Stock LLM Wiki

報告_Daiwa_富世達6805_20261103

更新 2026-11-04

PDF 原檔:報告_Daiwa_富世達6805_20261103_original.pdf

圖片清單(已驗證 2026-11-04)

檔名 size 分類 親眼所見內容
報告_Daiwa_富世達6805_20261103_001.png 27KB 真資料圖 Fositek Co(左軸 TWD,約 1,200-2,600)與相對 TWSE 指數(右軸)走勢折線,Nov-25 至 Nov-26,股價 8 月低點後回升至 11 月約 2,300
報告_Daiwa_富世達6805_20261103_002.png 29KB 真資料圖 產品組合堆疊長條圖(2021-2028E):Foldable phone 71%→83%(2024)→56%(2025)→26%(2026E)→15%→11%;Server 5%(2024)→36%→69%→82%→86%;NB、Others 為灰色小段
報告_Daiwa_富世達6805_20261103_003.png 35KB 真資料圖 股價與 8x/16x/24x/32x/40x 一年期前瞻 PER 估值帶(Nov-22 至 Nov-26),股價近期落在 24x 至 32x 帶之間

小於 40KB 但為資料圖,逐張查看後保留。

原始內容

Fositek Corp (6805 TT)

Target price: TWD2,910.00 (from TWD2,615.00)

Shareprice(3Nov):TWD2,160.00 | Up/downside:+34.7%

Brighter 2027 outlook driven by server segment

  • 3Q26 results beat our estimates and Bloomberg consensus
  • Stronger revenue outlook in 2027 with gross margin expansion
  • Reaffirming our Buy (1) rating and raising 12M TP to TWD2,910

What's new: We attended Fositek's investor meeting following its 3Q26 results announcement on 3 November. We believe the company will benefit from the AI server trend with a rising liquid-cooling penetration rate in the following years. With rising server revenue over 2026-28E given its sharegain potential, we reaffirm our Buy (1) rating. See our previous memo 3Q26 revenue largely in line with expectations, 7 October 2026.

What's the impact: 3Q26 results beat our estimates and Bloomberg consensus. Fositek's 3Q26 revenue of TWD4,502m (+20.4% QoQ, +26.2% YoY), a record high, was in line with our estimate and the Bloomberg consensus. Its 3Q26 gross margin came in at 38.0% (vs. 34.0% in 2Q26 and 27.7% in 3Q25), also a record-high level, above our estimates (34.3%) and the consensus (36.5%), mainly on manufacturing process improvements and better-than-expected product mix (server revenue accounted for 81.6% in 3Q26, up from 54.9% in 2Q26 and 56.4% in 1Q26). Its operating margin of 32.4% (vs. 27.9% in 2Q26 and 22.2% in 3Q25), another record high, beat our estimate (28.9%) and the consensus (31.2%), on better opex control. Thus, its operating profit of TWD1,460m (+39.9% QoQ, +84.2% YoY) beat our estimate and the consensus by 11.0% and 3.3%, respectively. Its net profit of TWD1,242m (+46.3% QoQ, +80.8% YoY) beat our estimate and the consensus by 15.9% and 6.5%, respectively. Its 3Q26 EPS finished at TWD18.11. Its 3Q26 product mix was: server (81.6%, +92.7% YoY), foldable phone (15.4%, -53.1% YoY), notebook (4.5%, -28.1% YoY) and others (0.6%, -10.8% YoY).

Brighter 2027 outlook, driven by server segment. Following the ramping up of GPU and ASICs projects in 2H26, we expect a stronger 2027 revenue outlook vs. 2026, along with gross margin expansion. With the rise in the liquid-cooling penetration rate, quick disconnect (QD) shipments per rack and QD spec upgrade for ASP expansion, we forecast its revenue to grow by 40.3% YoY in 2026 and 59.2% YoY in 2027. We raise our 2026-28E EPS by 9-29% on our more aggressive revenue and gross- and operatingmargin assumptions.

