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報告_GS_萬潤6187_20260709

更新 2026-07-09

PDF 原檔:報告_GS_萬潤6187_20260709_original.pdf

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檔名 size 分類 親眼所見內容
報告_GS_萬潤6187_20260709_003.png 42KB 真資料圖 Exhibit 1:「All Ring's revenue growth outlook」長條+曲線圖,NT$mn,2024-2028E,分 Others/Passive component equipment/Semi equipment-others/Semi equipment-CoWoS/Semi equipment-CPO,另疊 YoY% 曲線
報告_GS_萬潤6187_20260709_004.png 29KB 真資料圖 Exhibit 2:「All Ring's margin trend」GM/OpM 曲線圖,2022-2028E
報告_GS_萬潤6187_20260709_005.png 47KB 真資料圖 Exhibit 5:「Taiex vs. All Ring」雙軸股價比較圖,2014/07-2026/07
報告_GS_萬潤6187_20260709_006.png 41KB 真資料圖 Exhibit 6:「Forward P/E」股價圖疊 20x-40x 本益比帶狀線,2014/07-2026/07
報告_GS_萬潤6187_20260709_007.png 42KB 真資料圖 Exhibit 7:「Forward P/B」股價圖疊 8x-14x 淨值比帶狀線,2014/07-2026/07
報告_GS_萬潤6187_20260709_008.png 38KB 真資料圖 Exhibit 8:「P/B vs ROE」ROE 長條圖+Fwd P/B 曲線,2014/07-2026/07
報告_GS_萬潤6187_20260709_009.png 76KB 真資料圖 萬潤(6187.TWO) 評等與目標價沿革圖,股價曲線疊評等變化(2026/3/10 由 NA 升至 Buy)與多次目標價調整標記(550/475/320/365/800 等),Covered by Evelyn Yu as of Jun 25, 2025
報告_GS_萬潤6187_20260709_001.png 22KB 真資料圖 「GS Factor Profile」橫向長條圖,Growth/Financial Returns/Multiple/Integrated 四維度百分位,對比 6187.TWO vs Asia ex-Japan Coverage 與 vs Taiwan Semiconductor
報告_GS_萬潤6187_20260709_002.png 29KB 真資料圖 「Price Performance」股價曲線圖,6187.TWO(NT$) vs Taiwan SE Weighted Index,2025/10-2026/07

原始內容

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All Ring Tech Co. (6187.TWO)

CPO concern likely largely priced in; building in stronger CoWoS into 2027E; reiterate Buy

6187.TWO

12m Pri c e Target:

NT$1,550.00

2Q26 tracking ahead of expectations

All Ring reported its June 2026 revenue on July 8, 2026, with June revenue of NT$1,012mn, bringing total 2Q26 revenue to NT$2,355mn, coming in 12.8% ahead of GSe. We attribute the strong 2Q26 momentum primarily to the stronger ramp of CoWoS demand from customers. With this, we raise our 2Q26 GM as we anticipate All Ring to exceed our prior expectation (52.3% previously), supported by a higher advanced packaging mix, though we now expect a modest sequential decline in 4Q26 GM as All Ring begins shipping new products including new panel-level equipment, which we believe will weigh on margins during the initial ramp-up phase. Overall, we now forecast 2Q26/3Q26/4Q26E GM to be 54.0%/54.5%/52.7%.

Stronger advanced packaging expansion supporting 2027 outlook

In our recent TSMC report (see: TSMC (2330.TW) Accelerating capacity build to secure a stronger growth trajectory, 3 Jul 2026) , we raised our end-2027E CoWoS (include WMCM) capacity to 280kwpm (vs. 250kwpm previously), fueled by stronger AI accelerator and server-CPU demand. As a key back-end equipment supplier for CoWoS, we expect All Ring to bene fi t directly from such accelerating capacity expansion. We now model All Ring's CoWoS-related revenue to grow 27% YoY in 2027E (vs. 16% YoY previously) and account for 77% of total revenue (vs. 60% previously).

