PDF 原檔:報告_MS_元太8069_20260908_original.pdf
原始內容
M September 8, 2026 08:56 AM GMT
E Ink Holdings Inc. | Asia Pacific
August Sales +20% MoM/+3% YoY
In this report, we focus on E Ink's monthly sales, which we believe could be a catalyst for its share price.
Details:
- August sales were NT$3,446mn (+20% MoM/+3% YoY).
- QTD sales reached 63% of our 3Q26 revenue estimate of NT$9,985mn (-2% QoQ/-4% YoY) and 62% of consensus at NT$10,213mn (flat QoQ/-2% YoY).
Our view:
- The solid rebound in the Aug monthly sales should alleviate the potential risk of missing full-year guidance again (now at 10-15% YoY for 2026), in our view, as 3Q26 revenue is tracking in line with our estimate for a modest decline QoQ.
- While the worst seems to be behind us and valuation is at a trough level of 12x 2027 P/E, we see no strong catalysts in the near term, despite our positive long-term view on e-paper demand across various applications.
Exhibit 1 : E Ink's monthly sales vs. its share price since 2015
Note: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Results shown do not include transaction costs. Source: Company data, TEJ, Morgan Stanley Research.
Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited+
| Derrick Yang Equity Analyst Derrick.Yang@morganstanley.com | +886 2 2730-2862 |
|---|---|
| Vivi Huang Research Associate Vivi.Huang@morganstanley.com | +886 2 2730-2860 |
| Andy Meng, CFA Equity Analyst Andy.Meng@morganstanley.com | +852 2239-7689 |
E Ink Holdings Inc. (8069.TWO, 8069 TT)
Greater China Technology Hardware | Taiwan
| Stock Rating | Equal-weight |
|---|---|
| Industry View | In-Line |
| Price target | NT$150.00 |
| Up/downside to price target (%) | 2 |
| Shr price, close (Sep 8, 2026) | NT$147.00 |
| 52-Week Range | NT$252.00-135.00 |
| Sh out, dil, curr (mn) | 1,150 |
| Mkt cap, curr (mn) | NT$169,074 |
| EV, curr (mn) | NT$174,632 |
| Avg daily trading value (mn) | NT$1,364 |
| Fiscal Year Ending | 12/25 | 12/26e | 12/27e | 12/28e |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS (NT$)** | 9.14 | 11.57 | 12.57 | 14.77 |
| Prior EPS (NT$)** | - | - | - | - |
| EPS (NT$)§ | 10.09 | 11.56 | 13.31 | 14.72 |
| Revenue, net (NT$ mn) | 36,116 | 40,294 | 46,095 | 53,387 |
| EBITDA (NT$ mn) | 13,458 | 16,276 | 18,570 | 21,698 |
| ModelWare net inc (NT | 10,515 | 13,307 | 14,457 | 16,987 |
| $ mn) | ||||
| P/E | 21.7 | 12.7 | 11.7 | 10.0 |
| P/BV | 3.3 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| RNOA (%) | 13.8 | 14.4 | 16.5 | 19.4 |
| ROE (%) | 18.2 | 19.0 | 18.9 | 20.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 17.5 | 10.4 | 8.8 | 7.3 |
| Div yld (%) | 3.0 | 5.1 | 5.6 | 6.5 |
| FCF yld ratio (%)** | 4.2 | 7.5 | 8.1 | 9.4 |
| Leverage (EOP) (%) | 2.1 | (5.7) | (11.2) | (17.4) |
Unless otherwise noted, all metrics are based on Morgan Stanley ModelWare framework
** = Based on consensus methodology
§ = Consensus data is provided by Refinitiv Estimates
e = Morgan Stanley Research estimates
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Update
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AlphaSignals Catalyst Event Reaction
| Company / Catalyst | Date | Impact to thesis | Catalyst versus expectation |
|---|---|---|---|
| E Ink Holdings Inc. 8069.TWO | |||
| August 2026 sales | 08 Sep 2026 | Unchanged | Modest downside surprise |
Source:Company data, Morgan Stanley Research
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Valuation Methodology and Risks
E Ink Holdings Inc. (8069.TWO)
Base case, 12x 2027e P/E. We believe this valuation methodology best captures E Ink's earnings growth momentum. We view our target multiple of 12x as fair, considering our estimated 17% earnings CAGR for 2025-28. The implied PEG of 0.7x is largely in line with its typical level in 2022-25, when the stock was trading at an average P/E of 22x one-year forward consensus EPS with a 37% earnings CAGR.