What we recommend: We reaffirm our Buy (1) call and lift our 12M TP to TWD2,910 (from TWD2,615), still based on a target PER of 32x (vs. its past-3-year range of 9-42x [average of 24x]), translating to a 0.6x PEG over 2026-28E on our 1-year forward EPS. Key downside risks: lower-thanexpected market share for key clients; slower-than-expected penetration rate of foldable phones; and geopolitical risks.

How we differ: Our 2028E EPS is 8% above the Bloomberg consensus likely as we are more aggressive on revenue.

5

4

3

2

1

Helen Chien (886) 2 8758 6254

helen.chien@daiwacm-cathay.com.tw

Neil Teng, CFA (886) 2 8758 6256 neil.teng@daiwacm-cathay.com.tw

Forecast revisions (%)

Year to 31 Dec 26E 27E 28E
Revenue change (0.4) 11.9 21.9
Net profit change 8.9 18.8 28.6
Core EPS (FD) change 8.9 18.8 28.6

Source: Daiwa forecasts

Share price performance

12-month range 1,230.00-2,600.00
Market cap (USDbn) 4.54
3m avg daily turnover (USDm) 117.05
Shares outstanding (m) 69
Major shareholder AVC (16.9%)

Financial summary (TWD)

Year to 31 Dec 26E 27E 28E
Revenue (m) 17,421 27,740 36,848
Operating profit (m) 5,261 9,182 12,676
Net profit (m) 4,406 7,429 10,206
Core EPS (fully-diluted) 64.257 108.335 148.844
EPS change (%) 107.4 68.6 37.4
Daiwa vs Cons. EPS (%) 1.8 (1.4) 8.4
PER (x) 33.6 19.9 14.5
Dividend yield (%) 1.5 2.5 3.4
DPS 32.1 54.2 74.4
PBR (x) 13.3 9.1 6.5
EV/EBITDA (x) 23.7 13.7 9.6
ROE (%) 48.1 54.1 52.1

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

Fositek: revenue and earnings forecasts revisions

(TWDm) 2026E - New 2026E - Previous 2026E - Change 2027E - New 2027E - Previous 2027E - Change 2028E - New 2028E - Previous 2028E - Change
Sales 17,421 17,494 -0.4% 27,740 24,793 11.9% 36,848 30,230 21.9%
Gross profit 6,254 5,948 5.1% 10,541 8,925 18.1% 14,371 11,185 28.5%
Gross margin 35.9% 34.0% 1.9pp 38.0% 36.0% 2pp 39.0% 37.0% 2pp
Operating profit 5,261 4,948 6.3% 9,182 7,711 19.1% 12,676 9,825 29.0%
Operating margin 30.2% 28.3% 1.9pp 33.1% 31.1% 2pp 34.4% 32.5% 1.9pp
Net profit 4,406 4,046 8.9% 7,429 6,254 18.8% 10,206 7,935 28.6%
Net margin 25.3% 23.1% 2.2pp 26.8% 25.2% 1.6pp 27.7% 26.2% 1.4pp
Fully diluted EPS (TWD) 64.26 59.00 8.9% 108.34 91.21 18.8% 148.84 115.72 28.6%

Source: Daiwa forecasts

Fositek: 3Q26 results review

(TWDm) Fositek's 3Q26 results Our forecasts Differ Bloomberg consensus Differ
Revenue 4,502 4,550 -1.1% 4,534 -0.7%
Gross profit 1,712 1,561 9.7% 1,654 3.5%
Operating profit 1,460 1,316 11.0% 1,413 3.3%
Profit before tax 1,562 1,348 15.9% 1,444 8.2%
Net profit 1,242 1,071 15.9% 1,153 7.7%
EPS 18.11 15.63 15.9% 17.00 6.5%
Margin
Gross margin 38.0% 34.3% 3.7pp 36.5% 1.5pp
Operating margin 32.4% 28.9% 3.5pp 31.2% 1.3pp
Pre-tax margin 34.7% 29.6% 5.1pp 31.9% 2.8pp
Net margin 27.6% 23.5% 4pp 25.4% 2.2pp