On the CPO side, we revise down our revenue forecast as we factor in lower equipment shipment as we believe All Ring is working to increase the throughput to meet customer requests. While we believe this could translate into fewer equipment shipments given higher productivity, we expect the content value per equipment to increase. On pricing, we now see upside to ASP and are now

BUY

Evelyn Yu

+886(2)2730-4187 | evelyn.yu@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C., Taipei Branch

Ryan Huang, CFA

+886(2)2730-4084 | ryan.huang@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C., Taipei Branch

Key Data _____________________________________

Market cap: NT$91.7bn / $2.9bn

Enterprise value: NT$88.6bn / $2.8bn

3m ADTV: NT$3.7bn / $117.0mn

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor

M&A Rank: 3

Leases incl. in net debt & EV?: Yes

GS Forecast 12/25 __________ 12/26E 12/27E 12/28E
Revenue(NT$mn) New 5,366.2 9,276.9 13,477.6 17,193.8
Revenue (NT$ mn) Old 5,366. 2 8,865.3 14,693.0 19,889.0
EBITDA (NT$ mn) 1,679.3 3, 2 65.4 5,316.0 7,197.3
EPS(NT$) New 15.47 28.23 44.30 59.13
EPS (NT$) Old 15.47 2 6.33 47.13 66.88
P/E (X) 22 .7 33.8 2 1.6 16. 2
P/B (X) 4.5 11. 2 8.8 7.1
Dividend yield (%) 3.3 2 . 2 3.5 4.6
CROCI (%) 44. 2 36.5 66.9 71. 2
3/26 6/26E 9/26E 12/26E
EPS (NT$) 3.37 6. 2 5 10.8 2 7.79
報告_GS_萬潤6187_20260709_001

Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Research estimates. See disclosures for details.

Goldman Sachs does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the fi rm may have a con fl ict of interest that could a ff ect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certi fi cation and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.gs.com/research/hedge.html. Analysts employed by non-US a ffi liates are not registered/quali fi ed as research analysts with FINRA in the U.S.

Pri c e:

NT$955.00

Upside:

62.3%

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BUY

All Ring Tech Co. (6187.TWO)

Rating since Mar 11, 2026

Ratios & Valuation __________________________________________

12/25 12/26E 12/27E 12/28E
P/E (X) 22.7 33.8 21.6 16.2
P/B (X) 4.5 11.2 8.8 7.1
FCF yield (%) 4.3 0.2 2.6 4.9
EV/EBITD A R(X) 17.8 27.2 16.6 12.1
EV/EBITD A (excl. leases) (X) 17.8 27.2 16.6 12.1
CROCI (%) 44.2 36.5 66.9 71.2
ROE (%) 21.5 35.3 46.2 49.1
Net debt/equity (%) (51.3) (37.1) (32.9) (36.8)
Net debt/equity (excl. leases) (%) (51.3) (37.1) (32.9) (36.8)
Inte r est c ov e r (X) 172.6 459.1 824.4 1 , 113.7
Days in v ent or y o utst , sales 70.2 72.4 83.7 73.2
Recei v able days 82.1 46.5 56.4 56.4
Days p ayable o utstandin g 210.6 173.0 206.7 191.5
DuP o nt ROE (%) 19.8 32.8 40.5 43.7
Tu r n ov e r (X) 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0
L e v e r a g e (X) 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.4
Gro ss cas h in v ested (ex cas h ) (NT $ ) 3 , 924.6 5 , 543.8 7 , 534.1 8 , 891.0
Av e r a g e ca p ital e mp l o yed (NT $ ) 3 , 457.9 4 , 430.7 6 , 140.3 7 , 651.2
BVP S (NT $ ) 77.10 85.60 108.51 134.16

