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報告_Nomura_強茂2481_20260911

更新 2026-09-14

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原始內容

Relative performance chart

EQUITY: TECHNOLOGY

Price

(TWD)

225-

2001

1751

1501

1251

1001

75

  • 150

-125

Panjit International 2481.TW 2481 TT

EQUITY: TECHNOLOGY

Churra. I CEC Namura

Favorable pricing, product mix to elevate 2H26-2027F profit margins

New AI datacenter orders remain major growth driver

More positive on Panjit's AI datacenter power MOSFET supply chain position

Our recent market survey suggests sustained tight supply of select power discrete products in 2H26F, such as power/small signal MOSFET, and diodes. Future Electronics' monthly report indicates lengthened lead times for many MOSFET and diode variants in Jul/Aug 2026, along with an uptrend in pricing (Fig 5 ). On the other hand, SDI's (2351 TT, Buy) management indicated that IDM customers are placing more lead frame orders to the company with favorable pricing in 2H26E, in order to meet stronger AI-datacenter demand and to secure market share. As some products' lead times have reached historical record levels (for e.g., select Schottky/switch diodes and LV/HV MOSFET lead times reached 52 weeks in Aug 2026, vs 20 weeks a year ago), and with limited capacity expansion among IDMs/ foundries in the near term, we expect the tight supply to continue in 2H26-1H27F. We also expect such a benign environment to be a tailwind for vendors to pass-through cost increases.

We expect Panit's 2H26-2027F revenue growth and margin expansion to sustain

Panjit's 2Q26 revenue grew 16% q-q, better than management's target, and was driven by improved demand across end markets. 2Q26 GM reached a 19-quarter high at 33.2% on a greater revenue scale, better product mix, and favorable pricing. We expect the revenue and profit margin q-q momentum to sustain in 2H26-2027F, as the company has secured more orders from the AI datacenter power discrete market, along with price hikes (mainly to pass-through rising fab manufacturing and material costs). We expect 3Q264Q26F revenue to grow 10%/5% q-q, with AI datacenter related revenue contributing 12-14% total sales (vs 11% in 1H26). We also assume 2H26-2027F GM to reach 36.5%/37.3% (vs 33.0% in 1H26) with higher AI and automotive sales exposure, better utilization rates across manufacturing sites, along with a third round of price hikes in 4Q26F.

2026F/27F EPS raised by 3%/10%; TP increased to TWD214, implying 38.5% upside

We raise 2026F/27F EPS, as we assume contribution from more new AI datacenter orders mainly starting in 2H26-2027F, and expect a more favorable mix and pricing to form better margin profiles. Our TP of TWD214 is based on 25x 2027F EPS of TWD8.55 (previous TP of TWD195 was based on 25x 2027F EPS of TWD7.79). The stock currently trades at 18x/16x 2027F/28F EPS.

Year-end 31 Dec Currency (TWD) FY25 Actual Old FY26F New Old FY27F New Old FY28F New
Revenue (mn) 13,094 15,703 16,266 19,242 19,965 21,147 22,792
Reported net profit (mn) 1,375 2,023 2,071 2,976 3,267 3,395 3,794
Normalised net profit (mn) 1,375 2,023 2,071 2,976 3,267 3,395 3,794
FD normalised EPS 3.60 5.29 5.42 7.79 8.55 8.88 9.93
FD norm. EPS growth (%) 90.3 49.4 50.6 47.1 57.8 14.1 16.1
FD normalised P/E (x) 42.9 - 28.5 - 18.1 - 15.6
EV/EBITDA (x) 26.2 - 17.8 - 12.4 - 10.7
Price/book (x) 3.7 - 3.4 - 3.0 - 2.8
Dividend yield (%) 0.9 - 1.2 - 2.1 - 3.0
ROE (%) 8.7 12.1 12.3 16.3 17.7 17.1 18.7
Net debt/equity (%) 34.8 26.5 27.2 19.0 18.3 9.9 9.9

Source: Company data, Nomura estimates

Sep

Rating Remains Buy
Target price Increased from TWD 195.00 TWD 214.00
Closing price 10 September 2026 TWD 154.50
Implied upside +38.5%

