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報告_Daiwa_邁科6831_20260722

更新 2026-07-22

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報告_Daiwa_邁科6831_20260722_003.png 44KB 真資料圖 邁科月營收柱狀圖(TWDm,左軸)與 YoY 成長率折線圖(右軸),Jun-21 至 Jun-26,顯示 2025 下半年起營收與成長率同步跳升
報告_Daiwa_邁科6831_20260722_004.png 41KB 真資料圖 邁科 1 年期遠期 PER 圖,股價線疊加 8x/16x/24x/32x/40x 估值倍數帶,顯示股價自 2025 年中起穿越上緣區間

其餘 001、002 均 <40KB,依規則預設非必要逐張 Read 之候選(推測為封面/版頭圖)。

原始內容

Taiwan

Taiwan Microloops (6831 TT)

Target price:

TWD1,325.00 (from TWD1,150.00)

Share price (22 Jul): TWD635.00 | Up/downside: +108.7%

Intact fundamentals - accumulate on weakness

  • Intact strong earnings visibility over 2026-28E
  • Upside from rising order volume from a key ODM client
  • Reaffirming our Buy (1) rating and raising 12-month TP to TWD1,325

What's new: Microloops' share price has corrected by 27% MTD, which we attribute to profit taking pressure on top of stock market volatility. However, based on our market research, we believe its fundamentals remain strong considering the stock is trading at a 2027E PER of 16.9x, supported by a 139.7% earnings CAGR over 2026-28E. We reaffirm our Buy (1) rating, as we believe Microloops' progress in liquid-cooling projects will continue to gain order share in ASIC AI servers, and it benefits from its strategic position with its key ODM client. See our Initiation report, 18 June 2026.

What's the impact: 2Q26 results preview (see P2). Microloops recorded strong revenue of TWD1,047m (+22.5% QoQ and +0.6% YoY) for its preliminary 2Q26 revenue. With its 2Q26 results scheduled to be released in mid-August, we now expect its EPS at TWD1.09, vs. our previous forecast of TWD1.08 and the Bloomberg consensus forecast of TWD2.35. We now expect its 3Q26 revenue to be TWD2,400m (+129.3% QoQ; +107.9% YoY) vs. our previous forecast of TWD2,900m and Bloomberg consensus of TWD2,572m. In our view, the revenue momentum will likely be driven by one US CSP project in 2026. Looking to 4Q26E, we forecast revenue of TWD3,105m vs. previous forecast of TWD3,029m and Bloomberg consensus of TWD2,540m.

A preferred name in thermal solutions with order share gain potential.

Microloops is a key partner of its main ODM client for air- and liquidcooling solutions for ASICs, presenting revenue upside for Microloops (switch and new clients). Microloops' air-cooling orders share for one of its key US CSPs has surpassed 40% currently and we expect Microloops to see ASP upgrade benefits from air-cooling to liquid-cooling mainly in 2027. Given the gross margin for Taiwan thermal solutions has trended up due to thermal design power (TDP) upgrade, which offers gross margin upside for Microloops, we assume gross margins of 26% in 2026E and 28% in 2027E. We trim our 2026E EPS by 3% on our relatively conservative revenue assumptions, but our EPS for 2027-28E remains largely unchanged.

What we recommend: We reaffirm our Buy (1) call and raise our 12M TP to TWD1,325 (from TWD1,150), still based on a target PER of 40x, implying a 0.29x PEG over 2026-28E, applied to our 1-year-forward EPS. Key downside risks: weaker-than-expected global AI server demand and slower-than expected ASIC AI server development progress.

How we differ: Our 2027E EPS is 18% higher than the Bloomberg consensus, likely on our more aggressive revenue and gross-/operatingmargin assumptions.