Growth & Margins (%) ______________________________________

12/25 12/26E 12/27E 12/28E
Total revenue growth (3.0) 7 2 .9 45.3 2 7.6
EBITDA growth 13. 2 94.4 6 2 .8 35.4
EPS growth 0.7 8 2 .5 56.9 33.5
DPS growth 0.7 8 2 .5 56.9 33.5
EBIT margin 30.0 34.1 38.4 40.8
EBITDA margin 31.3 35. 2 39.4 41.9
Net income margin 2 7.7 2 9.3 31.7 33.1

Price Performance __________________________________________

報告_GS_萬潤6187_20260709_002
3m 6m 12m
Absolute (2.6)% 1 43.0% 1 40.9%
Rel. to the TaiwanSE Weighted Index (25.9)% 6 1 .3% 1 7.8%

Source: FactSet. Price as of 8 Jul 2026 close.

Income Statement (NT$ mn) ________________________________

12/25 12/26E 12/27E 12/28E
To t a l r e v e nu e 5,366 . 2 9,276 . 9 13,477 . 6 17,193 . 8
Co s t of good s s old (2,452 . 9) (4,315 . 3) (6,155 . 2) (7,448 . 7)
SG&A (535 . 8) (961 . 9) (986 . 2) (1,271 . 3)
R&D (766 . 8) (835 . 2) (1,161 . 9) (1,460 . 3)
Other operating inc . /(exp . ) E BITDA -- 1 , 67 9.3 -- 3, 265 .4 -- 5 ,3 16 .0 -- 7 , 1 9 7 .3
Depreciation& amortization (68 . 5) (100 . 9) (141 . 7) (183 . 7)
E BIT 1 , 61 0. 8 3, 16 4. 5 5 , 17 4.3 7 ,0 1 3. 6
Net intere s t inc . /(exp . ) 40 . 0 37 . 2 39 . 7 39 . 6
Income/(lo ss ) from a ss ociate s (0 . 6) -- 3, 28 3. 8 -- 5 , 2 34.0 -- 7 ,0 7 3. 2
Pre-tax pro fi t Provi s ion for taxe s 1 , 812 . 8 (316 . 4) (570 . 0) (968 . 3) (1,379 . 3)
Minority intere s t (11 . 2) 4 . 6 -- --
Preferred dividend s -- -- -- --
N et inc . ( pre-ex c ept i o n a ls) 1 ,4 85 . 2 2 , 718 .4 4, 265 . 7 5 , 6 93.9
Po s t-tax exceptional s -- -- -- --
N et inc . ( po s t-ex c ept i o n a ls) 1 ,4 85 . 2 2 , 718 .4 4, 265 . 7 5 , 6 93.9
E P S(b a sic , pre-ex c ept ) (N T $) 15 .4 7 28 . 2 3 44.30 5 9. 1 3
E P S(dilu te d , pre-ex c ept ) (N T $) 15 .4 7 28 . 2 3 44.30 5 9. 1 3
E P S(b a sic , po s t-ex c ept ) (N T $) 15 .4 7 28 . 2 3 44.30 5 9. 1 3
E P S(dilu te d , po s t-ex c ept ) (N T $) 15 .4 7 28 . 2 3 44.30 5 9. 1 3
DPS (NT$) 11 . 56 21 . 11 33 . 12 44 . 21
Div . payout ratio (%) 74 . 74 . 74 . 74 . 8
Balance Sheet (NT$ mn) 8 8 8 ______ 12/28E
C a sh& c a sh equiv a lents 12/25 4,182.0 12/26E 3,210.1 12/27E 3,594.4 4,925.2 2,660.4