Source: Company, Bloomberg, Daiwa forecasts

Fositek: quarterly and annual P&L

(TWDm) 2026E - 1Q26 2026E - 2Q26 2026E - 3Q26 2026E - 4Q26E 2027E - 1Q27E 2027E - 2Q27E 2027E - 3Q27E 2027E - 4Q27E 2026E 2027E 2028E
Revenue 4,184 3,740 4,502 4,996 5,100 6,000 7,200 9,440 17,421 27,740 36,848
Gross profit 1,352 1,273 1,712 1,917 1,928 2,280 2,736 3,597 6,254 10,541 14,371
Operating profit 1,120 1,043 1,460 1,638 1,628 1,950 2,391 3,213 5,261 9,182 12,676
Pre-tax profit 1,165 1,075 1,562 1,740 1,668 1,991 2,432 3,254 5,542 9,344 12,838
Net profit 917 849 1,242 1,398 1,326 1,582 1,933 2,587 4,406 7,429 10,206
Basic EPS (TWD) 13.38 12.39 18.11 20.38 19.34 23.08 28.19 37.73 64.27 108.34 148.85
Margin
Gross margin 32.3% 34.0% 38.0% 38.4% 37.8% 38.0% 38.0% 38.1% 35.9% 38.0% 39.0%
Operating margin 26.8% 27.9% 32.4% 32.8% 31.9% 32.5% 33.2% 34.0% 30.2% 33.1% 34.4%
Pre-tax margin 27.9% 28.8% 34.7% 34.8% 32.7% 33.2% 33.8% 34.5% 31.8% 33.7% 34.8%
Net margin 21.9% 22.7% 27.6% 28.0% 26.0% 26.4% 26.8% 27.4% 25.3% 26.8% 27.7%
YoY
Revenue 85.8% 42.7% 26.2% 25.6% 21.9% 60.4% 59.9% 89.0% 40.3% 59.2% 32.8%
Gross profit 171.2% 101.9% 73.5% 66.0% 42.6% 79.1% 59.8% 87.6% 91.2% 68.5% 36.3%
Operating profit 206.3% 110.0% 84.2% 88.4% 45.3% 86.9% 63.8% 96.2% 108.4% 74.5% 38.0%
Pre-tax profit 177.1% 172.5% 88.1% 93.5% 43.2% 85.1% 55.7% 87.0% 117.8% 68.6% 37.4%
Net profit 157.3% 157.0% 80.8% 86.0% 44.6% 86.4% 55.6% 85.1% 107.3% 68.6% 37.4%
QoQ
Revenue 5.2% -10.6% 20.4% 11.0% 2.1% 17.6% 20.0% 31.1%
Gross profit 17.1% -5.8% 34.5% 12.0% 0.5% 18.3% 20.0% 31.5%
Operating profit 28.9% -6.9% 39.9% 12.2% -0.6% 19.8% 22.6% 34.4%
Pre-tax profit 29.6% -7.7% 45.2% 11.4% -4.1% 19.3% 22.2% 33.8%
Net profit 22.1% -7.4% 46.3% 12.5% -5.1% 19.3% 22.2% 33.8%

Source: Company, Daiwa forecasts

Fositek: product mix

Fositek: 1-year forward PER

Source: Company, Daiwa forecasts

Source: Bloomberg, Daiwa forecasts

Financial summary

Key assumptions

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Foldablephone revenueYoYgrowth 0.0 8.9 19.1 45.9 3.6 (35.0) (10.0) 0.0
(%) NB YoY growth (%) 0.0 2.4 (5.5) (7.7) (11.1) 0.0 0.0 0.0
Server revenue YoY growth (%) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 935.9 165.0 90.0 40.0

