs approaching 10x reticle size, arguing that 3.5D integration could deliver approximately 10x better die-to-die energy efficiency versus conventional 2.5D interconnects. Management expects increasing adoption over the next 3-5 years. MediaTek also emphasized custom HBM, proprietary die-to-die interconnects, and DTCO optimization. We see structural opportunities for advanced packaging and custom ASIC design services as system complexity increases (link).

Memory: Capacity matters alongside andwidth. SK hynix introduced its MARS disaggregated memory architecture, demonstrating a 3-5x improvement in time-tofirst-token through shared KV-cache access versus recomputation. Meanwhile, HBF targets approximately half of HBM bandwidth but 14x higher capacity, with samples expected in early 2028. Inference workloads will increasingly require heterogeneous memory architectures encompassing HBM, DRAM, and NAND, potentially expanding memory content beyond traditional GPU-attached HBM (link).

Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited+
Daniel Yen, CFA Equity Analyst Dani l.Y n@morganstanl y.com +886 2 2730-2863
Charlie Chan Equity Analyst Charli .Chan@morganstanl y.com +886 2 2730-1725
Morgan Stanley Asia Limited+ Daisy Dai, CFA Equity Analyst Daisy.Dai@morganstanl y.com +852 2848-7310
Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited+ Lucas Wang Equity Analyst Lucas.Wang@morganstanl y.com +886 2 2730-2875
Morgan Stanley Asia Limited+ Henry Zhao Equity Analyst H nry.Zhao@morganstanl y.com +852
Ethan Jia R s arch Associat Ethan.Jia@morganstanl y.com 2239-7731 +852 3963-2287

Greater China Technology Semiconductors

Asia Pacific

Industry View Attractive

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M Update

Power and thermal: The next system-level constraints. Demonstrations of 6kwclass double-sided cold plates vertical power delivery, and advanced microchannel cooling highlighted intensifying thermal challenges. The transition toward 800V DC should reduce conversion losses and improve power density. Meanwhile, AMD's Helion agentic Al rack architecture reinforces incremental CPU demand alongside GPU infrastructure. Power delivery, advanced cooling, and system integration capabilities to become increasingly important differentiators.

M Update

INDUSTRY COVERAGE: Greater China Technology Semiconductor

Company (Ticker) Rating (As Of) Price* (10/13/2026)
Charlie Chan
Advan ed Wireless Semi ondu tor Co (8086.TWO) U (07/14/2025) NT$140.00
Al hip Te hnologies Ltd (3661.TW) O (05/14/2021) NT$4,055.00

M Update M Update Stock Ratings ar subj ct to chang . Pl as s lat st r s arch for ach company.