Market Cap (USD mn)

ADT (USD mn)

Relative performance chart

Source: LSEG, Nomura

1,873.1

123.0

Research Analysts

Taiwan Technology

Kenny Chen - NITB kenny.chen@nomura.com +886 2 21769978

Aaron Jeng, CFA - NITB

aaron.jeng@nomura.com +886(2) 21769962

Production Complete: 2026-09-11 11:46 UTC

Key data on Panjit International

Performance

(%) 1M 3M 12M
Absolute (TWD) 12.4 14 114.6 M cap (USDmn) 1,873.1
Absolute (USD) 14.8 14.3 106.1 Free float (%) 80.0
Rel to Taiwan TAIEX Index 7.3 4.9 27.3 3-mth ADT (USDmn) 123.0

Income statement (TWDmn)

Year-end 31 Dec FY24 FY25 FY26F FY27F FY28F
Revenue 12,536 13,094 16,266 19,965 22,792
Cost of goods sold -8,939 -9,001 -10,590 -12,524 -14,220
Gross profit 3,597 4,093 5,676 7,441 8,571
SG&A -2,784 -2,982 -3,436 -3,738 -4,247
Employee share expense
Operating profit 813 1,111 2,240 3,703 4,324
EBITDA 1,853 2,122 3,278 4,775 5,430
Depreciation -1,040 -1,011 -1,039 -1,072 -1,105
Amortisation
EBIT 813 1,111 2,240 3,703 4,324
Net interest expense -38 31 30 21 22
Associates & JCEs 116 344 298 290 285
Other income 181 377 193 220 220
Earnings before tax 1,072 1,862 2,761 4,234 4,851
Income tax -190 -288 -516 -742 -837
Net profit after tax 882 1,574 2,244 3,492 4,014
Minority interests -159 -199 -173 -225 -220
Other items
Preferred dividends
Normalised NPAT 723 1,375 2,071 3,267 3,794
Extraordinary items 0 0 0
Reported NPAT 723 1,375 2,071 3,267 3,794
Dividends -459 -535 -688 -1,217 -1,797
Transfer to reserves 264 840 1,383 2,051 1,997
Valuations and ratios
Reported P/E (x) 81.7 42.9 28.5 18.1 15.6
Normalised P/E (x) 81.7 42.9 28.5 18.1 15.6
FD normalised P/E (x) 81.7 42.9 28.5 18.1 15.6
Dividend yield (%) 0.8 0.9 1.2 2.1 3.0
Price/cashflow (x) 45.2 41.6 28.6 19.7 15.3
Price/book (x) 3.8 3.7 3.4 3.0 2.8
EV/EBITDA (x) 32.8 26.2 17.8 12.4 10.7
EV/EBIT (x) 69.6 44.4 25.1 15.7 13.3
Gross margin (%) 28.7 31.3 34.9 37.3 37.6
EBITDA margin (%) 14.8 16.2 20.2 23.9 23.8
EBIT margin (%) 6.5 8.5 13.8 18.5 19.0
Net margin (%) 5.8 10.5 12.7 16.4 16.6
Effective tax rate (%) 17.7 15.5 18.7 17.5 17.3
Dividend payout (%) 63.4 38.9 33.2 37.2 47.4
ROE (%) 4.8 8.7 12.3 17.7 18.7
ROA (pretax %) 3.6 5.4 9.1 13.7 15.3
Growth (%)
Revenue -1.3 4.4 24.2 22.7 14.2
EBITDA 7.0 14.5 54.5 45.7 13.7
Normalised EPS 11.9 90.3 50.6 57.8 16.1
Normalised FDEPS 11.9 90.3 50.6 57.8 16.1

Source: Company data, Nomura estimates

Cashflow statement (TWDmn)

