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報告_Daiwa_台光電2383_20260729

更新 2026-07-31

PDF 原檔:報告_Daiwa_台光電2383_20260729_original.pdf

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Daiwa-2383 20260729_001.png 26.2KB 文字卡 「12-month range/Market cap/3m avg daily turnover/Shares outstanding/Major shareholder」統計數字卡
Daiwa-2383 20260729_002.png 21.7KB 真資料圖 台光電股價(藍實線)與相對台灣加權指數(橘虛線)雙軸走勢圖,橫軸 Jul-25 至 Jul-26
Daiwa-2383 20260729_003.png 32.5KB 真資料圖 台光電 1 年期遠期本益比區間圖,11x/18x/25x/35x 四條 PER 帶疊加股價,橫軸 Jul-19 至 Jul-26
Daiwa-2383 20260729_004.png 23.2KB 真資料圖 台光電營收結構堆疊柱狀圖(Infra/Handset/Automotive-Others 占比),2024-2028E,Infra 占比自 61% 升至 2028E 91%

原始內容

Taiwan

Elite Material (2383 TT)

Target price:

TWD7,200.00 (from TWD6,022.00)

Share price (29 Jul): TWD4,100.00 | Up/downside: +75.6%

2Q26 results review: beat on higher price hikes

  • High-end CCL tightness continues with on-going spec upgrade trend
  • New upsides likely due to substrate CCL opportunities
  • Reaffirming our Buy (1) rating; lifting our 12M TP to TWD7,200

What's new: We provide our latest view on EMC after 2Q26 results.

What's the impact: 2Q26 results beat on higher-than-expected price hikes. EMC posted 2Q26 net profit at TWD9.8bn (EPS: TWD27.55), which was 18-27% higher than expectations. We attribute the strength mainly to ASP increases in 2Q26. EMC's 2Q26 revenue came in at TWD47.2bn (up 43% QoQ and 110% YoY), which was higher than management's original guidance of 15-20% QoQ, while we attribute the strength to c.30% ASP hikes in 2Q26 to factor in cost inflation from 3Q25 to 1Q26. Hence, gross margin improved 4.4pp QoQ to 33.9% (vs. our prior estimate of 31.6%), while operating margin increased 5.4pp QoQ to 26.9% (vs. our estimate of 23.8%) on gross margin expansion and better operating control. In general, we believe the 2Q26 results were without any particular surprise as EMC released its preliminary results in May due to regulatory requirements.

Business outlook. We expect the revenue to grow c.15% QoQ in 3Q26, which could be 3x from June sales given EMC's new capacity ramp up is behind them. However, gross margin could further lift to 35% in 3Q26 given the price hike impact has not been fully factored in 2Q26. Based on our understanding, EMC might have a chance to further pass through higher material costs in 2H26. As of now, EMC deems e-glass and high-end copper prices as the tightest components for CCL (similar comments from its key Taiwan competitors). When we compare EMC and TUC, we believe EMC's revenue from M7 and above should reach 60-65% in 2Q26 and will likely increase to c.70% in 2H26. The room for EMC to further optimise its product mix may be smaller than its peers. However, we believe new upsides for EMC will come from the substrate CCL that will likely provide multiple-time ASP increases when we compare EMC with M8 CCL for PCB. Also, gross margin for substrate CCL can easily reach c.50%, per our estimate. It is likely to be a key growth driver for EMC; but we have not factored it into our model yet. Per management, EMC hopes to pass the substrate CCL certification in 3Q26 and achieve c.80k substrate CCL shipment (c.10% capacity) target in 2027. For spec upgrades, the company indicates M9 (including M9 and M9Q) will have single-digit/teens % contribution in 2H26/2027. However, PTFE is not a choice from EMC while the company focuses on the M10 development as its tech roadmap.

What we recommend: We reaffirm our Buy (1) rating. We raise our 202628E EPS by 27-34% and our 12-month TP to TWD7,200, based on a lower PER multiple of 38x (vs. prior: 48x) on 1-year-forward EPS as its earnings growth rate starts to slow down from 4Q26E. Key downside risk: weakerthan-expected AI server demand.

How we differ: Our 2026-28E EPS are 14-15% above the Bloomberg consensus, likely due to our higher gross margin assumptions.

