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報告_Daiwa_建準2421_20260807

更新 2026-08-10

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報告_Daiwa_建準2421_20260807_002.png 62KB 真資料圖 產品營收結構堆疊長條圖,橫軸 2019~2028E,區分 IT&OE/Telecom & Server/Industrial Medical Equipment/Home Application/Distribution/Automobile/LED lighting 各佔比;Telecom & Server 佔比逐年攀升(2019 年 26% → 2028E 約 68%),IT&OE 佔比逐年下滑(2019 年 37% → 2028E 約 1%)
報告_Daiwa_建準2421_20260807_003.png 40KB 真資料圖 12個月 forward PER 帶狀圖,橫軸 Aug-20 至 Aug-26,股價線疊加 5x/10x/15x/20x/25x 本益比軌道;近期股價落於約 15x-20x 區間並持續上揚

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原始內容

Taiwan

Taiwan

Sunonwealth Electric Machine Industry (2421 TT)

5

Daiwa

2

1

Buy

Helen Chien

Helen Chien (886) 2 8758 6254 helen.chien@daiwacm-cathay.com.tw

Neil Teng, CFA (886) 2 8758 6256 neil.teng@daiwacm-cathay.com.tw

Forecast revisions (%)

Year to 31 Dec 26E 27E 28E
Revenue change 5.9 6 6
Net profit change 8.1 6.5 6.4
Core EPS (FD) change 4.8 2.2 2.2

Source: Daiwa forecasts

Share price performance

報告_Daiwa_建準2421_20260807_001
12-month range 120.35-188.48
Market cap (USDbn) 1.29
3m avg daily turnover (USDm) 20.69
Shares outstanding (m) 273
Major shareholder Hung family (33.0%)

Financial summary (TWD)

Year to 31 Dec 26E 27E 28E
Revenue (m) 22,678 25,773 29,453
Operating profit (m) 3,628 4,330 5,066
Net profit (m) 2,965 3,500 4,069
Core EPS (fully-diluted) 10.445 12.222 14.212
EPS change (%) 31.8 17.0 16.3
Daiwa vs Cons. EPS (%) (0.1) 0.4 2.2
PER (x) 14.5 12.4 10.7
Dividend yield (%) 4.8 5.7 6.6
DPS 7.3 8.6 10.0
PBR (x) 4.2 3.7 3.2
EV/EBITDA (x) 9.6 7.9 6.7
ROE (%) 30.9 31.8 32.4

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

Target price:

TWD205.00 (from TWD200.00)

Share price (7 Aug): TWD151.50 | Up/downside: +35.3%

2Q26 results review: largely in line with estimates

  • 2Q26 net profit in line with estimates; July revenue ahead of estimates
  • Strong 2026 outlook, driven by telecom, server, and industrial
  • Reaffirming our Buy (1) call; raising our 12-month TP to TWD205

What's new: Sunon posted its 2Q26 results today (7 August). We reaffirm our Buy (1) call as we expect the outlook for its telecom, servers, and industrial segments in 2026 to remain intact with both gross and operating margin set to expand.

What's the impact: 2Q26 results largely in line with estimates; recordhigh monthly revenue in July. Sunon's 2Q26 revenue of TWD5,419m (+8.0% QoQ and +16.2% YoY) was in line with our and the consensus estimates. Its 2Q26 gross margin came in at 31.3% (vs. 31.7% in 1Q26 and 30.5% in 2Q25), slightly missing our and the consensus estimates of 31.8% due to rising raw material costs. Therefore, its operating profit of TWD836m (+6.1% QoQ and +16.9% YoY) missed our and the consensus estimates by 6.4% and 6.7%, respectively, after factoring in higher-than-expected admin. expenses. Its operating margin of 15.4% (vs. 15.7% in 1Q26 and 15.3% in 2Q25) also missed our estimate of 16.6% and the consensus estimate of 16.5%. With some non-op gains, its net profit of TWD690m (+6.3% QoQ and +84.5% YoY) was largely in line with our and the consensus estimates. Its 2Q26 EPS finished at TWD2.42, also largely in line with our (TWD2.39) estimate and the consensus (TWD2.49) estimates. On 5 August, Sunon reported a record-high monthly revenue for July of TWD2,119m (+14.2% QoQ, +31.7% YoY; +20.3% YoY for 7M26), accounting for 37.8% and 36.4% of our previous and the consensus estimates, mainly due to the shipments of ASIC projects.

