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報告_MS_欣興3037_20260728

更新 2026-07-29

PDF 原檔:報告_MS_欣興3037_20260728_original.pdf

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報告_MS_欣興3037_20260728_001.png 67KB 裝飾·logo·banner "Asia Summer School 2026" 泳池宣傳橫幅廣告,右側有信封圖示,非資料圖
報告_MS_欣興3037_20260728_002.png 63KB 真資料圖 股價/目標價/評等沿革折線圖(藍線股價、紅色虛線階梯為歷次目標價,標示 225/170/168/160/135/112/110/100/99/73/70/75/165/515/785/1275/1550,橫軸 2023/07–2026/07),依緊鄰上下文為 Nan Ya PCB(8046.TW)的圖,非欣興本身
報告_MS_欣興3037_20260728_003.png 62KB 真資料圖 股價/目標價/評等沿革折線圖(藍線股價、紅色虛線階梯為歷次目標價,標示 138.57/125.7/118.77/81.66/120.75/500/550/785/1225/1265/1465,橫軸 2023/07–2026/07),依緊鄰上下文為 Unimicron(3037.TW)本身,最新目標價標示 1465
報告_MS_欣興3037_20260728_004.png 59KB 真資料圖 股價/目標價/評等沿革折線圖(藍線股價、紅色虛線階梯為歷次目標價,標示 120/93/108/110/136/130/129/120/89/128.5/145/250/570/666/690,橫軸 2023/07–2026/07),依緊鄰上下文為 Zhen Ding(4958.TW)的圖,非欣興本身

002/004 為報告後段 industry coverage 揭露區塊附帶的同業(南亞電路板/臻鼎)股價目標價沿革圖,非欣興資料,公司頁不嵌用;003 為欣興本身圖,公司頁採用。

原始內容

M July 28, 2026 12:33 PM GMT

Unimicron | Asia Pacific

2Q26 GM beat with good cost control; OW

AlphaSignals Earnings Reaction

Strengthens our thesis

Impact to our thesis

Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research

Key Takeaways

  • We attribute Unimicron's sequential margin expansion in 2Q primarily to price increases and higher utilization across both its ABF and BT substrate businesses.
  • This is consistent with our supply-chain checks, which indicated stronger pricing for ABF and BT substrates during the quarter...
  • ...driven by raw material cost inflation and tightening supply.
  • The 2Q GM improvement exceeded both our preview and broader buy-side expectations, but was in line with the more bullish investor forecasts.
  • Stay OW. We continue to prefer Unimicron to NYPCB and Zhen Ding on a 12month view.

Details of 2Q:

  • GM was 24.8% (+680bps q/q, +1,170bps y/y), 270bps above our estimate and 280bps above the Street.
  • OP was NT$6,651mn (+141% q/q, +341% y/y), 30% above our estimate and 22% above the Street, for OpM of 15.5% (+810bps q/q, +1,090bps y/y).
  • Non-op income was exceptionally high at NT$8,925mn, which could be attributed to gains on financial assets.
  • Thus, NP came in at NT$13.1bn (+160% q/q), 238% above our estimate and 153% above the Street, for EPS of NT$8.45.

Capex for 2026 is raised NT$19.7bn, to NT$53.7bn: The purchase order of long- lead time equipment increases NT$17.6bn, to NT$31.7bn.

Management should be able to provide more color on the quarter and outlook during its post-earnings briefing at 2 PM HKT tomorrow.

See our preview.

Meaningful revision higher Direction of next 12-month consensus EPS

Update

Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited+

Howard Kao

Equity Analyst

Howard.Kao@morganstanley.com

+886 2 2730-2989

Irene Yen

Research Associate

Irene.Yen@morganstanley.com

+886 2 2730-2869

Morgan Stanley Asia Limited+

Andy Meng, CFA

Equity Analyst

Andy.Meng@morganstanley.com

+852 2239-7689

報告_MS_欣興3037_20260728_001

Unimicron (3037.TW, 3037 TT)

Greater China Technology Hardware | Taiwan

Stock Rating

Overweight In-Line

Industry View

Price target

NT$1,465.00

Up/downside to price target (%)

92

Shr price, close (Jul 28, 2026)

NT$764.00

52-Week Range

NT$1,130.00-128.18

Sh out, dil, curr (mn)

1,505

Mkt cap, curr (mn)

US$35,607

EV, curr (mn)

US$37,973

Avg daily trading value (mn)

US$455

Fiscal Year Ending 12/25 12/26e 12/27e 12/28e
EPS (NT$)** 4.34 14.85 33.48 58.07
EPS (NT$)§ 3.93 16.08 33.71 52.70
Revenue, net (NT$ mn) 131,241 184,755 265,117 355,074
EBITDA (NT$ mn) 26,272 45,798 84,898 131,827
ModelWare net inc (NT 6,673 22,855 51,521 89,367
$ mn)
P/E 50.7 51.4 22.8 13.2
P/BV 3.2 9.3 7.0 5.0
RNOA (%) 3.7 11.3 25.6 41.9
ROE (%) 6.7 21.4 40.7 53.4
EV/EBITDA 15.8 26.7 14.1 8.7
Div yld (%) 0.7 0.3 0.9 2.0
FCF yld ratio (%) (0.6) 2.5 6.5 9.8
Leverage (EOP) (%) (8.6) (31.2) (64.3) (86.1)

Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of Morgan Stanley Research. Investors should consider Morgan Stanley Research as only a single factor in making their investment decision.