5

Daiwa

3

2

1

Buy

Sheng Cheng

(886) 2 8758 6253

sheng.cheng@daiwacm-cathay.com.tw

Allan Wang

(886) 2 8758 6249 allan.wang@daiwacm-cathay.com.tw

Forecast revisions (%)

Year to 31 Dec 26E 27E 28E
Revenue change 15 22.3 22.8
Net profit change 26.5 34.1 33.5
Core EPS (FD) change 26.5 34.1 33.5

Source: Daiwa forecasts

Share price performance

Daiwa-2383 20260729_001
Daiwa-2383 20260729_002
12-month range 1,005.00-6,080.00
Market cap (USDbn) 45.30
3m avg daily turnover (USDm) 363.73
Shares outstanding (m) 358
Major shareholder Yu Chang Investment Co Ltd (7.4%)

Financial summary (TWD)

Year to 31 Dec 26E 27E 28E
Revenue (m) 193,997 330,550 484,308
Operating profit (m) 51,970 101,298 156,513
Net profit (m) 40,324 79,072 122,177
Core EPS (fully-diluted) 112.462 220.531 340.748
EPS change (%) 169.9 96.1 54.5
Daiwa vs Cons. EPS (%) 14.9 14.4 15.1
PER (x) 36.5 18.6 12.0
Dividend yield (%) 1.6 3.2 5.0
DPS 67.5 132.4 204.6
PBR (x) 19.0 11.0 7.0
EV/EBITDA (x) 27.2 14.1 9.0
ROE (%) 63.1 75.2 71.6

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

EMC: Daiwa revenue and earnings forecasts revisions vs. the consensus

2026E 2026E 2026E 2027E 2027E 2027E 2028E 2028E 2028E
(TWDm) Previous New Consensus Previous New Consensus Previous New Consensus
Revenue 168,675 193,997 177,555 270,192 330,550 296,214 394,466 484,308 427,819
Diff (%) 15.0% 9.3% 22.3% 11.6% 22.8% 13.2%
Gross Margin (%) 32.1% 34.3% 32.7% 35.2% 37.9% 35.8% 36.7% 39.3% 36.9%
Operating profit 41,090 51,970 45,321 75,568 101,298 89,119 117,298 156,513 135,379
Op Margin (%) 24.4% 26.8% 25.5% 28.0% 30.6% 30.1% 29.7% 32.3% 31.6%
Net profit 31,867 40,324 35,086 58,978 79,072 69,134 91,549 122,177 106,138
EPS (TWD) 88.93 112.46 97.85 164.60 220.53 192.81 255.50 340.75 296.02
Diff (%) 26.5% 14.9% 34.1% 14.4% 33.5% 15.1%

Source: Bloomberg, Daiwa forecasts

EMC: quarterly and annual P&L statement

2026E 2026E 2026E 2026E 2027E 2027E 2027E 2027E 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
(TWDm) 1Q 2Q 3QE 4QE 1QE 2QE 3QE 4QE
Net revenue 33,067 47,275 54,443 59,211 68,588 78,384 86,460 97,119 94,261 193,997 330,550 484,308
COGS (23,338) (31,272) (35,241) (37,667) (43,044) (48,850) (53,555) (59,867) (66,141) (127,519) (205,316) (293,893)
Gross profit 9,729 16,003 19,201 21,544 25,544 29,534 32,904 37,252 28,120 66,477 125,235 190,415
Operating expenses 2,601 3,269 4,138 4,500 5,075 5,644 6,225 6,993 9,012 14,508 23,937 33,902
Operating profit 7,128 12,734 15,064 17,044 20,469 23,890 26,679 30,260 19,108 51,970 101,298 156,513
Non-operating profit 66 52 39 42 44 45 (8) (11) (232) 199 70 116
Pre-tax profit 7,194 12,785 15,103 17,086 20,513 23,935 26,672 30,249 18,876 52,168 101,368 156,630
Income taxes (1,855) (2,914) (3,323) (3,759) (4,513) (5,266) (5,868) (6,655) (4,231) (11,851) (22,301) (34,459)
Net profit 5,340 9,873 11,782 13,328 16,001 18,671 20,805 23,595 14,649 40,324 79,072 122,177
Net EPS (TWD) 14.89 27.54 32.86 37.17 44.63 52.07 58.03 65.81 40.8 112.5 220.5 340.7
Operating Ratios
Gross margin 29.4% 33.9% 35.3% 36.4% 37.2% 37.7% 38.1% 38.4% 29.8% 34.3% 37.9% 39.3%
Operating margin 21.6% 26.9% 27.7% 28.8% 29.8% 30.5% 30.9% 31.2% 20.3% 26.8% 30.6% 32.3%
Pre-tax margin 21.8% 27.0% 27.7% 28.9% 29.9% 30.5% 30.8% 31.1% 20.0% 26.9% 30.7% 32.3%
Net margin 16.1% 20.9% 21.6% 22.5% 23.3% 23.8% 24.1% 24.3% 15.5% 20.8% 23.9% 25.2%
YoY (%)
Net revenue 53% 110% 117% 138% 107% 66% 59% 64% 46% 106% 70% 47%
Gross profit 48% 134% 153% 202% 163% 85% 71% 73% 56% 136% 88% 52%
Operating profit 57% 174% 202% 245% 187% 88% 77% 78% 57% 172% 95% 55%
Pre-tax profit 54% 186% 195% 270% 185% 87% 77% 77% 56% 176% 94% 55%
Net profit 54% 184% 197% 257% 200% 89% 77% 77% 53% 175% 96% 55%
QoQ (%)
Net revenue 33% 43% 15% 9% 16% 14% 10% 12%
Gross profit 37% 64% 20% 12% 19% 16% 11% 13%
Operating profit 44% 79% 18% 13% 20% 17% 12% 13%
Pre-tax profit 56% 78% 18% 13% 20% 17% 11% 13%
Net profit 43% 85% 19% 13% 20% 17% 11% 13%