Year-end 31 Dec FY24 FY25 FY26F FY27F FY28F
EBITDA 1,853 2,122 3,278 4,775 5,430
Change in working capital Other operating cashflow 418 357 -1,075 -1,340 -1,046
Cashflow from operations -965 1,306 -1,059 -142 -436 2,999 -530 3,854
expenditure 1,419 2,062 -600
Capital -504 -411 -500 -600
Free cashflow 802 1,008 1,562 2,399 3,254
Reduction in investments -1,990 -1,372 0 0 0
Net acquisitions 112 -56 -1,395 100 100
Dec in other LT assets Inc in other LT liabilities 470 -31 0 0 0
Adjustments 893 1,476 1,395 -100 -100
CF after investing acts 286 1,026 1,562 2,399 3,254
Cash dividends -459 -535 -688 -1,217 -1,797
Equity issue 0 0 0 0 0
0 0
Debt issue Convertible issue -843 -230 0
debt Others 299 -493 0 0 0
CF from financial acts -1,002 -1,258 -688 -1,217 -1,797
Net cashflow -716 -232 874 1,182 1,457
Beginning cash 3,077 2,361 2,129 3,003 4,186
Ending cash 2,361 2,129 3,003 4,186 5,642
Ending net debt
Balance sheet (TWDmn) As at 31 Dec 5,588 5,613
4,739 3,557 2,100
Cash & equivalents FY24 2,361 FY25 2,129 FY26F 3,003 FY27F 4,186 6,283 FY28F 5,642 6,283
Marketable securities Accounts receivable 4,552 3,832 4,127 6,283 5,042 6,189 4,008 7,065
2,739 6,283 4,550
Inventories Other current 729 2,549 674 3,389 674 674 674
assets Total current assets 14,214 18,392 21,340 24,215
15,763 987
LT investments 1,346 987 987 987 5,340
7,322 6,856 6,318 5,846
Fixed assets Goodwill assets 1,498 1,495 0 0 0
Other intangible Other LT assets Total assets 4,363 28,743 4,418 5,813 31,510 5,713 33,886 5,613 36,156
Short-term debt 2,997 29,519 2,903 2,903 2,903 2,903
Accounts payable 1,589 1,650 2,330 2,755 3,128
Other current 2,966
Total current 2,620 2,966 2,966 2,966
liabilities liabilities
7,206 7,519 8,199 8,625 4,839 8,998 4,839
Long-term debt Convertible debt Other LT 4,952 4,839 4,839
Total liabilities 1,065 13,223 1,034 1,034 1,034 14,498 1,034
liabilities 14,072
13,392 14,871
Minority interest Preferred stock Common stock Retained earnings Proposed dividends 3,821 4,468 28,743 3,821 5,121 3,821 6,432 17,438 31,510 3,821 8,382 3,821 10,279 7,185 21,285
Total shareholders' equity Total equity & liabilities 36,156
15,520 29,519 33,886
Other equity and reserves 7,231 7,185 16,127 7,185 7,185 19,388
Liquidity (x) 1.97 2.10 2.24 2.47 2.69
Current ratio Interest cover Leverage Net debt/EBITDA (x) 21.3 3.02 36.0 - 2.65 34.8 - 1.45 27.2 - 0.74 - 0.39 9.9
Net debt/equity (%) Per share
Reported EPS (TWD) 18.3
1.89 1.89 3.60 8.55 9.93
Norm EPS (TWD) FD norm EPS (TWD) 1.89 40.62 3.60 3.60 42.21 5.42 5.42 5.42 8.55 8.55 9.93 9.93
BVPS (TWD) 1.40 45.63 55.70 4.70
DPS (TWD) 1.20 1.80 50.74
Activity (days) 3.18
110.9 102.9 102.7 106.4
115.1 117.3 107.2 102.3 107.8
Days receivable 110.1 75.7
Days inventory Days payable 74.1 65.7 68.6 74.1
152.5 140.8
Cash cycle 158.3 136.6 136.3

Source: Company data, Nomura estimates

Company profile

Panjit is a power semiconductor IDM headquartered in Taiwan. It currently manufactures and sells power discrete (including diodes, MOSFET, and SIC), Power IC, and solar products. The company's products are widely used in many end applications including industrial, green energy, consumer electronics, automotive, computers, power supply, and communication.

Valuation Methodology

Our TP of TWD214 is based on 25x 2027F EPS of TWD8.55. We use 25x to derive our TP, vs historical P/E range of 18x since 2018 (The stock traded in a range from 15-33x when the company was in earnings growth upcycle). The benchmark to the stock is TAIEX.