Risks to Upside
- n Firmer-than-expected ESL orders
- n Stronger demand for e-readers and e-notes
- n Better macro conditions
- n Milder competition
- n Brisker inventory digestion
Risks to Downside
- n Softer-than-expected ESL orders
- n Slower demand for e-readers and e-notes
- n Macro headwinds
- n Intensified competition
- n More protracted inventory digestion
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Stock Price, Price Target and Rating History (See Rating Definitions)
500
450
400
350
150
100
50
09/01
2023
1/7/26 : 205; 5/11/26 : 250₽ 8/10/25 : 150
Stock and Industry Ratings (abbreviations belowd appear as + Stock Rating/Industry View
E Ink Holdings Inc. (8069.TW0) - As of 09/08/26 GMT in TUD
Industry : Greater China Technologu Hardware
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Stock Ratings: Overnight cop Equal-weight dE) Underusight dus Not-Rated iNRo No Rating Augilablecna Industry View: Attractine dAD In-line tID Caut ious No Rating
Effective January 1S, 2014, the stocks covered by Morgan Stanley Pacifie will be rated relative to the analust's industry cop industry tear's coverage. Effective January 15, 2014, the industry view benchmarks for Morgan Stanley Asia Pacifie are as follous: releuant MSCI country
index or MSCI sub-regional index or MSCI AC Asia Pacific ex Japan Index.
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INDUSTRY COVERAGE: Greater China Technology Hardware
| Company (Ticker) | Rating (As Of) | Price* (09/08/2026) |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Meng, CFA | ||
| AAC Technologies Holdings (2018.HK) | O (01/29/2024) | HK$40.90 |
| Accelink Technologies Co. Ltd. (002281.SZ) | U (05/12/2022) | Rmb179.92 |
| BYD Electronics (0285.HK) | O (04/28/2023) | HK$25.52 |
| China TransInfo Technology Co Ltd (002373.SZ) | E (07/18/2023) | Rmb7.68 |
| Dahua Technology Co. Ltd. (002236.SZ) | E (12/12/2024) | Rmb16.20 |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc Ltd (300502.SZ) | O (02/27/2026) | Rmb416.40 |
| Genius Electronic Optical Co. Ltd. (3406.TW) | E (04/23/2025) | NT$1,010.00 |
| GoerTek Inc (002241.SZ) | E (08/14/2026) | Rmb23.68 |
| Gosuncn Technology Group Co Ltd (300098.SZ) | U (11/07/2022) | Rmb4.48 |
| HIKVision Digital Technology (002415.SZ) | E (12/12/2024) | Rmb33.65 |
| Largan Precision (3008.TW) | O (07/10/2026) | NT$6,500.00 |
| LianChuang Electronic Technology Co Ltd (002036.SZ) | U (06/12/2024) | Rmb6.77 |
| Lingyi Itech Guangdong Co (002600.SZ) | U (04/23/2025) | Rmb12.43 |
| Lingyi Itech Guangdong Co (1688.HK) | O (08/14/2026) | HK$6.50 |
| Luxshare Precision Industry Co., Ltd. (2475.HK) | O (08/14/2026) | HK$59.80 |
| Luxshare Precision Industry Co., Ltd. (002475.SZ) | O (10/24/2016) | Rmb55.06 |
| OFILM Group Co Ltd (002456.SZ) | U (06/12/2024) | Rmb7.45 |
| Q Technology (Group) Company Ltd (1478.HK) | U (03/23/2026) | HK$5.72 |
| Quectel Wireless Solutions Co Ltd (603236.SS) | E (10/09/2024) | Rmb62.10 |
| Shanghai Conant Optical Co Ltd (2276.HK) | O (04/10/2026) | HK$43.92 |
| Shenzhen Transsion Holdings Co Ltd (688036.SS) | E (03/23/2026) | Rmb54.27 |
| Sunny Optical (2382.HK) | E (03/23/2026) | HK$67.30 |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co Ltd. (300394.SZ) | E (11/06/2025) | Rmb258.50 |
| Wingtech Technology Co Ltd (600745.SS) | U (05/18/2026) | Rmb17.60 |
| Xiaomi Corp (1810.HK) | O (04/14/2021) | HK$26.92 |
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| Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable JSC Ltd (601869.SS) | U (10/13/2021) | Rmb416.85 |
|---|---|---|
| Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable JSC Ltd (6869.HK) | O (07/15/2026) | HK$171.20 |