Accounts receiv a ble 858.6 1,505.4 2,564.9 2,656.4 3,616.8 3,279.6
Inventory Other current a ssets 1,114.0 180.4 294.5 294.5 294.5
Total current assets 6 ,33 5 . 2 7 , 57 4. 9 1 0, 162 . 1 11 , 159 . 8
Net PP&E 1,878.7 2,797.9 3,840.9 4,848.9
Net int a ngibles 31.8 47.4 64.2 1,111.4 74.0 1,111.4
Tot a l investments Other long-term a ssets 986.8 1,111.4 431.0 431.0 431.0
Total assets 376.9 9 , 6 0 9 .4 11 , 962 . 6 15 , 6 0 9 . 6 17 , 625 . 1
1,292.4 2,799.2 4,173.3 3,644.8
Accounts p a y a ble -- -- --
Short-term debt Short-term le a se li a bilities -- -- -- -- --
Other current li a bilities Total current liabilities 348.0 593.9 633.9 8 0 7 . 2 673.9 18 . 7
1 , 6 40.4 3,3 9 3. 1 4, 4,3
Long-term debt 339.2 132.8 132.8 -- 132.8 --
Long-term le a se li a bilities -- -- 143.4 143.4 143.4
Other long-term li a bilities liabilities 141.6 276 . 2 276 . 2
Total long-term Total liabilities 4 8 0. 8 2 , 121 . 2 276 . 2 3, 669 .3 5 ,0 8 3.4 4, 59 4. 9
Preferred sh a res -- -- 8,108.6 -- 10,341.5 -- 12,845.5
Tot a l commonequity Minority interest 7,299.0 189 . 2 18 4. 6 18 4. 6 18 4. 6
Total liabilities &equity 9 , 6 0 9 , 962 . 15 , 6 0 9 . 6 , 625 . 1
Net debt, a djusted (3,842.8) (3,077.2) (3,461.6)
.4 11 6 17
(4,792.4)
Cash Flow (NT$ mn) 12/25 1,485.2 12/26E 2, 7 18.4 12/27E 4,265. 7 __________ 12/28E 5,693.9
Net income D&Aadd-back Minority interest 68.5 11.2 100.9 (4.6) (590.9) 141. 7 -- (828.8) 183. 7 -- (195.3)
add-back Net (inc)/dec working capital 28 7 .1 --
Other operating cash flow Cash flow fro m operations 106.1 ,9 58 .0 (1,054. 7 ) 1 , 16 9. 1 -- 3, 578 . 6 5 , 682 .3
1
Capital expenditures (512.9) (8 7 .8) (1,010.0) (1,161.5) -- (1,161.5) --
Acquisitions Divestitures -- -- -- -- --
Others (65.2) --
Cash flow fro m ( 665 .9) (45.3) ,0 55 .3) -- , 161 . 5 ) , 161 . 5 )
investing ( 1 ( 1 ( 1
Repayment of lease liabilities -- -- -- -- (3,189.9)
Dividends paid(common& pref) (980.0) (1,110.6) (2,032.8) --
Inc/(dec) in debt flows 142.1 (2.0) --
Other financing cash Cash flow fro m finan c ing 191.3 6 4 6 . 5 ) 26.9 0.0 ( 2 ,03 2 . 8 ) 0.0 18 9.9)
Total c ash flow ( 6 4 5 . 6 ( 1 ,0 85 . 7 ) (9 72 .0) 3 8 4.3 (3, 1 ,330. 8
Free cash flow 1,445.2 159.0 2,41 7 .1 4,520.8

Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Research estimates.

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expecting at least around 20% higher pricing, re fl ecting the higher complexity and performance of these next-generation systems. We continue to see CPO as the next key growth driver for All Ring, and we now model All Ring's CPO revenue to reach NT$2.1bn/NT$10.2bn, accounting for 16%/60% of revenue in 2027E/2028E (vs. 29%/69% previously).

Risk-reward now skewed to the upside

All Ring's shares have declined -31% from its recent peak in April (vs. TAIEX's +21%). We believe this weakness largely re fl ects a cluster of market concerns including potential CPO delay. However, we see All Ring's fundamental demand remaining solid across both CoWoS and CPO, and the company continues to lead peers on CPO equipment throughput. Given the improving near-term outlook, an accelerating advanced packaging build plan into 2027, and resilient long-term CPO demand, we view the risk-reward as skewed to the upside and reiterate our Buy rating. Accordingly, we adjust our 2026E-2028E earnings by +7%/-6%/-12% and revise our 12-month TP to NT$1,550 from NT$1,650 implying 62% upside.

Exhibit 1: All Ring's revenue growth outlook

報告_GS_萬潤6187_20260709_003

Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

報告_GS_萬潤6187_20260709_004

Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Earnings changes, valuation and risks

Forecast changes

We revise our 2026E-28E EPS by +7.2%/-6.0%/-11.6% mainly as we factor in 1) stronger 2Q26 revenue and GM assumptions, 2) accelerating CoWoS expansion in 2027E/2028E, but 3) lower CPO equipment units in 2027E/2028E.

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Exhibit 3: Earnings revisions

2026E 2026E 2026E 2027E 2027E 2027E 2028E 2028E 2028E
(NT$mn) Old New Diff (%) Old New Diff (%) Old New Diff (%)
Revenue 8,865 9,277 4.6% 14,693 13,478 -8.3% 19,889 17,194 -13.6%
Gross profit 4,709 4,962 5.4% 8,046 7,322 -9.0% 11,351 9,745 -14.1%
Op. income 2,923 3,164 8.3% 5,460 5,174 -5.2% 7,893 7,014 -11.1%
Net income 2,536 2,718 7.2% 4,538 4,266 -6.0% 6,441 5,694 -11.6%
EPS (NT$) 26.33 28.23 7.2% 47.13 44.30 -6.0% 66.88 59.13 -11.6%
GM 53.1% 53.5% 0.4% 54.8% 54.3% -0.4% 57.1% 56.7% -0.4%
OpM 33.0% 34.1% 1.1% 37.2% 38.4% 1.2% 39.7% 40.8% 1.1%
NM 28.6% 29.3% 0.7% 30.9% 31.7% 0.8% 32.4% 33.1% 0.7%
2Q26E 2Q26E 2Q26E 3Q26E 3Q26E 3Q26E 4Q26E 4Q26E 4Q26E
(NT$mn) Old New Diff (%) Old New Diff (%) Old New Diff (%)
Revenue 2,087 2,355 12.8% 2,799 3,038 8.6% 2,568 2,472 -3.7%
Gross profit 1,092 1,272 16.5% 1,478 1,655 12.0% 1,408 1,304 -7.4%
Op. income 698 688 -1.3% 1,003 1,250 24.6% 894 899 0.5%
Net income 598 602 0.6% 852 1,042 22.3% 761 750 -1.4%
EPS (NT$) 6.21 6.25 0.6% 8.85 10.82 22.3% 7.90 7.79 -1.4%
GM 52.3% 54.0% 1.7% 52.8% 54.5% 1.7% 54.8% 52.7% -2.1%
OpM 33.4% 29.2% -4.2% 35.8% 41.1% 5.3% 34.8% 36.3% 1.5%
NM 28.7% 25.6% -3.1% 30.4% 34.3% 3.8% 29.6% 30.3% 0.7%

Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Maintain Buy with 12m TP revised to NT$1,550 from NT$1,650

Alongside our earnings revisions, we revise our 12-month TP to NT$1,550 (from NT$1,650 previously). Our 12-month TP is based on a target P/E multiple of 35x (unchanged; derived by applying the implied earnings growth uplift (per GSe) to the company's historical valuation framework) applied to our FY27E EPS. We view CPO as an even stronger structural tailwind for All Ring than CoWoS, with the potential to drive multiple-fold earnings expansion over the next several years, further supporting both earnings visibility and scope for valuation re-rating. Our new 12m TP implies 62% upside. We maintain our Buy rating on All Ring.