Solid revenue momentum likely to continue into 2H26. For 2H26, we expect its revenue to grow QoQ in light of ASIC projects that are expected to be launched. For its liquid cooling revenue, Sunon expects a singledigit % revenue contribution in 2026, and intends to tap into enterprise, GPU, and ASIC clients. We raise our 2026-28E EPS by 2-5%, mainly on higher revenue assumptions.

What we recommend: We reaffirm our Buy (1) call and raise our 12M TP to TWD205 (from TWD200), now based on a target PER of 17x applied to our 1-year forward EPS forecast. Still around the midpoint of its past-5-year range of 7-25x, the target PER is slightly lower than 18x previously as we now forecast a net profit CAGR of 17.2% (previously 18.1%) over 202628E (1x PEG). Downside risks: worse-than-expected gross-margin expansion and AI server development progress.

How we differ: We are one of only two overseas brokers covering the stock. Our 2028E EPS is 2% above the Bloomberg consensus, likely due to our higher revenue estimate.

Sunon: revenue and earnings forecast revisions

2026E 2026E 2026E 2027E 2027E 2027E 2028E 2028E 2028E
(TWDm) New Previous Change New Previous Change New Previous Change
Sales 22,678 21,407 5.9% 25,773 24,320 6.0% 29,453 27,784 6.0%
Gross profit 7,211 6,850 5.3% 8,325 7,856 6.0% 9,572 9,030 6.0%
Gross margin 31.8% 32.0% -0.2pp 32.3% 32.3% 0pp 32.5% 32.5% 0pp
Operating profit 3,628 3,468 4.6% 4,330 4,086 6.0% 5,066 4,779 6.0%
Operating margin 16.0% 16.2% -0.2pp 16.8% 16.8% 0pp 17.2% 17.2% 0pp
Net profit 2,965 2,742 8.1% 3,500 3,287 6.5% 4,069 3,824 6.4%
Net margin 13.1% 12.8% 0.3pp 13.6% 13.5% 0.1pp 13.8% 13.8% 0.1pp
Fully diluted EPS (TWD) 10.45 9.97 4.8% 12.22 11.95 2.2% 14.21 13.90 2.2%

Source: Daiwa forecasts

Sunon: 2Q26 results review

(TWDm) Sunon's 2Q26 results Our previous forecast Differ Bloomberg consensus Differ
Revenue 5,419 5,371 0.9% 5,437 -0.3%
Gross profit 1,693 1,708 -0.9% 1,727 -2.0%
Operating profit 836 893 -6.4% 896 -6.7%
Profit before tax 912 912 0.0% 929 -1.8%
Net profit 690 657 5.1% 683 1.0%
EPS 2.42 2.39 1.3% 2.49 -2.6%
Margin
Gross margin 31.3% 31.8% -0.5pp 31.8% -0.5pp
Operating margin 15.4% 16.6% -1.2pp 16.5% -1.1pp
Pre-tax margin 16.8% 17.0% -0.1pp 17.1% -0.2pp
Net margin 12.7% 12.2% 0.5pp 12.6% 0.2pp

