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260601_5274_信驊_ms_aspeed

更新 2026-06-02

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原始內容

M June 1, 2026 08:47 AM GMT

Aspeed Technology | Asia Pacific

Initiating Another Round of Price Hike in 2H26; OW

Key Takeaways

  • We expect gross margin to reach 70% in 4Q following a potential second round of price increases in 2H26.

Key takeaways from today's Aspeed 1Q26 earnings call:

  • 3Q26 guidance update: Aspeed guides 3Q revenue to NT$4.1-4.3bn, inline with MSe of NT$4.23bn and above consensus of NT$3.75bn. GM guidance: 67-68% vs. consensus 68%.
  • Qualifying more OSAT to support output: Substrate and OSAT remain key constraints. 3Q substrate supply might be 2-3mn/month, with output rising to 3mn/month and above once E-glass helps. Besides SPIL, Aspeed is adding another Taiwanese OSAT to support increasing wafer output in 4Q. As material and packaging costs rise, we expect Aspeed to initiate another price hike, supporting GM to reach our expected 70% in 2H26.
  • New product ramp: AST2700/2750 will start ramping in 2H26, AST1040 (next-gen SMC) will be production ready in 1H27, and AST1840 (eFPGA SoC) will start ramping in 2H27.

Stay OW: We believe management is guiding 3Q GM conservatively, but we do see a slight margin impact from the substrate price hike. We still expect margin to reach 70% after a potential second round of price hike in 4Q26 (see our Lattice partnership note).

Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited+

Update

Daniel Yen, CFA Equity Analyst Daniel.Yen@morganstanley.com +886 2 2730-2863
Charlie Chan Equity Analyst Charlie.Chan@morganstanley.com +886 2 2730-1725
Daisy Dai, CFA Equity Analyst Daisy.Dai@morganstanley.com +852 2848-7310
Tiffany Yeh Equity Analyst Tiffany.Yeh@morganstanley.com +886 2 7712-3032
Lucas Wang Research Associate Lucas.Wang@morganstanley.com Morgan Stanley Asia Limited+ +886 2 2730-2875
Ethan Jia Research Associate Ethan.Jia@morganstanley.com +852 3963-2287
Henry Zhao Research Associate Henry.Zhao@morganstanley.com +852 2239-7731
260601_5274_信驊_ms_aspeed_001

Aspeed Technology (5274.TWO, 5274 TT)

Greater China Technology Semiconductors | Taiwan

Stock Rating Industry View

Overweight Attractive

Price target

NT$23,456.00

Up/downside to price target (%)

27

Shr price, close (Jun 1, 2026)

NT$18,500.00

52-Week Range

NT$19,510.00-

3,845.00

Sh out, dil, curr (mn)

38

Mkt cap, curr (mn)

NT$694,749

EV, curr (mn)

NT$688,451

Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of Morgan Stanley Research. Investors should consider Morgan Stanley Research as only a single factor in making their investment decision.

圖片清單(已驗證 2026-07-02)

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檔名 size 分類 親眼所見內容
260601_5274_信驊_ms_aspeed_002.png 96702 bytes 真資料圖 產品世代路線圖表格,橫軸2024-2028,縱軸依BMC/SMC/SMC+eFPGA/PRoT/I-O Expander分類,列出各年度晶片型號與階段(如AST2700 Design-in Phase、AST1080 Production-ready、AST1700 Ramp-up等)