PDF 原檔:報告_Citi_精測6510_20260728_original.pdf
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報告_Citi_精測6510_20260728_001.png |
141KB | 真資料圖 | 上下兩張 CHPT (6510.TWO) 評等與目標價歷史走勢圖(2024-2026 股價線+評等變更標記),上圖標題「Ratings and Target Price History」,下圖「Short-Term View/Catalyst Watch」;圖中標記兩個時間點:2026-02-06(TP NT$5,000,Closing NT$3,700)與 2026-04-29(TP NT$4,900,Closing NT$3,630) |
原始內容
citivelocity.com
28 Jul 2026 05:38:44 ET │ 11 pages
CHPT (6510.TWO)
First Take on 2Q26 Results - Bottom-Line Beat Again Driven by AI Demand and Disciplined Cost Control
CITI'S TAKE
CHPT reported 2Q26 net profit of NT$494mn (+44% QoQ/+129% YoY), beating Citi/cons forecasts by 25%/15%. The outperformance was again driven by solid top-line growth, margin expansion, and disciplined opex control. GPM further improved to 57.5% (+0.7 ppt QoQ/+1.7 ppts YoY), supported by a richer mix of high-margin AI/HPC orders (56% in 2Q26 vs. 45% in 1Q26). Opex ratio lowered to 22.8% due to disciplined cost control and improved production efficiency. CHPT will host its 2Q26 earnings call on Jul 29. We believe the key focus remains on AI GPU/ASIC testing board ramping progress, probe card total solution opportunities, and capacity expansion schedule. Reiterate Buy.
Prepared for Kevin Lu
Flash |
| Buy/HighRisk | |
|---|---|
| Price (28 Jul 2615:00) | NT$2,480.00 |
| Target price | NT$4,900.00 |
| Expected share price return | 97.6% |
| Expected dividend yield | 0.6% |
| Expected total return | 98.2% |
| MarketCap | NT$81,317M |
| US$2,518M |
Michael Hung AC
+886-2-8726-9092 michael.hung@citi.com
Laura (Chia Yi) Chen +886-2-8726-9090 laura.cy.chen@citi.com
See Appendix A-1 for Analyst Certification, Important Disclosures and Research Analyst Affiliations
Figure 1. CMPl - <24o earnings review
2Q26
943
57.5%
570
1Q26
Actual
1,357
771
56.8%
Q/Q
21%
22%
+0.7 ppt.
2Q25
Actual
1,216
679
55.8%
397
43%
314
Figure 1. CHPT - 2Q26 earnings review
Y/Y
35%
39%
+1.7 ppt
82%
+8.9 ppt
2Q26
Citi
1,547
871
56.3%
483
31.3%
Diff.
6%
8%
+1.2 ppt
18%
+3.5 ppt
2Q26
Cons.
1,608
903
56.1%
516
32.1%
Diff.
2%
4%
+1.4 ppt
10%
+2.7 ppt.
| 494 15.06 | 44% 44% | 216 6.58 | 129% | 397 | 25% 415 | 25% 415 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 129% | 12.1 | 25% | 13.11 |
(NT$mn)
Revenue
Gross profit
Gross margin
Op. profit
OP margin
Net income
EPS (NT$)
€ 2026 Citicroun Ine Mo rodictribution without Citigroun'e writton normiccion
© 2026 Citigroup Inc. No redistribution without Citigroup's written permission.
Source: Company Reports, Citi Research Estimates, Bloomberg consensus
Prepared for Kevin Lu
Prepared for Kevin Lu
CHPT
Valuation
We value CHPT using a PE-based approach that factors in earnings momentum and the structural shift towards high-end testing. Our target price of NT$4,900 is derived from applying 40x to 2027E EPS, near the high end of its historical PE range, which we believe is justified given the company's entrenched position in the 2nm/3nm testing segment, rising contribution from US AI GPU & AI ASIC projects, and the unique competitive advantage of its "All-in-House" vertical integration model. With these structural drivers in place, and as we believe the market is starting to value it as an AI/HPC play (rather than a consumer electronics stock), we expect the multiple to hold at a premium relative to its historical averages.
Risks
Our quant system rates the CHPT stock as High Risk for its share-price volatility.
Key downside risks that could impede the stock from reaching our target price, and to our earnings forecasts, include: 1) margin compression from lower-than-expected utilization rates; 2) execution delays in concentrated US AI GPU and ASIC programs; 3) intensifying competition in testing boards from global peers; and 4) structural gross margin dilution from a shift towards high-end burn-in boards.
CHPT (6510.TWO)
Analyst: Michael Hung
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Date
Appendix A-1
*Indicates Change