Profit and loss (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Foldable phone 3,572 3,889 4,633 6,759 7,001 4,551 4,096 4,096
Server 0 0 0 435 4,506 11,942 22,689 31,765
Other Revenue 1,449 1,125 1,011 994 906 929 955 988
Total Revenue 5,020 5,014 5,644 8,188 12,414 17,421 27,740 36,848
Other income 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
COGS (3,827) (3,848) (4,326) (6,361) (9,144) (11,167) (17,199) (22,477)
SG&A (133) (153) (151) (180) (187) (261) (388) (479)
Other op.expenses (251) (238) (286) (450) (559) (732) (971) (1,216)
Operating profit 809 775 881 1,197 2,524 5,261 9,182 12,676
Net-interest inc./(exp.) (9) (15) 1 52 41 22 22 22
Assoc/forex/extraord./others (24) 76 30 245 (21) 259 140 140
Pre-tax profit 776 835 911 1,495 2,545 5,542 9,344 12,838
Tax (243) (271) (283) (267) (419) (1,136) (1,916) (2,632)
Min. int./pref. div./others 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Net profit (reported) 533 564 628 1,227 2,125 4,406 7,429 10,206
Net profit (adjusted) 533 564 628 1,227 2,125 4,406 7,429 10,206
EPS (reported)(TWD) 9.289 9.331 10.185 17.904 31.002 64.269 108.339 148.849
EPS (adjusted)(TWD) 9.289 9.331 10.185 17.904 31.002 64.269 108.339 148.849
EPS (adjusted fully-diluted)(TWD) 9.276 9.311 10.174 17.890 30.982 64.257 108.335 148.844
DPS (TWD) 3.688 4.000 6.115 8.000 10.500 32.134 54.169 74.424
EBIT 809 775 881 1,197 2,524 5,261 9,182 12,676
EBITDA 910 966 1,043 1,638 2,801 5,845 9,741 13,329

Cash flow (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Profit before tax 776 835 911 1,495 2,545 5,542 9,344 12,838
Depreciation and amortisation 126 115 132 196 298 325 419 513
Tax paid (78) (128) (125) (173) (337) (1,136) (1,916) (2,632)
Change in working capital (726) 1,400 221 (212) (260) (655) (226) (494)
Other operational CF items 386 96 80 103 (274) (22) (22) (22)
Cash flow from operations 484 2,318 1,218 1,409 1,970 4,054 7,599 10,203
Capex (204) (106) (189) (541) (322) (500) (500) (500)
Net (acquisitions)/disposals 0 3 5 (70) 6 0 0 0
Other investing CF items 54 (16) 2 (53) (47) 0 0 0
Cash flow from investing (150) (119) (182) (664) (362) (500) (500) (500)
Change in debt 644 77 (521) (10) (10) 0 0 0
Net share issues/(repurchases) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dividends paid (19) (272) (242) (377) (548) (720) (2,203) (3,714)
Other financing CF items 650 (19) 1,833 (35) (45) 0 0 0
Cash flow from financing 1,275 (214) 1,071 (422) (603) (720) (2,203) (3,714)
Forex effect/others 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Change in cash 1,609 1,985 2,107 324 1,005 2,834 4,896 5,989
Free cash flow 280 2,131 949 713 1,881 3,554 7,099 9,703

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

Financial summary continued …

Balance sheet (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Cash & short-term investment 1,854 3,841 5,898 6,336 7,446 10,280 15,176 21,165
Inventory 1,111 943 999 2,902 3,606 5,142 6,633 8,843
Accounts receivable 1,375 452 1,462 2,166 2,300 3,914 5,684 7,915
Other current assets 49 36 105 260 143 143 143 143
Total current assets 4,390 5,272 8,464 11,664 13,494 19,478 27,636 38,065
Fixed assets 324 312 359 758 817 992 1,073 1,060
Goodwill & intangibles 13 12 15 18 17 17 17 17
Other non-current assets 113 107 92 318 351 351 351 351
Total assets 4,840 5,704 8,930 12,758 14,678 20,838 29,077 39,493
Short-term debt 369 703 440 430 420 420 420 420
Accounts payable 1,502 1,865 3,224 5,811 5,911 8,405 11,439 15,384
Other current liabilities 129 133 166 291 503 228 228 228
Total current liabilities 1,999 2,701 3,830 6,533 6,833 9,053 12,088 16,032
Long-term debt 515 258 22 22 22 22 22 22
Other non-current liabilities 256 359 483 657 629 629 629 629
Total liabilities 2,770 3,318 4,335 7,212 7,485 9,705 12,739 16,684
Share capital 605 605 686 686 686 686 686 686
Reserves/R.E./others 1,466 1,781 3,910 4,861 6,507 10,447 15,652 22,123
Shareholders' equity 2,070 2,386 4,595 5,546 7,193 11,132 16,338 22,809
Minority interests 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total equity & liabilities 4,840 5,704 8,930 12,758 14,678 20,838 29,077 39,493
EV 147,135 145,226 142,669 142,222 141,103 138,269 133,372 127,384
Net debt/(cash) (971) (2,880) (5,437) (5,884) (7,003) (9,837) (14,734) (20,722)
BVPS (TWD) 36.079 39.467 74.534 80.906 104.919 162.358 238.271 332.651