ASE Te hnology Holding Co. Ltd. (3711.TW) O (09/15/2024) NT$740.00
Cambri on Te hnology Corporation (688256.SS) O (04/27/2026) Rmb976.49
CXMT Corp (688825.SS) O (08/26/2026) Rmb46.99
Global Uni hip Corp (3443.TW) O (06/24/2026) NT$8,095.00
GlobalWafers Co Ltd (6488.TWO) E (05/19/2026) NT$1,015.00
Gudeng Pre ision (3680.TWO) O (11/25/2025) NT$553.00
Hua Hong Semi ondu tor Ltd (1347.HK) E (03/12/2026) HK$85.10
Iluvatar CoreX Semi ondu tor Co., Ltd. (9903.HK) O (04/27/2026) HK$84.90
MediaTek (2454.TW) O (11/28/2025) NT$4,525.00
MetaX Integrated Cir uits (688802.SS) E (04/27/2026) Rmb436.90
Nanya Te hnology Corp. (2408.TW) O (05/28/2026) NT$488.00
OmniVision Integrated Cir uits Group In (603501.SS) E (11/17/2025) Rmb75.96
Phison Ele troni s Corp (8299.TWO) E (02/25/2026) NT$1,965.00
SG Mi ro Corp. (300661.SZ) E (11/03/2025) Rmb95.24
Silergy Corp. (6415.TW) U (05/19/2026) NT$428.50
SMIC (0981.HK) O (10/21/2025) HK$55.55
TSMC (2330.TW) O (02/07/2022) NT$2,490.00
UMC (2303.TW) O (05/19/2026) NT$141.50
Vanguard International Semi ondu tor (5347.TWO) E (01/14/2026) NT$175.00
WIN Semi ondu tors Corp (3105.TWO) E (10/09/2026) NT$556.00
Daisy Dai, CFA
ASMPT Ltd (0522.HK) O (07/24/2025) HK$158.40
China Resour es Mi roele troni s Limited (688396.SS) U (03/02/2026) Rmb49.82
Empyrean Te hnology Co Ltd (301269.SZ) E (01/17/2025) Rmb97.82
Hangzhou Silan Mi roele troni s Co. Ltd. (600460.SS) U (08/25/2025) Rmb27.75
Hygon Information Te hnology Co., Ltd. (688041.SS) O (07/03/2026) Rmb209.74
Innos ien e (2577.HK) E (10/13/2025) HK$34.54
JCET Group Co Ltd (600584.SS) O (09/16/2026) Rmb60.16
Shanghai Fudan Mi roele troni s (1385.HK) O (03/07/2025) HK$23.20
SICC Co Ltd (688234.SS) O (03/20/2026) Rmb93.85
SJ Semi ondu tor Corp (688820.SS) E (09/16/2026) Rmb104.39
StarPower Semi ondu tor Ltd (603290.SS) E (05/14/2026) Rmb74.23
Unigroup Guoxin Mi roele troni s Co Ltd (002049.SZ) U (01/10/2023) Rmb55.38
Universal S ientifi Ind. (Shanghai) (601231.SS) O (11/05/2025) Rmb22.50
Yangjie Te hnology (300373.SZ) O (06/10/2022) Rmb80.60
Daniel Yen, CFA
AP Memory Te hnology Corp (6531.TW) O (07/11/2025) NT$926.00
ASMedia Te hnology In (5269.TW) U (10/03/2025) NT$1,540.00
Aspeed Te hnology (5274.TWO) O (06/09/2025) NT$17,350.00
Egis Te hnology In (6462.TWO) E (01/28/2026) NT$97.00
Elan Mi roele troni s Corp (2458.TW) O (10/03/2025) NT$133.00
eMemory Te hnology In (3529.TWO) O (08/18/2026) NT$2,810.00
Espressif Systems (688018.SS) O (05/15/2023) Rmb107.42
GigaDevi e Semi ondu tor Beijing In (603986.SS) O (05/15/2025) Rmb306.22
Ma ronix International Co Ltd (2337.TW) O (09/18/2025) NT$106.50
Montage Te hnology Co Ltd (6809.HK) O (03/18/2026) HK$241.80
Montage Te hnology Co Ltd (688008.SS) O (03/18/2026) Rmb184.80
Novatek (3034.TW) U (02/04/2026) NT$546.00
Nuvoton Te hnology Corporation (4919.TW) U (11/10/2025) NT$142.50
Parade Te hnologies Ltd (4966.TWO) O (05/27/2026) NT$547.00
Power hip Semi ondu tor Manufa turing Co (6770.TW) O (10/27/2025) NT$67.50
Realtek Semi ondu tor (2379.TW) E (01/30/2026) NT$758.00
Shenzhen Goodix Te hnology Co Ltd (603160.SS) U (07/14/2025) Rmb49.33
Winbond Ele troni s Corp (2344.TW) O (05/28/2026) NT$161.50
WPG Holdings (3702.TW) O (03/16/2026) NT$117.50
WT Mi roele troni s Co. Ltd. (3036.TW) O (01/27/2026) NT$211.50
Henry Zhao
ACM Resear h In (ACMR.O) O (03/07/2023) US$68.10
Advan ed Mi ro-Fabri ation Equipment In (688012.SS) O (11/06/2023) Rmb307.69
Maxs end Mi roele troni s Co Ltd (300782.SZ) U (01/11/2021) Rmb60.11
NAURA Te hnology Group Co Ltd (002371.SZ) O (11/06/2023) Rmb591.00
Lucas Wang
AllRing Te h Co. (6187.TWO) O (09/23/2025) NT$1,600.00
FOCI Fiber Opti Communi ations In (3363.TWO) E (10/09/2026) NT$547.00
Hon Pre ision (7769.TW) O (04/17/2026) NT$6,070.00
King Yuan Ele troni s Co Ltd (2449.TW) O (03/03/2023) NT$305.00
MPI Corporation (6223.TWO) O (04/17/2026) NT$5,940.00
Tiffany Yeh
Himax Te hnologies In (HIMX.O) E (02/04/2026) US$12.78
Sili on Motion (SIMO.O) O (05/06/2024) US$246.95
WinWay Te hnology Co Ltd (6515.TW) O (04/17/2026) NT$5,700.00
  • Historical pric s ar not split adjust d.

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