Source: Company, Bloomberg, Daiwa forecasts

Sunon: quarterly and annual P&L

2026E 2026E 2026E 2026E 2027E 2027E 2027E 2027E 2026E 2027E 2028E
(TWDm) 1Q26 2Q26E 3Q26E 4Q26E 1Q27E 2Q27E 3Q27E 4Q27E
Revenue 5,019 5,419 6,119 6,120 5,700 6,500 6,600 6,973 22,678 25,773 29,453
Gross profit 1,589 1,693 1,958 1,970 1,824 2,080 2,145 2,276 7,211 8,325 9,572
Operating profit 788 836 1058 946 964 1170 1195 1001 3,628 4,330 5,066
Pre-tax profit 805 912 1112 1000 1011 1217 1242 1048 3,829 4,520 5,256
Net profit 649 690 868 758 819 925 969 786 2,965 3,500 4,069
Basic EPS (TWD) 2.36 2.42 3.04 2.66 2.87 3.24 3.40 2.76 10.48 12.27 14.27
Margin
Gross margin 31.7% 31.3% 32.0% 32.2% 32.0% 32.0% 32.5% 32.6% 31.8% 32.3% 32.5%
Operating margin 15.7% 15.4% 17.3% 15.5% 16.9% 18.0% 18.1% 14.4% 16.0% 16.8% 17.2%
Pre-tax margin 16.0% 16.8% 18.2% 16.3% 17.7% 18.7% 18.8% 15.0% 16.9% 17.5% 17.8%
Net margin 12.9% 12.7% 14.2% 12.4% 14.4% 14.2% 14.7% 11.3% 13.1% 13.6% 13.8%
YoY
Revenue 20.6% 16.2% 24.0% 24.4% 13.6% 20.0% 7.9% 13.9% 21.4% 13.7% 14.3%
Gross profit 30.5% 18.9% 26.7% 22.1% 14.8% 22.8% 9.5% 15.5% 24.3% 15.4% 15.0%
Operating profit 52.9% 16.9% 37.7% 16.8% 22.3% 39.9% 12.9% 5.8% 29.2% 19.3% 17.0%
Pre-tax profit 38.7% 76.5% 23.8% 24.8% 25.7% 33.4% 11.7% 4.9% 36.9% 18.0% 16.3%
Net profit 37.5% 84.5% 25.0% 21.3% 26.2% 34.1% 11.7% 3.6% 36.9% 18.0% 16.3%
QoQ
Revenue 2.1% 8.0% 12.9% 0.0% -6.9% 14.0% 1.5% 5.7%
Gross profit -1.5% 6.5% 15.6% 0.6% -7.4% 14.0% 3.1% 6.1%
Operating profit -2.7% 6.1% 26.6% -10.6% 1.9% 21.4% 2.1% -16.2%
Pre-tax profit 0.4% 13.4% 21.9% -10.1% 1.2% 20.4% 2.1% -15.6%
Net profit 3.8% 6.3% 25.7% -12.6% 8.0% 12.9% 4.7% -18.9%

Source: Company, Daiwa forecasts

Sunon: product mix

報告_Daiwa_建準2421_20260807_002

Source: Company, Daiwa forecasts

Sunonwealth Electric Machine Industry (2421 TT): 7 August 2026

Sunon: 1-year forward PER

報告_Daiwa_建準2421_20260807_003

Source: Bloomberg, Daiwa forecasts

Daiwa

Financial summary

Key assumptions

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Automotive revenue YoY growth (%) 6.1 59.5 9.1 31.1 2.8 5 5 5
IT&OE revenue YoY growth (%) 2.3 (26.8) (16.8) (10.7) 13.8 15 0 0
Telecom & server revenue YoY growth (%) 6.5 16.2 21.4 43.5 40.4 28 20 20

Profit and loss (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Telecom & Server revenue 3,838 4,458 5,411 7,765 10,901 13,954 16,744 20,093
Industrial & Medical equipment & Automobile revenue 2,645 3,178 2,686 2,910 3,400 3,919 4,224 4,555
Other Revenue 7,079 6,427 4,817 3,948 4,377 4,805 4,805 4,805
Total Revenue 13,562 14,063 12,915 14,624 18,678 22,678 25,773 29,453
Other income 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
COGS (11,026) (10,892) (9,313) (10,467) (12,876) (15,466) (17,449) (19,881)
SG&A (1,258) (1,268) (1,272) (1,587) (1,910) (2,268) (2,526) (2,857)
Other op.expenses (814) (781) (799) (893) (1,082) (1,315) (1,469) (1,649)
Operating profit 464 1,122 1,530 1,677 2,809 3,628 4,330 5,066
Net-interest inc./(exp.) (14) (30) 49 95 71 97 90 90
Assoc/forex/extraord./others 136 334 172 210 (83) 104 100 100
Pre-tax profit 585 1,426 1,752 1,982 2,797 3,829 4,520 5,256
Tax (156) (337) (418) (490) (631) (864) (1,020) (1,186)
Min. int./pref. div./others 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Net profit (reported) 429 1,089 1,334 1,492 2,165 2,965 3,500 4,069
Net profit (adjusted) 429 1,089 1,334 1,492 2,165 2,965 3,500 4,069
EPS (reported)(TWD) 1.711 4.340 5.163 5.457 7.937 10.484 12.272 14.270
EPS (adjusted)(TWD) 1.711 4.340 5.163 5.457 7.937 10.484 12.272 14.270
EPS (adjusted fully-diluted)(TWD) 1.711 4.327 5.074 5.448 7.924 10.445 12.222 14.212
DPS (TWD) 1.200 2.600 3.500 3.687 5.442 7.265 8.575 9.971
EBIT 464 1,122 1,530 1,677 2,809 3,628 4,330 5,066
EBITDA 981 1,635 2,065 2,171 3,359 3,969 4,747 5,544

