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報告_MS_金居8358_東南亞擴產_20260914

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原始內容

M September 14, 2026 04:28 PM GMT

Co-Tech Development Corp. | Asia Pacific

Southeast Asia expansion points to longer-term capacity upside

What's new? Co-Tech's board approved the establishment of a subsidiary in Southeast Asia.

Our view: We expect the facility to primarily produce RG-series (advanced RTF) copper foil, mainly used in general servers, switches or LEO satellites. Volume production could begin in 2H28, with monthly capacity exceeding 500 tons. We currently model Co-Tech's RG-series capacity at 1,000 tons by end-2026 and 1,200 tons by end-2027. The Southeast Asia expansion therefore implies upside to our current capacity assumptions, assuming all else remains unchanged, with contribution likely starting in 2H28. We also believe adding RG-series capacity in Southeast Asia could free up existing Taiwan capacity for higher-end HVLP4+ copper foil production. Stay OW.

Update

Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited+ Howard Kao Equity Analyst Howard.Kao@morganstanley.com +886 2 2730-2989
Irene Yen Research Associate Irene.Yen@morganstanley.com +886 2 2730-2869
Andy Meng, CFA Equity Analyst Andy.Meng@morganstanley.com +852 2239-7689
Rachel L Zhang Equity Analyst Rachel.Zhang@morganstanley.com +852 2239-1520

Co-Tech Development Corp. (8358.TWO, 8358 TT)

Greater China Technology Hardware | Taiwan

Stock Rating Stock Rating Stock Rating Stock Rating Overweight
Industry View Industry View Industry View Industry View In-Line
Price target Price target Price target Price target NT$730.00
Up/downside to price target (%) Up/downside to price target (%) Up/downside to price target (%) Up/downside to price target (%) 41
Shr price, close (Sep 14, 2026) Shr price, close (Sep 14, 2026) Shr price, close (Sep 14, 2026) NT$518.00
52-Week Range 52-Week Range 52-Week Range NT$758.00-196.50 NT$758.00-196.50
Sh out, dil, curr (mn) Sh out, dil, curr (mn) Sh out, dil, curr (mn) 252 252
Mkt cap, curr (mn) Mkt cap, curr (mn) Mkt cap, curr (mn) NT$130,317 NT$130,317
NT$129,983 NT$129,983
EV, curr (mn) EV, curr (mn) EV, curr (mn)
Avg daily trading value (mn) Avg daily trading value (mn) Avg daily trading value (mn) NT$6,612 NT$6,612
Fiscal Year Ending 12/25 12/26e 12/27e 12/28e
EPS (NT$)** 4.20 9.34 18.59 31.63
Prior EPS (NT$)** - - - -
EPS (NT$)§ - 10.40 24.99 42.58
Revenue, net (NT$ mn) 7,880 11,115 15,849 22,496
EBITDA (NT$ mn) 1,538 3,027 5,934 10,070
ModelWare net inc (NT 1,063 2,366 4,706 8,009
$ mn)
P/E 66.0 55.4 27.9 16.4
P/BV 9.3 14.0 10.1 7.0
RNOA (%) 19.4 32.7 54.3 76.1
ROE (%) 16.3 31.5 50.1 61.7
EV/EBITDA 45.4 42.8 21.5 12.4
Div yld (%) 0.5 0.4 0.9 1.7
FCF yld ratio (%)** (0.2) 0.7 2.2 4.2
Leverage (EOP) (%) (4.4) (8.5) (19.3) (31.0)

Unless otherwise noted, all metrics are based on Morgan Stanley ModelWare framework

** = Based on consensus methodology

§ = Consensus data is provided by Refinitiv Estimates e = Morgan Stanley Research estimates

Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of Morgan Stanley Research. Investors should consider Morgan Stanley Research as only a single factor in making their investment decision.