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報告_Daiwa_富世達6805_20260804

更新 2026-08-06

PDF 原檔:報告_Daiwa_富世達6805_20260804_original.pdf

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檔名 size 分類 親眼所見內容
報告_Daiwa_富世達6805_20260804_001.png 32KB 真資料圖 富世達股價(藍線,TWD,LHS)+ 相對 TWSE 指數(黃色虛線,%,RHS)走勢圖,Aug-25 至 Aug-26
報告_Daiwa_富世達6805_20260804_002.png 35KB 真資料圖 富世達營收結構堆疊長條圖,2021-2028E,分 Foldable phone/NB/Server/Others 四類,顯示 Server 占比自 2021 年 0% 快速攀升至 2028E 72%,Foldable phone 占比同步由 71% 降至 24%
報告_Daiwa_富世達6805_20260804_003.png 40KB 真資料圖 富世達 1-year forward PER 河流圖,Aug-22 至 Aug-26,股價線(深藍)疊加 8x/16x/24x/32x/40x 本益比帶,近期股價貼近 24x 上緣

原始內容

Taiwan

Fositek Corp (6805 TT)

Target price:

TWD2,615.00 (from TWD2,600.00)

Share price (4 Aug): TWD1,590.00 | Up/downside: +64.5%

Investor meeting: positive tone over 2026-27 outlook

  • 2Q26 results missed, but historical-high gross margins
  • Stronger revenue outlook in 2H26 vs. 1H26, driven by server segment
  • Reaffirming our Buy (1) rating; raising 12M TP to TWD2,615

What's new: We attended Fositek's investor meeting following its 2Q26 results announcement on 4 August. We believe the company will benefit from the AI server trend with rising liquid cooling penetration rate in the following years, with rising server revenue over 2026-28E. Given the company's share-gain potential, we reaffirm our Buy (1) rating. See our memo , 7 July 2026.

What's the impact: 2Q26 results missed, but historical-high margins

set. Fositek's 2Q26 revenue of TWD3,740m (-10.6% QoQ, +42.7% YoY) missed our and Bloomberg consensus estimates by 12.1% and 12.8%, respectively, due to the product transition in the foldable phone and server segments. Its 2Q26 gross margin came in at 34.0% (vs. 32.3% in 1Q26 and 24.1% in 2Q25), a record-high level above our (33.0%) and consensus (32.9%) estimates, mainly on manufacturing process improvements and better-than-expected product mix (server revenue accounted for 55.7% in 1H26, up from 36.3% in 2025). Its operating margin of 27.9% (vs. 26.8% in 1Q26 and 19.0% in 2Q25), also a record-high level, beat our (27.2%) and consensus (26.9%) estimates, on better opex control. Thus, its operating profit of TWD1,043m (-6.9% QoQ, +110.0% YoY) missed our and consensus estimates by 9.9% and 9.5%, respectively. Overall, its net profit of TWD849m (-7.4% QoQ, +157.0% YoY) missed our and consensus estimates by 16.0% and 12.4%, respectively. Its 2Q26 EPS finished at TWD12.39. Its 2Q26 product mix was: server (54.9%, +259.9% YoY), foldable phone (38.3%, -20.5% YoY), NB (6.0%, -0.8% YoY) and others (0.7%, +49.1% YoY).

Brighter 2H26 vs. 1H26. We expect a strong 2H26 revenue vs. 1H26 and gross margin expansion on the ramping up of GPU and ASIC projects in 2H26. Due to the rise in liquid cooling penetration rate, product application and QD shipments per rack, we expect its revenue to grow 40.9% YoY in 2026E and 41.7% YoY in 2027E. We lower our 2026-28E EPS by 5-11% due to our slightly conservative revenue and higher tax rate estimates.

What we recommend: We reaffirm our Buy (1) call and raise our 12M TP to TWD2,615 (from TWD2,600), now based on a target PER of 32x (from 33x vs. its past-3-year range of 9-43x [average of 24x]) on decelerating earnings momentum, translating to a 0.8x PEG over 2026-28E on our 1year forward EPS. Key downside risks: lower-than-expected market share for key clients, slower-than-expected penetration rate of foldable phones and geopolitical risks.