Daiwa

5

3

2

1

Buy

Helen Chien

Helen Chien

(886) 2 8758 6254 helen.chien@daiwacm-cathay.com.tw

Neil Teng, CFA (886) 2 8758 6256 neil.teng@daiwacm-cathay.com.tw

Forecast revisions (%)

Year to 31 Dec 26E 27E 28E
Revenue change (4.8) (4.8) (4.8)
Net profit change (2.9) 0.1 0.2
Core EPS (FD) change (2.9) 0.1 0.2

Source: Daiwa forecasts

Share price performance

報告_Daiwa_邁科6831_20260722_001
報告_Daiwa_邁科6831_20260722_002
12-month range 154.50-956.00
Market cap (USDbn) 1.32
3m avg daily turnover (USDm) 31.73
Shares outstanding (m) 68
Major shareholder Chao family (20.0%)

Financial summary (TWD)

Year to 31 Dec 26E 27E 28E
Revenue (m) 7,407 14,813 29,626
Operating profit (m) 1,369 3,377 7,792
Net profit (m) 1,017 2,533 5,844
Core EPS (fully-diluted) 15.067 37.527 86.575
EPS change (%) 205.1 149.1 130.7
Daiwa vs Cons. EPS (%) (0.8) 17.9 0.2
PER (x) 42.1 16.9 7.3
Dividend yield (%) 1.4 3.5 8.2
DPS 9.0 22.5 51.9
PBR (x) 12.2 8.0 4.4
EV/EBITDA (x) 26.7 11.9 5.5
ROE (%) 32.2 57.2 77.6

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

Microloops: revenue and earnings forecasts revisions

2026E 2026E 2026E 2027E 2027E 2027E 2028E 2028E 2028E
(TWDm) New Previous Change New Previous Change New Previous Change
Sales 7,407 7,777 -4.8% 14,813 15,554 -4.8% 29,626 31,108 -4.8%
Gross profit 1,926 2,022 -4.8% 4,148 4,200 -1.2% 8,888 9,021 -1.5%
Gross margin 26.0% 26.0% 0pp 28.0% 27.0% 1pp 30.0% 29.0% 1pp
Operating profit 1,369 1,414 -3.2% 3,377 3,375 0.1% 7,792 7,777 0.2%
Operating margin 18.5% 18.2% 0.3pp 22.8% 21.7% 1.1pp 26.3% 25.0% 1.3pp
Net profit 1,017 1,047 -2.9% 2,533 2,531 0.1% 5,844 5,833 0.2%
Net margin 13.7% 13.5% 0.3pp 17.1% 16.3% 0.8pp 19.7% 18.8% 1pp
Fully-diluted EPS (TWD) 15.07 15.51 -2.9% 37.53 37.50 0.1% 86.58 86.41 0.2%

Source: Daiwa forecasts

Microloops: 2Q26 results preview

(TWDm) Daiwa's 2Q26 forecasts Our previous forecasts Differ Bloomberg consensus Differ
Revenue 1,047 993 5.4% 1,436 -27.1%
Gross profit 230 228 0.8% 365 -36.9%
Operating profit 114 116 -1.8% 239 -52.2%
Profit before tax 100 97 3.0% 224 -55.5%
Net profit 74 73 1.6% 171 -56.8%
EPS (TWD) 1.09 1.08 1.6% 2.35 -53.5%
Margin
Gross margin 22.0% 23.0% -1pp 25.4% -3.4pp
Operating margin 10.9% 11.7% -0.8pp 16.6% -5.7pp
Pre-tax margin 9.5% 9.8% -0.2pp 15.6% -6.1pp
Net margin 7.1% 7.3% -0.3pp 11.9% -4.8pp