Cash flow (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Profit before tax 585 1,426 1,752 1,982 2,797 3,829 4,520 5,256
Depreciation and amortisation 517 513 534 495 550 341 417 478
Tax paid (156) (337) (418) (490) (631) (864) (1,020) (1,186)
Change in working capital (874) 292 387 (465) (254) (846) (379) (765)
Other operational CF items 118 264 (81) 160 836 (92) (90) (90)
Cash flow from operations 191 2,158 2,175 1,682 3,297 2,367 3,448 3,693
Capex (444) (394) (298) (513) (953) (1,500) (1,000) (1,000)
Net (acquisitions)/disposals 178 0 (14) (2) (29) (29) (29) (29)
Other investing CF items (215) (44) (43) (229) (132) 0 0 0
Cash flow from investing (480) (438) (354) (745) (1,114) (1,529) (1,029) (1,029)
Change in debt 1,279 (662) (830) 470 (458) 117 0 0
Net share issues/(repurchases) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dividends paid (602) (301) (652) (957) (1,012) (1,499) (2,055) (2,425)
Other financing CF items (91) (226) 1,274 77 (49) 0 0 0
Cash flow from financing 585 (1,189) (208) (410) (1,519) (1,382) (2,055) (2,425)
Forex effect/others 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Change in cash 296 531 1,612 527 664 (544) 364 239
Free cash flow (253) 1,764 1,877 1,169 2,344 867 2,448 2,693

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

Sunonwealth Electric Machine Industry (2421 TT): 7 August 2026

Daiwa

Financial summary continued …

Balance sheet (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Cash & short-term investment 1,912 2,457 4,031 4,678 5,256 4,762 5,249 5,610
Inventory 2,763 2,863 2,052 2,181 2,424 3,067 3,372 3,893
Accounts receivable 3,546 3,555 3,180 4,247 5,413 6,349 7,207 8,241
Other current assets 169 150 313 332 100 100 100 100
Total current assets 8,391 9,026 9,576 11,438 13,193 14,278 15,929 17,844
Fixed assets 2,059 2,273 2,171 2,461 3,054 4,213 4,796 5,318
Goodwill & intangibles 24 27 24 53 63 63 63 63
Other non-current assets 1,043 866 843 1,046 1,117 1,117 1,117 1,117
Total assets 11,517 12,192 12,615 14,998 17,427 19,671 21,904 24,341
Short-term debt 1,985 1,408 640 1,050 586 703 703 703
Accounts payable 3,986 4,530 3,846 4,759 6,174 6,907 7,692 8,481
Other current liabilities 268 385 235 273 429 429 429 429
Total current liabilities 6,239 6,323 4,721 6,082 7,189 8,038 8,823 9,612
Long-term debt 524 287 213 478 613 613 613 613
Other non-current liabilities 387 380 462 517 738 738 738 738
Total liabilities 7,151 6,989 5,396 7,078 8,539 9,389 10,174 10,962
Share capital 2,509 2,509 2,734 2,734 2,734 2,828 2,828 2,828
Reserves/R.E./others 1,857 2,693 4,484 5,186 6,153 7,454 8,903 10,551
Shareholders' equity 4,367 5,202 7,219 7,920 8,887 10,282 11,731 13,379
Minority interests 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total equity & liabilities 11,517 12,192 12,615 14,998 17,427 19,671 21,904 24,341
EV 42,024 40,664 38,249 38,277 37,369 37,980 37,493 37,131
Net debt/(cash) 597 (763) (3,178) (3,150) (4,058) (3,447) (3,934) (4,295)
BVPS (TWD) 17.402 20.733 26.399 28.859 32.265 36.355 41.477 47.305