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Exhibit 4: All Ring's P&L overview

1Q26 2Q26E 3Q26E 4Q26E 1Q27E 2Q27E 3Q27E 4Q27E 2026E 2027E 2028E
P&L
Revenue 1,411 2,355 3,038 2,472 2,240 3,041 4,200 3,997 9,277 13,478 17,194
Gross profit 731 1,272 1,655 1,304 1,187 1,639 2,278 2,219 4,962 7,322 9,745
Operating profit 328 688 1,250 899 753 1,107 1,696 1,618 3,164 5,174 7,014
Net income 325 602 1,042 750 626 914 1,395 1,330 2,718 4,266 5,694
EPS (NT$) 3.37 6.25 10.82 7.79 6.50 9.50 14.48 13.82 28.23 44.30 59.13
Margins (%)
GM 51.8% 54.0% 54.5% 52.7% 53.0% 53.9% 54.3% 55.5% 53.5% 54.3% 56.7%
OpM 23.2% 29.2% 41.1% 36.3% 33.6% 36.4% 40.4% 40.5% 34.1% 38.4% 40.8%
NM 23.0% 25.6% 34.3% 30.3% 28.0% 30.1% 33.2% 33.3% 29.3% 31.7% 33.1%
YoY (%)
Revenue 13.2% 54.5% 77.9% 178.5% 58.7% 29.2% 38.2% 61.7% 72.9% 45.3% 27.6%
Gross profit -3.0% 60.6% 100.3% 140.6% 62.3% 28.9% 37.6% 70.2% 70.3% 47.6% 33.1%
Operating profit -22.1% 48.5% 149.1% 300.1% 129.8% 60.8% 35.7% 80.0% 96.5% 63.5% 35.5%
Net income -5.3% 50.7% 148.1% 132.2% 93.0% 51.9% 33.9% 77.3% 83.0% 56.9% 33.5%
EPS -5.7% 50.2% 147.8% 131.6% 93.0% 51.9% 33.9% 77.3% 82.5% 56.9% 33.5%
QoQ (%)
Revenue 59.0% 66.8% 29.0% -18.6% -9.4% 35.8% 38.1% -4.8%
Gross profit 34.9% 74.0% 30.2% -21.2% -9.0% 38.1% 39.0% -2.6%
Operating profit 45.9% 110.0% 81.5% -28.1% -16.2% 46.9% 53.2% -4.6%
Net income 0.4% 85.5% 73.1% -28.0% -16.5% 46.0% 52.5% -4.6%
EPS 0.2% 85.5% 73.1% -28.0% -16.5% 46.0% 52.5% -4.6%

Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Exhibit 5: Taiex vs. All Ring

報告_GS_萬潤6187_20260709_005

Source: TEJ

Exhibit 6: Forward P/E

報告_GS_萬潤6187_20260709_006

Source: TEJ

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Exhibit 7: Forward P/B

報告_GS_萬潤6187_20260709_007

Source: TEJ

Exhibit 8: P/B vs. ROE

報告_GS_萬潤6187_20260709_008

Source: TEJ

Investment Thesis - All Ring (6187.TWO)

All Ring is one of the key suppliers of semiconductor equipment in Taiwan, primarily utilized in back-end advanced packaging processes. The company manufactures under fi ll dispenser, TIM heat sink attach equipment, and automated optical inspection equipment which are widely adopted within the CoWoS process. All Ring currently has nearly 100% of market share in WoS under fi ll dispenser and TIM heatsink attach equipment, and its main customers include leading foundries and OSATs in Taiwan.

We like All Ring as we expect its revenue/earnings CAGR to further accelerate to 47%/56% in 2025-28E, driven by 1) continued advanced packaging capacity expansion, and 2) rapid growth of its CPO business. With All Ring's unique position in CPO coupling equipment and new packaging opportunity such as PLP, we see upside potential in its revenue and earnings growth and have a Buy rating on the name.

Price Target Risks and Methodology - All Ring (6187.TWO)

Valuation: We are Buy rated on All Ring. Our 12m TP of NT$1,550 is based on a target P/E multiple of 35x (derived from growth-adjusted historical valuation) applied to our FY27E EPS.

Key risks to our views: 1) slower advanced packaging expansion, 2) delay in adoption of new packaging technologies, and 3) intensifying competition.

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