Source: Company, Daiwa forecasts

EMC: 2Q26 comparison table

(TWDm) Actual QoQ% YoY% Daiwa Diff% Consensus Diff%
Revenue 47,275 43% 110% 42,246 12% 43,045 10%
Gross profit 16,003 64% 134% 13,334 20% 13,983 14%
Gross margin (%) 33.9% 31.6% 32.5%
Operating profit 12,734 79% 174% 10,038 27% 12,571 1%
Operating margin (%) 26.9% 23.8% 29.2%
Pre-tax profit 12,785 78% 186% 10,004 28% 10,713 19%
Net profit 9,873 85% 184% 7,805 27% 8,398 18%
EPS (TWD) 27.55 85% 184% 21.78 27% 23.44 18%

Source: Company data, Daiwa forecasts, Bloomberg

EMC: 1-year forward PER bands

Daiwa-2383 20260729_003

Source: TEJ, Daiwa forecasts

Elite Material (2383 TT): 29 July 2026

EMC: revenue breakdown by product

Daiwa-2383 20260729_004

Source: Company, Daiwa forecasts

Daiwa

Financial summary

Key assumptions

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Global PC shipment (m) 361 301 260 263 287 244 244 244
Regular server shipment (m) 14 15 12 14 16 18 22 26
Global smartphone shipment (m) 1,655 1,437 1,381 1,439 1,429 1,249 1,255 1,300

Profit and loss (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Infra 12,089 15,289 21,125 39,046 64,617 155,214 288,379 439,188
Handset 19,413 16,378 14,716 17,033 20,538 26,352 28,739 30,101
Other Revenue 6,998 7,005 5,455 8,297 9,106 12,431 13,432 15,019
Total Revenue 38,500 38,673 41,296 64,377 94,261 193,997 330,550 484,308
Other income 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
COGS (28,431) (28,962) (29,964) (46,407) (66,141) (127,519) (205,316) (293,893)
SG&A (2,379) (2,532) (2,717) (4,048) (6,320) (10,052) (16,676) (23,628)
Other op.expenses (767) (953) (1,269) (1,770) (2,692) (4,455) (7,261) (10,274)
Operating profit 6,923 6,225 7,346 12,152 19,108 51,970 101,298 156,513
Net-interest inc./(exp.) (76) (184) (319) (459) (476) (499) (496) (494)
Assoc/forex/extraord./others 66 255 392 440 244 698 566 610
Pre-tax profit 6,912 6,296 7,420 12,133 18,876 52,168 101,368 156,630
Tax (1,412) (1,220) (1,931) (2,564) (4,231) (11,851) (22,301) (34,459)
Min. int./pref. div./others (7) (3) 0 9 4 6 5 6
Net profit (reported) 5,493 5,073 5,488 9,578 14,649 40,324 79,072 122,177
Net profit (adjusted) 5,493 5,073 5,488 9,578 14,649 40,324 79,072 122,177
EPS (reported)(TWD) 16.500 15.238 16.349 27.807 41.667 112.535 220.674 340.970
EPS (adjusted)(TWD) 16.500 15.238 16.349 27.807 41.667 112.535 220.674 340.970
EPS (adjusted fully-diluted)(TWD) 16.472 14.798 15.797 27.552 41.667 112.462 220.531 340.748
DPS (TWD) 10.000 8.407 9.979 16.575 24.996 67.520 132.405 204.582
EBIT 6,923 6,225 7,346 12,152 19,108 51,970 101,298 156,513
EBITDA 7,642 7,000 8,648 13,921 20,958 54,684 105,012 161,228