How we differ: Our 2026-27E EPS are 5-8% below the Bloomberg consensus, likely as we are more conservative on revenue.

Daiwa

5

3

2

1

Buy

Helen Chien

Helen Chien

(886) 2 8758 6254 helen.chien@daiwacm-cathay.com.tw

Neil Teng, CFA (886) 2 8758 6256 neil.teng@daiwacm-cathay.com.tw

Forecast revisions (%)

Year to 31 Dec 26E 27E 28E
Revenue change (6.2) (5.7) (5.5)
Net profit change (11.3) (6.9) (4.6)
Core EPS (FD) change (11.2) (6.9) (4.6)

Source: Daiwa forecasts

Share price performance

報告_Daiwa_富世達6805_20260804_001
12-month range 943.00-2,215.00
Market cap (USDbn) 3.36
3m avg daily turnover (USDm) 89.13
Shares outstanding (m) 69
Major shareholder AVC (16.9%)

Financial summary (TWD)

Year to 31 Dec 26E 27E 28E
Revenue (m) 17,494 24,793 30,230
Operating profit (m) 4,948 7,711 9,825
Net profit (m) 4,046 6,254 7,935
Core EPS (fully-diluted) 58.996 91.206 115.720
EPS change (%) 90.4 54.6 26.9
Daiwa vs Cons. EPS (%) (8.0) (4.6) 0.9
PER (x) 27.0 17.4 13.7
Dividend yield (%) 1.9 2.9 3.6
DPS 29.5 45.6 57.9
PBR (x) 10.1 7.3 5.5
EV/EBITDA (x) 18.4 11.5 8.7
ROE (%) 45.0 48.5 45.6

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

Fositek: revenue and earnings forecasts revisions

2026E 2026E 2026E 2027E 2027E 2027E 2028E 2028E 2028E
(TWDm) New Previous Change New Previous Change New Previous Change
Sales 17,494 18,644 -6.2% 24,793 26,294 -5.7% 30,230 31,998 -5.5%
Gross profit 5,948 6,283 -5.3% 8,925 9,071 -1.6% 11,185 11,199 -0.1%
Gross margin 34.0% 33.7% 0.3pp 36.0% 34.5% 1.5pp 37.0% 35.0% 2pp
Operating profit 4,948 5,314 -6.9% 7,711 7,914 -2.6% 9,825 9,839 -0.1%
Operating margin 28.3% 28.5% -0.2pp 31.1% 30.1% 1pp 32.5% 30.8% 1.8pp
Net profit 4,046 4,560 -11.3% 6,254 6,720 -6.9% 7,935 8,318 -4.6%
Net margin 23.1% 24.5% -1.3pp 25.2% 25.6% -0.3pp 26.2% 26.0% 0.3pp
Fully diluted EPS (TWD) 59.00 66.47 -11.2% 91.21 97.96 -6.9% 115.72 121.26 -4.6%

Source: Daiwa forecasts

Fositek: 2Q26 results review

(TWDm) Fositek's 2Q26 results Our forecasts Differ Bloomberg consensus Differ
Revenue 3,740 4,253 -12.1% 4,287 -12.8%
Gross profit 1,273 1,404 -9.3% 1,410 -9.7%
Operating profit 1,043 1,159 -9.9% 1,153 -9.5%
Profit before tax 1,075 1,204 -10.6% 1,188 -9.5%
Net profit 849 1,011 -16.0% 969 -12.4%
EPS 12.39 14.75 -16.0% 14.23 -12.9%
Margin
Gross margin 34.0% 33.0% 1pp 32.9% 1.2pp
Operating margin 27.9% 27.2% 0.7pp 26.9% 1pp
Pre-tax margin 28.8% 28.3% 0.5pp 27.7% 1pp
Net margin 22.7% 23.8% -1.1pp 22.6% 0.1pp