| Yongxin Optics Co Ltd (603297.SS) | E (11/15/2022) | Rmb105.72 |
| Zhejiang Crystal-Optech Co Ltd (002273.SZ) | O (11/15/2022) | Rmb25.22 |
| Zhongji Innolight Co Ltd (300308.SZ) | O (09/07/2026) | Rmb902.37 |
| Zhongji Innolight Co Ltd (3308.HK) | O (09/07/2026) | HK$1,161.00 |
| ZTE Corporation (0763.HK) | O (06/04/2026) | HK$23.62 |
| ZTE Corporation (000063.SZ) | E (06/04/2026) | Rmb33.21 |
| Derrick Yang | ||
| Accton Technology Corporation (2345.TW) | O (06/06/2024) | NT$1,955.00 |
| Advantech (2395.TW) | O (01/20/2021) | NT$657.00 |
| AirTAC International (1590.TW) | O (04/16/2025) | NT$1,335.00 |
| Asia Vital Components Co. Ltd. (3017.TW) | O (07/30/2024) | NT$3,285.00 |
| AU Optronics (2409.TW) | E (02/10/2026) | NT$29.60 |
| Auras Technology Co Ltd (3324.TWO) | E (05/04/2023) | NT$1,340.00 |
| Bizlink (3665.TW) | O (03/10/2025) | NT$1,935.00 |
| BOE Technology (000725.SZ) | O (09/06/2019) | Rmb5.56 |
| Chenbro (8210.TW) | O (07/23/2025) | NT$907.00 |
| Chroma Ate Inc. (2360.TW) | O (10/05/2021) | NT$2,265.00 |
| Delta Electronics Inc. (2308.TW) | O (07/13/2017) | NT$1,805.00 |
| E Ink Holdings Inc. (8069.TWO) | E (08/10/2026) | NT$147.00 |
| Ennostar Inc (3714.TW) | U (09/23/2022) | NT$64.90 |
| Fositek Corp (6805.TW) | O (06/25/2025) | NT$2,155.00 |
| Hiwin Technologies Corp. (2049.TW) | O (03/30/2026) | NT$350.00 |
| Innolux (3481.TW) | E (04/07/2025) | NT$48.80 |
| King Slide Works Co. Ltd. (2059.TW) | O (11/08/2023) | NT$12,520.00 |
| Lens Technology (300433.SZ) | E (07/22/2020) | Rmb34.60 |
| Lite-On Technology (2301.TW) | E (01/15/2025) | NT$291.00 |
| TCL Corp. (000100.SZ) | E (04/07/2025) | Rmb4.76 |
| Tianma Microelectronics (000050.SZ) | U (01/24/2018) | Rmb6.60 |
| Wuhan Jingce Electronic Group Co Ltd (300567.SZ) | E (11/26/2021) | Rmb196.20 |
| Howard Kao | ||
| Acer Inc. (2353.TW) | U (04/23/2025) | NT$31.05 |
| Asustek Computer Inc. (2357.TW) | U (11/16/2025) | NT$968.00 |
| Catcher Technology (2474.TW) | U (11/17/2025) | NT$205.00 |
| Compal Electronics (2324.TW) | U (04/23/2025) | NT$39.05 |
| FIT Hon Teng Ltd (6088.HK) | O (11/03/2025) | HK$5.27 |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co. Ltd. (601138.SS) | O (07/10/2019) | Rmb64.75 |
| Giga-Byte Technology Co. Ltd. (2376.TW) | E (11/16/2025) | NT$357.00 |
| Gold Circuit Electronics Ltd. (2368.TW) | O (10/06/2022) | NT$1,075.00 |
| Hon Hai Precision (2317.TW) | O (03/15/2024) | NT$251.50 |
| Inspur Electronic Information (000977.SZ) | E (08/28/2023) | Rmb72.32 |
| LandMark Optoelectronics Corporation (3081.TWO) | E (03/26/2026) | NT$2,865.00 |
| Lenovo (0992.HK) | O (07/10/2026) | HK$30.36 |
| Lotes Co. Ltd. (3533.TW) | E (05/12/2025) | NT$1,620.00 |
| Nan Ya PCB (8046.TW) | O (02/23/2026) | NT$1,025.00 |
| Pegatron Corporation (4938.TW) | E (03/25/2026) | NT$91.70 |
| Quanta Computer Inc. (2382.TW) | O (05/01/2023) | NT$328.00 |
| Shengyi Technology Co Ltd. (600183.SS) | E (05/26/2022) | Rmb146.28 |
| Shennan Circuits Co Ltd (002916.SZ) | E (08/24/2023) | Rmb382.50 |
| Unimicron (3037.TW) | O (02/23/2026) | NT$954.00 |
| Visual Photonics Epitaxy Co Ltd (2455.TW) | E (09/11/2023) | NT$515.00 |
| Wistron Corporation (3231.TW) | O (07/12/2023) | NT$186.50 |
| Wiwynn Corp (6669.TW) | O (11/10/2025) | NT$2,340.00 |
| Yageo Corp. (2327.TW) | O (10/28/2025) | NT$567.00 |
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Zhen Ding (4958.TW)
Stock Ratings are subject to change. Please see latest research for each company.
- Historical prices are not split adjusted.
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NT$505.00