Cash flow (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Profit before tax 6,912 6,296 7,420 12,133 18,876 52,168 101,368 156,630
Depreciation and amortisation 719 774 1,302 1,769 1,849 2,714 3,714 4,714
Tax paid (1,412) (1,220) (1,931) (2,564) (4,231) (11,851) (22,301) (34,459)
Change in working capital 7,481 (4,810) 12,237 16,078 25,148 81,685 119,550 85,649
Other operational CF items (9,679) 6,457 (16,138) (20,153) (29,674) (118,115) (153,972) (113,748)
Cash flow from operations 4,022 7,498 2,890 7,263 11,968 6,602 48,359 98,786
Capex (2,470) (6,493) (3,281) (5,867) (9,490) (18,664) (21,463) (24,683)
Net (acquisitions)/disposals (26) 0 6 13 (18) 1 (9) (4)
Other investing CF items (122) (103) (782) (47) (380) (8) 0 0
Cash flow from investing (2,618) (6,596) (4,057) (5,901) (9,888) (18,671) (21,472) (24,687)
Change in debt 1,719 2,732 2,954 5,296 8,721 11,241 9,530 9,748
Net share issues/(repurchases) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dividends paid (2,333) (3,333) (2,830) (3,439) (5,894) (8,957) (24,194) (47,443)
Other financing CF items 194 3,289 (15) 2,259 (51) 3,109 0 0
Cash flow from financing (420) 2,687 109 4,116 2,776 5,394 (14,664) (37,695)
Forex effect/others (73) 211 (126) 251 163 800 786 700
Change in cash 910 3,802 (1,185) 5,729 5,020 (5,875) 13,009 37,104
Free cash flow 1,551 1,005 (391) 1,397 2,478 (12,061) 26,895 74,103

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

Elite Material (2383 TT): 29 July 2026

Daiwa

Financial summary continued …

Balance sheet (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Cash & short-term investment 6,642 10,444 9,259 14,989 20,008 14,133 27,142 64,246
Inventory 5,465 4,236 6,135 9,437 16,752 31,105 52,885 66,066
Accounts receivable 13,274 11,683 17,327 25,897 36,115 84,197 139,404 183,097
Other current assets 463 217 955 1,171 1,106 1,110 1,110 1,110
Total current assets 25,844 26,580 33,675 51,494 73,980 130,545 220,540 314,518
Fixed assets 10,721 16,803 19,746 24,568 33,933 51,105 68,854 88,822
Goodwill & intangibles 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other non-current assets 0 0 6 18 0 (1) 8 12
Total assets 36,565 43,382 53,427 76,080 107,913 181,649 289,403 403,353
Short-term debt 2,717 5,299 7,866 7,781 11,264 15,405 19,226 22,909
Accounts payable 10,969 9,802 14,491 21,199 33,285 65,276 107,839 136,614
Other current liabilities 799 659 716 1,202 1,682 4,098 4,098 4,098
Total current liabilities 14,485 15,760 23,073 30,182 46,231 84,779 131,163 163,621
Long-term debt 721 4,218 2,109 8,772 8,219 15,799 21,508 27,573
Other non-current liabilities 1,585 1,330 1,435 2,032 3,027 3,726 3,726 3,726
Total liabilities 16,791 21,308 26,617 40,986 57,477 104,304 156,397 194,920
Share capital 3,329 3,329 3,432 3,466 3,583 3,583 3,583 3,583
Reserves/R.E./others 16,424 18,745 23,378 31,644 46,872 73,789 129,454 204,887
Shareholders' equity 19,753 22,075 26,809 35,111 50,456 77,372 133,037 208,470
Minority interests 21 0 0 (17) (20) (27) (32) (37)
Total equity & liabilities 36,565 43,382 53,427 76,080 107,913 181,649 289,403 403,353
EV 1,465,934 1,468,190 1,469,832 1,470,663 1,468,571 1,486,161 1,482,676 1,455,315
Net debt/(cash) (3,203) (926) 716 1,564 (525) 17,071 13,592 (13,764)
BVPS (TWD) 59.332 66.306 79.860 101.931 143.516 215.929 371.278 581.797