Source: Company, Bloomberg, Daiwa forecasts

Microloops: quarterly and annual P&L

2026E 2026E 2026E 2026E 2027E 2027E 2027E 2027E 2026E 2027E 2028E
(TWDm) 1Q26 2Q26E 3Q26E 4Q26E 1Q27E 2Q27E 3Q27E 4Q27E
Revenue 854 1,047 2,400 3,105 3,000 3,300 3,900 4,613 7,407 14,813 29,626
Gross profit 156 230 648 892 780 891 1,092 1,385 1,926 4,148 8,888
Operating profit 56 114 504 695 630 726 917 1,105 1,369 3,377 7,792
Pre-tax profit 56 100 505 696 630 726 917 1,105 1,356 3,377 7,792
Net profit 45 74 373 525 473 545 687 829 1,017 2,533 5,844
Basic EPS (TWD) 0.66 1.09 5.53 7.78 7.00 8.07 10.18 12.28 15.07 37.53 86.58
Margin
Gross margin 18.2% 22.0% 27.0% 28.7% 26.0% 27.0% 28.0% 30.0% 26.0% 28.0% 30.0%
Operating margin 6.5% 10.9% 21.0% 22.4% 21.0% 22.0% 23.5% 24.0% 18.5% 22.8% 26.3%
Pre-tax margin 6.5% 9.5% 21.0% 22.4% 21.0% 22.0% 23.5% 24.0% 18.3% 22.8% 26.3%
Net margin 5.2% 7.1% 15.6% 16.9% 15.8% 16.5% 17.6% 18.0% 13.7% 17.1% 19.7%
YoY
Revenue 50.7% 0.6% 107.9% 230.1% 251.1% 215.3% 62.5% 48.6% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Gross profit 30.7% 10.0% 102.1% 306.7% 401.6% 286.9% 68.5% 55.2% 121.8% 115.4% 114.3%
Operating profit 150.6% 3.4% 137.1% 759.0% 1,025.9% 536.3% 81.8% 58.9% 221.3% 146.7% 130.7%
Pre-tax profit 232.5% 143.5% 147.3% 703.1% 1,030.3% 627.7% 81.6% 58.8% 289.2% 149.1% 130.7%
Net profit 232.5% 190.9% 150.1% 366.5% 959.7% 637.5% 84.1% 57.8% 238.3% 149.1% 130.7%
QoQ
Revenue -9.2% 22.5% 129.3% 29.4% -3.4% 10.0% 18.2% 18.3%
Gross profit -29.1% 48.1% 181.4% 37.6% -12.5% 14.2% 22.6% 26.8%
Operating profit -30.9% 103.9% 341.7% 37.9% -9.4% 15.2% 26.2% 20.6%
Pre-tax profit -35.7% 79.0% 405.8% 37.9% -9.5% 15.2% 26.2% 20.6%
Net profit -60.4% 65.6% 405.8% 40.6% -10.0% 15.2% 26.2% 20.6%

Source: Company, Daiwa forecasts

Microloops: monthly sales

報告_Daiwa_邁科6831_20260722_003

Source: Company, Daiwa forecasts

Taiwan Microloops (6831 TT): 22 July 2026

Microloops: 1-year-forward PER

Source: Bloomberg, Daiwa forecasts

報告_Daiwa_邁科6831_20260722_004

Daiwa

Financial summary

Key assumptions

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Thermal module revenue growth (%) 74.4 7.6 2.1 22.1 84.7 100.0 100.0 100.0
Others revenue growth (%) 111.1 81.5 (51.9) (9.7) 289.9 100.0 100.0 100.0
Key ASIC project revenue (TWDm) 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 2,520.0 6,804.0 15,750.0

Profit and loss (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Thermal module 1,493 1,607 1,641 2,005 3,702 7,403 14,806 29,612
Others 1 1 1 0 2 4 7 14
Other Revenue 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total Revenue 1,524 1,608 1,642 2,005 3,703 7,407 14,813 29,626
Other income 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
COGS (1,245) (1,245) (1,258) (1,542) (2,835) (5,481) (10,666) (20,739)
SG&A (141) (169) (184) (205) (268) (348) (489) (681)
Other op.expenses (100) (85) (91) (130) (174) (208) (281) (415)
Operating profit 38 108 109 127 426 1,369 3,377 7,792
Net-interest inc./(exp.) (6) (7) 8 8 (9) 3 0 0
Assoc/forex/extraord./others (5) 9 17 6 (69) (16) 0 0
Pre-tax profit 28 111 134 141 348 1,356 3,377 7,792
Tax 18 (23) (31) (35) (48) (339) (844) (1,948)
Min. int./pref. div./others 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Net profit (reported) 46 87 103 106 301 1,017 2,533 5,844
Net profit (adjusted) 46 87 103 106 301 1,017 2,533 5,844
EPS (reported)(TWD) 1.215 2.223 2.033 1.800 4.943 15.067 37.527 86.575
EPS (adjusted)(TWD) 1.215 2.223 2.033 1.800 4.943 15.067 37.527 86.575
EPS (adjusted fully-diluted)(TWD) 1.214 2.214 2.024 1.794 4.938 15.067 37.527 86.575
DPS (TWD) 0.000 0.190 0.780 1.250 3.000 9.040 22.516 51.945
EBIT 38 108 109 127 426 1,369 3,377 7,792
EBITDA 112 185 204 246 493 1,602 3,742 8,325