Key ratios (%)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Sales (YoY) 125.8 (0.1) 12.6 45.1 51.6 40.3 59.2 32.8
EBITDA (YoY) 158.0 6.1 8.0 57.1 71.0 108.7 66.7 36.8
Operating profit (YoY) 179.5 (4.2) 13.7 36.0 110.8 108.4 74.5 38.0
Net profit (YoY) 153.3 5.8 11.3 95.5 73.2 107.3 68.6 37.4
Core EPS (fully-diluted) (YoY) 48.7 0.4 9.3 75.8 73.2 107.4 68.6 37.4
Gross-profit margin 23.8 23.3 23.3 22.3 26.3 35.9 38.0 39.0
EBITDA margin 18.1 19.3 18.5 20.0 22.6 33.5 35.1 36.2
Operating-profit margin 16.1 15.5 15.6 14.6 20.3 30.2 33.1 34.4
Net profit margin 10.6 11.3 11.1 15.0 17.1 25.3 26.8 27.7
ROAE 36.1 25.3 18.0 24.2 33.4 48.1 54.1 52.1
ROAA 13.9 10.7 8.6 11.3 15.5 24.8 29.8 29.8
ROCE 39.6 24.6 21.0 21.7 37.0 54.8 64.8 63.3
ROIC 56.2 n.a n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a n.a n.a
Net debt to equity n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Effective tax rate 31.3 32.4 31.1 17.9 16.5 20.5 20.5 20.5
Accounts receivable (days) 65.8 66.5 61.9 80.9 65.7 65.1 63.1 67.4
Current ratio (x) 2.2 2.0 2.2 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.4
Net interest cover (x) 91.5 50.1 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Net dividend payout 39.7 42.9 60.0 44.7 33.9 50.0 50.0 50.0
Free cash flow yield 0.2 1.4 0.6 0.5 1.3 2.4 4.8 6.6

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

Company profile

Fositek is a provider of foldable phone hinges, foldable laptop/tablet hinges, AR/VR glasses hinges, ultra-thin laptop hinges and keyboard hinges, as well as hinges for medical instruments and automobile applications. Its major clients include Huawei and Motorola.

ESG analysis

ESG risks

Risks Management Analystcomments
G Executive/board quality 1 The CEO and chairperson of Fositek are not the same individual, and we see no issue with its board quality. Besides, we note that the chairperson has 24 years of experience in this industry and took over the role of chairman at Fositek in 2014, which is a positive sign from a governance perspective.
G Capital management 2 Fositek's dividend payout ratio was 40-60% over 2022-25, due likely to its capacity expansion plans.
G Related party & transaction 2 Revenue generated from related-party transactions (mainly for AVC and SZFSD) was 0-16% of total revenue during 2022-25, and we found no suspicious activity.
E Supplychain management 1 Fositek maintains smooth communication channels with its suppliers and executes its business operations effectively. In response to ESG issues, Fositek actively implements supply chain management, striving to optimise the overall environment through product design, raw-material procurement, manufacturing, transportation, packaging and recycling processes. It integrates upstream and downstream suppliers to establish a green supply chain. For example, Fositek has required its suppliers to sign environmental protection agreements since 2021, committing to comply with hazardous substance control regulations.
G Datasecurity 2 To protect company information and customer data, Fositek has passed the IEC/ISO 27001 information security management system certification and will continue to enhance execution in various management areas.

Note: Management score represents a company's ability to manage/benefit from certain ESG topics. The scores range from 1 to 3, with 1 being the strongest.

Update Date: 7 May 2026

Source: Daiwa, Company