Key ratios (%)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Sales (YoY) 41.5 0.4 6.8 55.9 46.4 105.8 70.4 46.5
EBITDA (YoY) 44.4 (8.4) 23.6 61 50.5 160.9 92 53.5
Operating profit (YoY) 47.8 (10.1) 18.0 65.4 57.2 172.0 94.9 54.5
Net profit (YoY) 48.9 (7.7) 8.2 74.5 52.9 175.3 96.1 54.5
Core EPS (fully-diluted) (YoY) 48.9 (10.2) 6.7 74.4 51.2 169.9 96.1 54.5
Gross-profit margin 26.2 25.1 27.4 27.9 29.8 34.3 37.9 39.3
EBITDA margin 19.8 18.1 20.9 21.6 22.2 28.2 31.8 33.3
Operating-profit margin 18.0 16.1 17.8 18.9 20.3 26.8 30.6 32.3
Net profit margin 14.3 13.1 13.3 14.9 15.5 20.8 23.9 25.2
ROAE 30.1 24.3 22.5 30.9 34.2 63.1 75.2 71.6
ROAA 17.1 12.7 11.3 14.8 15.9 27.9 33.6 35.3
ROCE 33.2 22.7 21.5 27.5 31.4 58.2 71.8 72.4
ROIC 37.6 26.6 22.3 29.9 34.3 55.7 65.6 71.5
Net debt to equity net cash net cash 2.7 4.5 net cash 22.1 10.2 net cash
Effective tax rate 20.4 19.4 26.0 21.1 22.4 22.7 22 22.0
Accounts receivable (days) 110.0 117.8 128.2 122.5 120.1 113.2 123.5 121.5
Current ratio (x) 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.7 1.9
Net interest cover (x) 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.1 2.1 3.2
Net dividend payout 60.6 55.2 61.1 59.6 60.0 60.0 60 60.0
Free cash flow yield 0.1 0.1 n.a. 0.1 0.2 n.a. 1.8 5.0

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

Company profile

Established in 1992 and listed on the Taiwan Stock Exchange in 1996, Elite Material Co. (EMC) is a leading manufacturer of copper clad laminate (CCL) and prepreg (PP), and a mass lamination foundry for PCB players. The company is also the world's largest green (halogen-free) CCL supplier.

Elite Material (2383 TT): 29 July 2026

Daiwa

ESG analysis

ESG risks

Risks Risks Management Analyst comments
G Executive/board quality 2 EMC has incorporated 3 independent members into its 7-people board of directors in pursuit of better governance. Besides, EMC's Chairman and CEO roles are held separately, which reduce the risk of conflict of interest and excessive concentration of power. In addition, the company has 2 committees: the Audit Committee and the Remuneration Committee to assist the Board of Directors in performing their supervisory duties
G Capital management 1 EMC has declared a dividend payout ratio of over 50% in the past ten years, which we view as a shareholder-friendly dividend policy.
G Related party & transaction 2 Revenue from related parties accounted for <1% of total revenue, and the purchases from related parties comprised <1% of cost of sales. We see limited risk from related-party transactions
S Product design & lifecycle management 2 EMC strives to create a safe and healthy workplace for every employee. EMC has introduced the occupational safety and health management systems (ISO 45001) in its Headquarters and all production plants to reduce the workplace hazards and enhance its safety and health management level.
S GHG emissions 2 To ensure data security, EMC has formulated its Directions for Information Security Management based on three principles for information security management, which are confidentiality, integrity, and availability. In 2023, there were no incidents involving the violation of information-security-related laws and regulations, and no information security incidents occurred.
Company specific Company specific Management Analyst comments
E GHG emissions 2 EMC follows ISO 14061-1 2018 standards to conduct GHG emissions inventory and propose feasible solutions for greenhouse gas reduction. Besides, a third-party inspection agency is appointed to perform external verification.

Note: Management score represents a company's ability to manage/benefit from certain ESG topics. The scores range from 1 to 3, with 1 being the strongest.

Update Date: 30 Jul 2025

Source: Daiwa, Company

Elite Material (2383 TT): 29 July 2026

Daiwa