Source: Company, Bloomberg, Daiwa forecasts

Fositek: quarterly and annual P&L

2026E 2026E 2026E 2026E 2027E 2026E 2027E 2026E 2027E 2026E 2027E
(TWDm) 1Q26 2Q26E 3Q26E 4Q26E 1Q27E 2Q27E 3Q27E 4Q27E
Revenue 4,184 3,740 4,550 5,020 5,500 6,000 6,300 6,993 17,494 24,793 30,230
Gross profit 1,352 1,273 1,561 1,762 1,870 2,100 2,268 2,687 5,948 8,925 11,185
Operating profit 1,120 1,043 1,316 1,468 1,600 1,820 1,988 2,303 4,948 7,711 9,825
Pre-tax profit 1,165 1,075 1,348 1,500 1,639 1,859 2,027 2,342 5,089 7,867 9,982
Net profit 917 849 1,071 1,208 1,303 1,478 1,612 1,862 4,046 6,254 7,935
Basic EPS (TWD) 13.38 12.39 15.63 17.62 19.01 21.56 23.51 27.16 59.01 91.23 115.75
Margin
Gross margin 32.3% 34.0% 34.3% 35.1% 34.0% 35.0% 36.0% 38.4% 34.0% 36.0% 37.0%
Operating margin 26.8% 27.9% 28.9% 29.2% 29.1% 30.3% 31.6% 32.9% 28.3% 31.1% 32.5%
Pre-tax margin 27.9% 28.8% 29.6% 29.9% 29.8% 31.0% 32.2% 33.5% 29.1% 31.7% 33.0%
Net margin 21.9% 22.7% 23.5% 24.1% 23.7% 24.6% 25.6% 26.6% 23.1% 25.2% 26.2%
YoY
Revenue 85.8% 42.7% 27.6% 26.3% 31.5% 60.4% 38.5% 39.3% 40.9% 41.7% 21.9%
Gross profit 171.2% 101.9% 58.2% 52.6% 38.3% 64.9% 45.3% 52.5% 81.9% 50.1% 25.3%
Operating profit 206.3% 110.0% 66.0% 68.9% 42.8% 74.4% 51.1% 56.8% 96.0% 55.8% 27.4%
Pre-tax profit 177.1% 172.5% 62.3% 66.9% 40.7% 72.9% 50.4% 56.1% 100.0% 54.6% 26.9%
Net profit 157.3% 157.0% 56.0% 60.7% 42.1% 74.1% 50.4% 54.1% 90.4% 54.6% 26.9%
QoQ
Revenue 5.2% -10.6% 21.7% 10.3% 9.6% 9.1% 5.0% 11.0%
Gross profit 17.1% -5.8% 22.6% 12.9% 6.1% 12.3% 8.0% 18.5%
Operating profit 28.9% -6.9% 26.1% 11.6% 9.0% 13.8% 9.2% 15.8%
Pre-tax profit 29.6% -7.7% 25.3% 11.3% 9.2% 13.4% 9.0% 15.5%
Net profit 22.1% -7.4% 26.2% 12.7% 7.9% 13.4% 9.0% 15.5%

Source: Company, Daiwa forecasts

Fositek: product mix

報告_Daiwa_富世達6805_20260804_002

Source: Company, Daiwa forecasts

Fositek Corp (6805 TT): 4 August 2026

Fositek: 1-year forward PER

報告_Daiwa_富世達6805_20260804_003

Source: Bloomberg, Daiwa forecasts

Daiwa

Financial summary

Key assumptions

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Foldable phone revenue YoY growth 0 8.9 19.1 45.9 3.6 (5.0) 5 5
(%) NB YoY growth (%) 0 2.4 (5.5) (7.7) (11.1) 0.0 0 0
Server revenue YoY growth (%) 0 0 0.0 0.0 935.9 120.0 70 30