Risks that may impede the achievement of the target price

Downside risks: 1) global macroeconomic uncertainty that may drag demand for the company's products, especially auto and industrial; 2) slowerthan-expected supply chain inventory destocking; and 3) pricing competition from peers if global demand is worse than expected.

ESG

Panjit requires itself to uphold the business principles of 'innovation, growth, responsibility, and sustainability' in the global semiconductor supply chain in the face of unprecedented changes in the aspects of global environment and climate, economy and society. The company actively promotes and continues to make improvement in environmental protection, employee safety and health, labor conditions, moral values, and the maintenance of energy, striving to become a member of the green enterprises in the world while constantly strengthening ESG (the beauty of the Environment, the goodness in society, and the truthfulness in governance) actions to respond to changes and challenges in the future with a high level of dynamics.

25,000

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

40.0%

35.0%

30.0%

Financial analysis and forecasts

15.0%

10.0%

Fig. 1: Panjit: earnings estimate revisions

2028F

New forecasts New forecasts New forecasts Previous forecasts Previous forecasts Previous forecasts Change (%) Change (%) Change (%)
TWDmn 2025A 2026F 2027F 2025A 2026F 2027F 2025A 2026F 2027F
Revenues 13,094 16,266 19,965 13,094 15,703 19,242 - 3.6 3.8
Gross profit 4,093 5,676 7,441 4,093 5,438 7,026 - 4.4 5.9
Operating profit 1,111 2,240 3,703 1,111 2,172 3,319 - 3.1 11.6
Pre-tax profit 1,679 2,788 4,234 1,679 2,689 3,839 - 3.7 10.3
Net profit 1,192 2,098 3,267 1,192 2,028 2,976 - 3.5 9.8
EPS (TWD) 3.11 5.49 8.55 3.11 5.31 7.79 - 3.4 9.8
Margins (%)
Gross margin 31.3 34.9 37.3 31.3 34.6 36.5 - 0.3 0.8
Operating margin 8.5 13.8 18.5 8.5 13.8 17.2 - (0.1) 1.3
Pretax margin 12.8 17.1 21.2 12.8 17.1 20.0 - 0.0 1.3
Net margin 9.1 12.9 16.4 9.1 12.9 15.5 - (0.0) 0.9

