PDF 原檔:260601_5274_信驊_ms_aspeed_original.pdf
原始內容
M June 1, 2026 08:47 AM GMT
Aspeed Technology | Asia Pacific
Initiating Another Round of Price Hike in 2H26; OW
Key Takeaways
- We expect gross margin to reach 70% in 4Q following a potential second round of price increases in 2H26.
Key takeaways from today's Aspeed 1Q26 earnings call:
- 3Q26 guidance update: Aspeed guides 3Q revenue to NT$4.1-4.3bn, inline with MSe of NT$4.23bn and above consensus of NT$3.75bn. GM guidance: 67-68% vs. consensus 68%.
- Qualifying more OSAT to support output: Substrate and OSAT remain key constraints. 3Q substrate supply might be 2-3mn/month, with output rising to 3mn/month and above once E-glass helps. Besides SPIL, Aspeed is adding another Taiwanese OSAT to support increasing wafer output in 4Q. As material and packaging costs rise, we expect Aspeed to initiate another price hike, supporting GM to reach our expected 70% in 2H26.
- New product ramp: AST2700/2750 will start ramping in 2H26, AST1040 (next-gen SMC) will be production ready in 1H27, and AST1840 (eFPGA SoC) will start ramping in 2H27.
Stay OW: We believe management is guiding 3Q GM conservatively, but we do see a slight margin impact from the substrate price hike. We still expect margin to reach 70% after a potential second round of price hike in 4Q26 (see our Lattice partnership note).
Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited+
Update
| Daniel Yen, CFA Equity Analyst Daniel.Yen@morganstanley.com | +886 2 2730-2863 |
|---|---|
| Charlie Chan Equity Analyst Charlie.Chan@morganstanley.com | +886 2 2730-1725 |
| Daisy Dai, CFA Equity Analyst Daisy.Dai@morganstanley.com | +852 2848-7310 |
| Tiffany Yeh Equity Analyst Tiffany.Yeh@morganstanley.com | +886 2 7712-3032 |
| Lucas Wang Research Associate Lucas.Wang@morganstanley.com Morgan Stanley Asia Limited+ | +886 2 2730-2875 |
| Ethan Jia Research Associate Ethan.Jia@morganstanley.com | +852 3963-2287 |
| Henry Zhao Research Associate Henry.Zhao@morganstanley.com | +852 2239-7731 |

Aspeed Technology (5274.TWO, 5274 TT)
Greater China Technology Semiconductors | Taiwan
Stock Rating Industry View
Overweight Attractive
Price target
NT$23,456.00
Up/downside to price target (%)
27
Shr price, close (Jun 1, 2026)
NT$18,500.00
52-Week Range
NT$19,510.00-
3,845.00
Sh out, dil, curr (mn)
38
Mkt cap, curr (mn)
NT$694,749
EV, curr (mn)
NT$688,451
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圖片清單(已驗證 2026-07-02)
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96702 bytes | 真資料圖 | 產品世代路線圖表格,橫軸2024-2028,縱軸依BMC/SMC/SMC+eFPGA/PRoT/I-O Expander分類,列出各年度晶片型號與階段(如AST2700 Design-in Phase、AST1080 Production-ready、AST1700 Ramp-up等) |