Key ratios (%)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Sales (YoY) 6.1 3.7 (8.2) 13.2 27.7 21.4 13.7 14.3
EBITDA (YoY) (37.3) 66.6 26.3 5.2 54.7 18.2 19.6 16.8
Operating profit (YoY) (58.4) 142.0 36.4 9.6 67.5 29.2 19.3 17.0
Net profit (YoY) (49.6) 153.7 22.5 11.9 45.1 36.9 18.0 16.3
Core EPS (fully-diluted) (YoY) (49.6) 153.0 17.3 7.4 45.5 31.8 17.0 16.3
Gross-profit margin 18.7 22.5 27.9 28.4 31.1 31.8 32.3 32.5
EBITDA margin 7.2 11.6 16.0 14.8 18.0 17.5 18.4 18.8
Operating-profit margin 3.4 8.0 11.8 11.5 15.0 16.0 16.8 17.2
Net profit margin 3.2 7.7 10.3 10.2 11.6 13.1 13.6 13.8
ROAE 9.6 22.8 21.5 19.7 25.8 30.9 31.8 32.4
ROAA 3.9 9.2 10.8 10.8 13.4 16.0 16.8 17.6
ROCE 7.3 16.3 20.4 19.1 28.8 33.5 35.1 36.5
ROIC 7.4 18.2 27.5 28.7 45.3 48.2 45.8 46.5
Net debt to equity 13.7 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Effective tax rate 26.7 23.6 23.8 24.7 22.6 22.6 22.6 22.6
Accounts receivable (days) 92.9 92.1 95.2 92.7 94.4 94.6 96.0 95.7
Current ratio (x) 1.3 1.4 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9
Net interest cover (x) 32.6 37.6 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Net dividend payout 70.1 59.9 67.8 67.6 68.6 69.3 69.9 69.9
Free cash flow yield n.a. 4.3 4.5 2.8 5.7 2.1 5.9 6.5

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

Company profile

Founded in 1980 and listed on Taiwan's main board in 2000, Sunonwealth Electric Machine Industry (Sunon) is one of the top-4 fan and motor providers in the world, along with Delta Electronics, Nidec and ebm-papst. Its major clients are Apple, Dell, Lenovo, Bosch, Siemens and Tesla. Its applications include IT & OE, telecoms & servers, industrial & medical equipment, home applications, distribution, autos and LED lighting.

Sunonwealth Electric Machine Industry (2421 TT): 7 August 2026

Daiwa

Sunonwealth Electric Machine Industry (2421 TT): 7 August 2026

ESG analysis

ESG risks

Risks Risks Management Analyst comments
G Executive/board quality 2 The CEO and chairperson of Sunonwealth are the same individual; Sunonwealth's board is led by the Hung family. We see no issues with the company's board. We view the chairman leading the R&D team as a sign of the company's continuing focus on developing new products to achieve a long-term competitive advantage.
G Capital management 2 Sunonwealth's dividend payout ratio was 83-88% in 2015-18, but it decreased to 60-69% during 2022-25 due to its capacity expansion plans.
G Related party & transaction 2 Revenue generated from related-party transactions was less than 1% of total revenue during 2023-25.
E Materials sourcing & efficiency 1 Sunonwealth's sourcing of raw materials has been relatively stable (including IC, copper, plastic, aluminium and steel), and we also note that Sunonwealth abides by RoHS regulations and relevant international standards (ISO14001, IECQ QC080000, ISO9001) for its material sourcing activities. With the ongoing ESG trend, its clients may move towards a more energy-efficient production cycle, which will likely benefit Sunonwealth's energy-efficient products.
E Product design & lifecycle management 2 Sunonwealth has improved its product designs to stronger but lighter form factors. Besides, we have observed more green projects utilising Sunonwealth's capabilities. Thus, we believe Sunonwealth has strong product design and lifecycle management capabilities to address the ongoing changing business environment.
S Product quality & safety 2 Sunonwealth has its own Quality Strategy Centre to evaluate quality issues. With international standards in place, we believe Sunonwealth has taken relevant measures to address product quality and safety issues.

Note: Management score represents a company's ability to manage/benefit from certain ESG topics. The scores range from 1 to 3, with 1 being the strongest.

Update Date: 8 May 2026

Source: Daiwa, Company

Daiwa