Cash flow (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Profit before tax 28 111 134 141 348 1,356 3,377 7,792
Depreciation and amortisation 79 67 78 113 136 249 364 534
Tax paid (3) (7) (9) (3) (53) (339) (844) (1,948)
Change in working capital (141) 29 (12) (114) (679) (1,113) (2,888) (5,023)
Other operational CF items 53 74 (12) (0) 6 (3) 0 0
Cash flow from operations 16 274 180 137 (240) 150 10 1,355
Capex (393) (85) (167) (511) (325) (520) (900) (1,200)
Net (acquisitions)/disposals 19 (17) 325 10 (105) (105) (105) (105)
Other investing CF items (13) (17) (18) (17) (12) 0 0 0
Cash flow from investing (387) (119) 140 (518) (442) (625) (1,005) (1,305)
Change in debt 274 (95) (248) 20 363 617 2,500 2,500
Net share issues/(repurchases) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dividends paid 0 0 (23) (44) (75) (203) (610) (1,520)
Other financing CF items (12) 268 (42) 320 956 0 0 0
Cash flow from financing 262 172 (313) 296 1,245 414 1,890 980
Forex effect/others 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Change in cash (109) 327 7 (85) 563 (61) 895 1,030
Free cash flow (377) 121 16 (382) (563) (370) (890) 155

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

Taiwan Microloops (6831 TT): 22 July 2026

Daiwa

Financial summary continued …

Balance sheet (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Cash & short-term investment 277 603 609 528 1,106 1,046 1,940 2,971
Inventory 226 207 194 207 439 790 1,394 2,648
Accounts receivable 546 442 657 869 1,932 3,403 7,121 13,927
Other current assets 37 23 25 69 188 188 188 188
Total current assets 1,086 1,275 1,485 1,673 3,665 5,427 10,643 19,734
Fixed assets 498 534 329 809 1,017 1,422 2,153 3,104
Goodwill & intangibles 12 8 10 36 24 24 24 24
Other non-current assets 96 138 93 312 312 312 312 312
Total assets 1,692 1,956 1,917 2,830 5,018 7,184 13,132 23,174
Short-term debt 126 38 0 20 383 500 1,500 2,500
Accounts payable 587 535 697 888 1,379 2,246 3,838 7,033
Other current liabilities 29 41 67 91 217 217 217 217
Total current liabilities 743 613 764 999 1,980 2,963 5,555 9,751
Long-term debt 218 210 0 0 0 500 2,000 3,500
Other non-current liabilities 44 54 18 257 220 220 220 220
Total liabilities 1,004 877 781 1,257 2,200 3,683 7,775 13,471
Share capital 374 434 509 600 675 675 675 675
Reserves/R.E./others 313 644 626 973 2,143 2,826 4,682 9,029
Shareholders' equity 688 1,079 1,135 1,573 2,818 3,501 5,357 9,704
Minority interests 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total equity & liabilities 1,692 1,956 1,917 2,830 5,018 7,184 13,132 23,174
EV 42,930 42,508 42,254 42,355 42,140 42,817 44,422 45,892
Net debt/(cash) 67 (355) (609) (508) (723) (46) 1,560 3,029
BVPS (TWD) 18.370 27.413 22.313 26.725 46.337 51.872 79.364 143.757

Key ratios (%)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Sales (YoY) 70.8 5.5 2.1 22.1 84.7 100.0 100.0 100.0
EBITDA (YoY) 3.7 64.5 10.6 20.5 100.7 224.8 133.5 122.5
Operating profit (YoY) (51.7) 181.1 0.9 16.9 234.4 221.3 146.7 130.7
Net profit (YoY) (32.0) 92.2 18.2 2.4 183.8 238.3 149.1 130.7
Core EPS (fully-diluted) (YoY) (40.3) 82.3 (8.6) (11.4) 175.3 205.1 149.1 130.7
Gross-profit margin 18.3 22.6 23.4 23.1 23.4 26.0 28.0 30.0
EBITDA margin 7.4 11.5 12.4 12.3 13.3 21.6 25.3 28.1
Operating-profit margin 2.5 6.7 6.6 6.4 11.5 18.5 22.8 26.3
Net profit margin 3.0 5.4 6.3 5.3 8.1 13.7 17.1 19.7
ROAE 6.8 9.9 9.3 7.8 13.7 32.2 57.2 77.6
ROAA 3.2 4.8 5.3 4.5 7.7 16.7 24.9 32.2
ROCE 4.4 9.2 8.9 9.3 17.8 35.6 50.6 63.4
ROIC 11.7 11.6 13.4 12.0 23.3 37.0 48.8 59.5
Net debt to equity 9.8 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 29.1 31.2
Effective tax rate (64.9) 20.9 22.9 25.1 13.7 25.0 25.0 25.0
Accounts receivable (days) 102.2 112.2 122.2 138.9 138.0 131.5 129.7 129.7
Current ratio (x) 1.5 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.9 1.8 1.9 2.0
Net interest cover (x) 6.7 16.4 n.a. n.a. 48.1 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Net dividend payout 0.0 8.5 38.4 69.4 60.7 60.0 60.0 60.0
Free cash flow yield n.a. 0.3 0.0 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 0.4