Source: Company data, Nomura estimates

Fig. 2: Panjit: quarterly financial highlights

(TWDmn) 2024 2025 2026F 2027F 2028F 1Q25 2Q25 3Q25 4Q25 1Q26 2Q26 3Q26F 4Q26F 1Q27F 2Q27F 3Q27F 4Q27F
Net sales 12,536 13,094 16,266 19,965 22,792 3,072 3,400 3,270 3,352 3,421 3,956 4,344 4,545 4,498 4,879 5,274 5,314
COGS 8,939 9,001 10,590 12,524 14,220 2,140 2,358 2,246 2,257 2,301 2,641 2,778 2,869 2,846 3,047 3,291 3,340
Gross profit 3,597 4,093 5,676 7,441 8,571 932 1,042 1,024 1,095 1,120 1,314 1,566 1,676 1,651 1,832 1,983 1,975
Opex 2,784 2,982 3,436 3,738 4,247 701 700 747 834 898 850 834 855 873 922 971 972
Op profit 813 1,111 2,240 3,703 4,324 231 342 276 262 222 464 732 821 779 910 1,013 1,002
Non-op income 455 567 548 531 527 154 29 167 218 179 183 96 90 113 150 140 128
Pre-tax profit 1,268 1,679 2,788 4,234 4,851 385 371 443 480 401 647 828 911 892 1,060 1,153 1,130
Net profit 919 1,192 2,098 3,267 3,794 277 252 303 360 288 488 624 698 690 814 885 878
EPS (TWD) 2.40 3.12 5.49 8.55 9.93 0.72 0.66 0.80 0.94 0.75 1.28 1.63 1.83 1.81 2.13 2.32 2.30
Operating ratios (%)
Gross margin 28.7% 31.3% 34.9% 37.3% 37.6% 30.3% 30.7% 31.3% 32.7% 32.7% 33.2% 36.0% 36.9% 36.7% 37.5% 37.6% 37.2%
Operating margin 6.5% 8.5% 13.8% 18.5% 19.0% 7.5% 10.1% 8.5% 7.8% 6.5% 11.7% 16.8% 18.1% 17.3% 18.6% 19.2% 18.9%
Pre-tax profit margin 10.1% 12.8% 17.1% 21.2% 21.3% 12.5% 10.9% 13.5% 14.3% 11.7% 16.4% 19.1% 20.1% 19.8% 21.7% 21.9% 21.3%
Net profit margin 7.3% 9.1% 12.9% 16.4% 16.6% 9.0% 7.4% 9.3% 10.7% 8.4% 12.3% 14.4% 15.4% 15.3% 16.7% 16.8% 16.5%
Year-to-year (%)
Net sales -1% 4% 24% 23% 14% 6% 4% -2% 11% 11% 16% 33% 36% 31% 23% 21% 17%
Gross profit 12% 14% 39% 31% 15% 20% 15% 5% 17% 20% 26% 53% 53% 47% 39% 27% 18%
Operating profit -2% 37% 102% 65% 17% 64% 36% 18% 41% -4% 36% 165% 214% 250% 96% 38% 22%
Pre-tax profit 9% 32% 66% 52% 15% 40% -3% 34% 71% 4% 74% 87% 90% 122% 64% 39% 24%
Net profit 12% 30% 76% 56% 16% 55% -11% 20% 76% 4% 94% 106% 94% 140% 67% 42% 26%
Qtr-to-Qtr (%)
Net sales 2% 11% -4% 3% 2% 16% 10% 5% -1% 8% 8% 1%
Gross profit -1% 12% -2% 7% 2% 17% 19% 7% -1% 11% 8% 0%
Operating profit 24% 48% -19% -5% -15% 109% 58% 12% -5% 17% 11% -1%
Pre-tax profit 37% -3% 19% 8% -16% 61% 28% 10% -2% 19% 9% -2%
Net profit 35% -9% 20% 19% -20% 70% 28% 12% -1% 18% 9% -1%

Source: Company data, Nomura estimates

Fig. 3: Panjit: revenue mix by end market

Source: Company data, Nomura estimates

Fig. 4: Panjit - GM & OPM trends

Source: Company data, Nomura estimates

Fig. 5: MOSFET: lead time and ASP trends

MOSFET July 2026 Aug 2026 Aug 2026 Aug 2026 July 2026 July 2026 July 2026 Aug 2026 Aug 2026 Aug 2026
onsemi Lead time Trend Pricing Lead time Trend Pricing MCC Lead time Trend Pricing Lead time Trend Pricing
LV MOSFET 10-52 Up Up 10-52 Up Up LV MOSFET 26-44 Up Flat 26-44 Up Flat
HV MOSFET 10-52 Up Up 10-52 Up Up HV MOSFET 24-52 Up Flat 24-52 Up Flat
WBG MOSFET 14-52 Up Up 14-52 Up Up Small signal 16-40 Up Flat 16-40 Up Flat
Small signal 24-52 Up Up 24-52 Up Up
Renesas LV MOSFET Lead time Trend Pricing Lead time 10-14 Trend Flat Pricing Up Microchip HV MOSFET Lead time 6-28 Trend Up Pricing Up Lead time 6-28 Trend Up Pricing Up
Rohm Lead time Trend Pricing Lead time Trend Up Pricing
HV MOSFET 12-36 Up Up 12-36 Up Nexperia Lead time Trend Pricing Lead time Trend Pricing
WBG MOSFET 23-27 Up Flat 23-27 Up Flat LV MOSFET 13-52 Up Up 13-52 Up Up
ST HV MOSFET Lead time 12-26 Trend Up Pricing Up Lead time 12-26 Trend Up Pricing Up
LV MOSFET WBG MOSFET 10-23 20-32 Up Up Up Flat 10-23 20-32 Up Up Up Flat
Vishay Trend Lead time Trend Pricing
HV MOSFET Lead time Pricing Up 12-52+ Up
LV MOSFET Diodes 12-52+ Up Up Up Pricing 12-52+ Up Up
LV MOSFET 12-52+ Up Up
Small signal 12-52 20-52 Up Up 12-52 Up
Lead time Trend Lead time Trend Pricing
LV MOSFET HV MOSFET 12-52+ Up Trend Pricing 35-52 Lead time Up Up Trend Up
Lead time Up Up 12-52+ Up Pricing
Infeneon 12-52+ Up Up 12-52+ Up
Up Up
WBG MOSFET 12-52 Up Up 12-52 Up Up
LV MOSFET HV MOSFET 23-52 Flat Up 23-52 Flat Flat Up
Littelfuse Lead time Trend Pricing Lead time Trend Pricing
23-50 Flat Up 23-50 Up
WBG MOSFET 27-29 Flat 27-29
Flat Flat Flat