Profit and loss (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Foldable phone 3,572 3,889 4,633 6,759 7,001 6,651 6,984 7,333
Server 0 0 0 435 4,506 9,914 16,853 21,909
Other Revenue 1,449 1,125 1,011 994 906 929 955 988
Total Revenue 5,020 5,014 5,644 8,188 12,414 17,494 24,793 30,230
Other income 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
COGS (3,827) (3,848) (4,326) (6,361) (9,144) (11,546) (15,867) (19,045)
SG&A (133) (153) (151) (180) (187) (262) (347) (393)
Other op.expenses (251) (238) (286) (450) (559) (738) (868) (967)
Operating profit 809 775 881 1,197 2,524 4,948 7,711 9,825
Net-interest inc./(exp.) (9) (15) 1 52 41 17 17 17
Assoc/forex/extraord./others (24) 76 30 245 (21) 124 140 140
Pre-tax profit 776 835 911 1,495 2,545 5,089 7,867 9,982
Tax (243) (271) (283) (267) (419) (1,043) (1,613) (2,046)
Min. int./pref. div./others 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Net profit (reported) 533 564 628 1,227 2,125 4,046 6,254 7,935
Net profit (adjusted) 533 564 628 1,227 2,125 4,046 6,254 7,935
EPS (reported)(TWD) 9.289 9.331 10.185 17.904 31.002 59.013 91.233 115.754
EPS (adjusted)(TWD) 9.289 9.331 10.185 17.904 31.002 59.013 91.233 115.754
EPS (adjusted fully-diluted)(TWD) 9.276 9.311 10.174 17.890 30.982 58.996 91.206 115.720
DPS (TWD) 3.688 4.000 6.115 8.000 10.500 29.507 45.617 57.877
EBIT 809 775 881 1,197 2,524 4,948 7,711 9,825
EBITDA 910 966 1,043 1,638 2,801 5,396 8,269 10,478

Cash flow (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Profit before tax 776 835 911 1,495 2,545 5,089 7,867 9,982
Depreciation and amortisation 126 115 132 196 298 325 419 513
Tax paid (78) (128) (125) (173) (337) (1,043) (1,613) (2,046)
Change in working capital (726) 1,400 221 (212) (260) (554) (108) (316)
Other operational CF items 386 96 80 103 (274) (17) (17) (17)
Cash flow from operations 484 2,318 1,218 1,409 1,970 3,799 6,549 8,115
Capex (204) (106) (189) (541) (322) (500) (500) (500)
Net (acquisitions)/disposals 0 3 5 (70) 6 0 0 0
Other investing CF items 54 (16) 2 (53) (47) 0 0 0
Cash flow from investing (150) (119) (182) (664) (362) (500) (500) (500)
Change in debt 644 77 (521) (10) (10) 0 0 0
Net share issues/(repurchases) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dividends paid (19) (272) (242) (377) (548) (720) (2,023) (3,127)
Other financing CF items 650 (19) 1,833 (35) (45) 0 0 0
Cash flow from financing 1,275 (214) 1,071 (422) (603) (720) (2,023) (3,127)
Forex effect/others 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Change in cash 1,609 1,985 2,107 324 1,005 2,579 4,026 4,488
Free cash flow 280 2,131 949 713 1,881 3,299 6,049 7,615

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

Fositek Corp (6805 TT): 4 August 2026

Daiwa

Financial summary continued …

Balance sheet (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Cash & short-term investment 1,854 3,841 5,898 6,336 7,446 10,025 14,051 18,539
Inventory 1,111 943 999 2,902 3,606 5,282 6,198 7,647
Accounts receivable 1,375 452 1,462 2,166 2,300 3,930 5,080 6,493
Other current assets 49 36 105 260 143 143 143 143
Total current assets 4,390 5,272 8,464 11,664 13,494 19,380 25,472 32,822
Fixed assets 324 312 359 758 817 992 1,073 1,060
Goodwill & intangibles 13 12 15 18 17 17 17 17
Other non-current assets 113 107 92 318 351 351 351 351
Total assets 4,840 5,704 8,930 12,758 14,678 20,739 26,912 34,249
Short-term debt 369 703 440 430 420 420 420 420
Accounts payable 1,502 1,865 3,224 5,811 5,911 8,662 10,618 13,162
Other current liabilities 129 133 166 291 503 228 228 228
Total current liabilities 1,999 2,701 3,830 6,533 6,833 9,310 11,266 13,810
Long-term debt 515 258 22 22 22 22 22 22
Other non-current liabilities 256 359 483 657 629 629 629 629
Total liabilities 2,770 3,318 4,335 7,212 7,485 9,962 11,918 14,462
Share capital 605 605 686 686 686 686 686 686
Reserves/R.E./others 1,466 1,781 3,910 4,861 6,507 10,092 14,308 19,102
Shareholders' equity 2,070 2,386 4,595 5,546 7,193 10,777 14,994 19,787
Minority interests 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total equity & liabilities 4,840 5,704 8,930 12,758 14,678 20,739 26,912 34,249
EV 108,030 106,121 103,564 103,117 101,998 99,418 95,393 90,905
Net debt/(cash) (971) (2,880) (5,437) (5,884) (7,003) (9,582) (13,608) (18,096)
BVPS (TWD) 36.079 39.467 74.534 80.906 104.919 157.208 218.717 288.635