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

Company profile

Founded in 2002, Taiwan Microloops Corp. (Microloops) is a leading global provider of system-level thermal modules for AI data centres, including ASICs, network interface cards (NICs) and switches, as well as notebooks and graphics cards (VGAs). Headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan, the company operates manufacturing facilities in China and Vietnam. Its core product offerings currently focus on aircooling solutions, including 2.5DVC and 3DVC modules, while it is also expanding into liquid cooling, and developing immersion cooling technologies for next-generation servers in collaboration with Intel.

Taiwan Microloops (6831 TT): 22 July 2026

Daiwa

ESG analysis

ESG risks

Risks Management Analyst comments
Executive/board quality 1 The positions of Chairperson and President (CEO equivalent) are held by Mr. Yuan-Shan Chao and Mr. Chun-Hung Lin, respectively. We note that Chairperson Chao has extensive senior management experience in finance, having previously served as CFO of Walsin Lihwa Corporation and Vice President of Finance at Winbond Electronics, while President Lin holds a PhD in Mechanical Engineering and brings significant R&D and project management experience from the Cooler Master Group. This separation of roles -combined with a Board consisting of 7 directors including 3 independent directors who possess diverse professional qualifications across finance, accounting, law, business management, and industrial knowledge -is a positive sign from a corporate governance perspective.
G Capital management 1 Over 2023-2025, Microloop recorded dividend payout ratios of 38%, 69% and 61%. Management aims to further increase the ratio to 70% over the mid-to-long-term to balance shareholder returns while meeting reinvestment needs. This approach reflects a prudent capital management policy and consistent financial discipline.
Related party transaction & 1 The company engages in transactions with subsidiaries (such as those in Samoa, Huizhou, and Vietnam) primarily for normal operational purposes, such as the procurement of equipment by Microloops Huizhou. To ensure risk control and firewall mechanisms, all interactions are governed by established internal controls, including the "Regulations Governing the Financial and Business Matters Between Related Parties" and the "Regulations Governing the Supervision and Management of Subsidiaries", ensuring that no irregular or non-transparent transactions were identified.
E Supply chain management 1 Microloops has a structured procurement process utilising its "Procurement Management Regulations" to select suppliers, giving preference to those with environment-related licenses who emphasise environmental protection and social responsibility. The company maintains stable, mutual-trust relationships with major raw material suppliers (including Sankou Precision and Thermal Science Technology) and promotes ethical management policies by requiring cooperating partners to sign an "Integrity Commitment Letter". This reflects strong supply chain transparency, environmental compliance regarding RoHS and lead-free regulations, and robust quality control measures.
S Data security 1 The company has established a dedicated Information Security Department led by an Information Security Officer to oversee security management, officially obtaining the ISO 27001 Information Security Management System certificate in 2025/4. Guided by its "Computer Processing Operations Cycle" and "Information Security Management Regulations", the company conducts regular asset inventory and risk assessments while enforcing anti-virus mandates, server password updates, and strict employee access controls. Backup systems, redundancies, and regular disaster recovery drills are actively in place, allowing the company to ensure system availability and minimise operational damage during major incidents or equipment failures.

Note: Management score represents a company's ability to manage/benefit from certain ESG topics. The scores range from 1 to 3, with 1 being the strongest.

Update Date: 18 Jun 2026

Source: Daiwa, Company

Taiwan Microloops (6831 TT): 22 July 2026

Daiwa