Source: Future Electronics

Fig. 6: Diode: lead time and ASP trends

Diode July July July Aug 2026 Aug 2026 Aug 2026 Aug 2026 Aug 2026 Aug 2026 Aug 2026
onsemi Lead time Trend Pricing Lead time Trend Pricing MCC Lead time Trend Pricing Lead time Trend Pricing
ESD 16-52 Up Flat 16-52 Up Flat ESD 16-32 Up Flat 16-32 Up Flat
Bridge 20-24 Flat Flat 20-24 Flat Flat TVS 14-24 Up Flat 14-24 Up Flat
Schottky 24-52 Up Up 24-52 Up Up Schottky 16-40 Up Flat 16-40 Up Flat
Rectifier 20-24 Up Up 20-24 Up Up Switching 16-40 Up Flat 16-40 Up Flat
Switching 24-52 Up Up 24-52 Up Up Zener 16-40 Up Flat 16-40 Up Flat
Zener 24-52 Up Up 24-52 Up Up
Rohm Lead time Trend Pricing Lead time Trend Pricing Nexperia Lead time Trend Pricing Lead time Trend Pricing
Schottky 16-52 Up Flat 16-52 Up Flat ESD 52 Up Up 52 Up Up
Switching 16-52 Up Flat 16-52 Up Flat Schottky 16-52 Up Up 16-52 Up Up
Switching 16-52 Up Up 16-52 Up Up
ST Lead time Trend Pricing Lead time Trend Pricing Zener 16-52 Up Up 16-52 Up Up
ESD 16-24 Up Flat 16-24 Up Flat
TVS 12-16 Flat Flat 12-16 Flat Flat
Rectifier 18-20 Up Up 18-20 Up Up
Vishay Lead time Trend Pricing Lead time Trend Pricing
TVS 8-12 Up Up 14-18 Up Up
Bridge 10-12 Up Up 10-12 Up Up
Rectifier 10-12 Up Up 10-12 Up Up
Zener 16-60+ Up Up 16-60+ Up Up
Diodes Lead time Trend Pricing Lead time Trend Pricing
TVS/ESD 16-40 Up Up 16-40 Up Up
Bridge 16-20 Up Up 16-20 Up Up
Schottky 20-50 Up Up 35-52 Up Up
Rectifier 24-30 Up Up 35-52 Up Up
Switching 20-50 Up Up 35-52 Up Up
Zener 20-50 Up Up 35-52 Up Up
Pricing Trend Pricing
Littelfuse ESD Lead time 14-30 Trend Up Up Lead time 14-30 Up Up
Diode arrays 14-30 Up Up 14-30 Up Up
*Lead time = weeks *Lead time = weeks *Lead time = weeks

Source: Future Electronics

(x)

40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

Jan-18

May-18

— +1 SD

-2 SD

Fig. 7: Panjit: 12M forward P/E

San.18

Source: Company data, Nomura estimates

(x)

May-18

Jan-19

Sep-18

P/B

-1 SD

Average

— +1 SD

+2 SD

-2 SD

Fig. 8: Panjit: 12M forward P/B

May-19

Source: Company data, Nomura estimates

Rating and target price chart (three year history)

Panjit International

Appendix A-1

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This report has been produced by Nomura International (Hong Kong) Ltd., Taipei Branch (NITB), Taiwan. See Disclaimers for Nomura Group entity details.