Key ratios (%)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Sales (YoY) 125.8 (0.1) 12.6 45.1 51.6 40.9 41.7 21.9
EBITDA (YoY) 158.0 6.1 8.0 57.1 71.0 92.7 53.2 26.7
Operating profit (YoY) 179.5 (4.2) 13.7 36.0 110.8 96.0 55.8 27.4
Net profit (YoY) 153.3 5.8 11.3 95.5 73.2 90.4 54.6 26.9
Core EPS (fully-diluted) (YoY) 48.7 0.4 9.3 75.8 73.2 90.4 54.6 26.9
Gross-profit margin 23.8 23.3 23.3 22.3 26.3 34.0 36.0 37.0
EBITDA margin 18.1 19.3 18.5 20.0 22.6 30.8 33.4 34.7
Operating-profit margin 16.1 15.5 15.6 14.6 20.3 28.3 31.1 32.5
Net profit margin 10.6 11.3 11.1 15.0 17.1 23.1 25.2 26.2
ROAE 36.1 25.3 18.0 24.2 33.4 45.0 48.5 45.6
ROAA 13.9 10.7 8.6 11.3 15.5 22.8 26.3 25.9
ROCE 39.6 24.6 21.0 21.7 37.0 52.5 57.9 55.1
ROIC 56.2 n.a n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a n.a n.a
Net debt to equity n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Effective tax rate 31.3 32.4 31.1 17.9 16.5 20.5 20.5 20.5
Accounts receivable (days) 65.8 66.5 61.9 80.9 65.7 65.0 66.3 69.9
Current ratio (x) 2.2 2.0 2.2 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.4
Net interest cover (x) 91.5 50.1 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Net dividend payout 39.7 42.9 60.0 44.7 33.9 50.0 50.0 50.0
Free cash flow yield 0.3 2.0 0.9 0.7 1.7 3.0 5.5 7.0

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

Company profile

Fositek is a provider of foldable phone hinges, foldable laptop/tablet hinges, AR/VR glasses hinges, ultra-thin laptop hinges and keyboard hinges, as well as hinges for medical instruments and automobile applications. Its major clients include Huawei and Motorola.

Fositek Corp (6805 TT): 4 August 2026

Daiwa

ESG analysis

ESG risks

Risks Management Analyst comments
G Executive/board quality 1 The CEO and chairperson of Fositek are not the same individual, and we see no issue with its board quality. Besides, we note that the chairperson has 24 years of experience in this industry and took over the role of chairman at Fositek in 2014, which is a positive sign from a governance perspective.
G Capital management 2 Fositek's dividend payout ratio was 40-60% over 2022-25, due likely to its capacity expansion plans.
G Related party & transaction 2 Revenue generated from related-party transactions (mainly for AVC and SZFSD) was 0-16% of total revenue during 2022-25, and we found no suspicious activity.
E Supply chain management 1 Fositek maintains smooth communication channels with its suppliers and executes its business operations effectively. In response to ESG issues, Fositek actively implements supply chain management, striving to optimise the overall environment through product design, raw-material procurement, manufacturing, transportation, packaging and recycling processes. It integrates upstream and downstream suppliers to establish a green supply chain. For example, Fositek has required its suppliers to sign environmental protection agreements since 2021, committing to comply with hazardous substance control regulations.
G Data security 2 To protect company information and customer data, Fositek has passed the IEC/ISO 27001 information security management system certification and will continue to enhance execution in various management areas.

Note: Management score represents a company's ability to manage/benefit from certain ESG topics. The scores range from 1 to 3, with 1 being the strongest.

Update Date: 7 May 2026

Source: Daiwa, Company

Fositek Corp (6805 TT): 4 August 2026

Daiwa