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報告_Citi_文曄3036_20260806

更新 2026-08-07

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原始內容

(RIC: 3036.IW, BB: 3036 11)

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06 Aug 2026 10:21:28 ET │ 14 pages

Sep

Dec

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WT Micro (3036.TW)

AI demand should be stronger in 2H26; Buy

CITI'S TAKE

Overall WT Micro is benefiting from the semi upcycle, especially from datacenter segment on ASIC demand and recovery in auto/industrial segments of its subsidiary, Future Electronics. Though 3Q26E sales is guided to be muted QoQ due to temporary slowdown in datacenter segment, the chairman is confident on datacenter momentum resumption from 4Q26 onward. Also, Future Electronics' GM profile likely sees some upside during upcycle, in our view. We raise our DCF-based TP to NT$365 (implied 11x 2027E EPS). We think the PE multiple is not stretched given its AI trend and upside from Future Electronics. Reiterate our Buy rating.

2Q26 GM in line -2Q26 sales grew 20% QoQ, driven by auto/industrial (up 2025% QoQ), datacenter (up 24% QoQ) and consumer (up 28% QoQ). Communication (up 14% QoQ), PC (up 6% QoQ) and smartphone (down 6% QoQ) demand underperformed. 2Q26 GM/OPM came in line with Citi/consensus forecasts. Overall, earnings came 14%/18% than Citi/consensus forecasts.

3Q26 high season but datacenter slowdown temporarily -For 3Q26 outlook, the company sees QoQ growth in industrial, communication and smartphone segments. For datacenter demand, shipments would decrease QoQ in 3Q26, reflecting the shipment cadence of its ASIC customer. Thus, the company currently guided overall 3Q26 sales (at the midpoint) to be flat QoQ. However, the chairman expects overall 2H26 datacenter demand would be stronger than 1H, which implied datacenter demand would recover meaningful QoQ in 4Q26. Meanwhile, despite the market' concerns over the sustainability of its datacenter segment, the chairman is positive on its 2027 growth. Thanks to favorable product mix, 2Q26 GM/OPM are guided to improvement QoQ in 3Q26.

Likely some upsides from Future Electronics -Overall, auto/industrial segment is recovering better than expected in 1H26, driving the group GM profile. Meanwhile, given rising demand and tight supply for passive components, power ICs and other analog ICs, we think Future Electronics would likely benefit more from the price hike vs WT Micro standalone, as Future focuses more on mass market, facing small/medium customers. Future Electronics' GM seemingly is quite stable in the 16-17% range from 2Q24 on till now. To note that, last upcycle during Covid, Future's GM once reached 20%ish levels.

Earnings Summary

Year to 31Dec Net Profit (NT$M) DilutedEPS (NT$) EPSgrowth (%) P/E (x) P/B (x) ROE (%) Yield (%)
2024A 8,842 8.06 92 29 2.6 10.3 0.8
2025A 13,274 11.77 46.1 19.8 2.3 12.2 2.1
2026E 36,508 28.3 140.4 8.3 2.1 28.2 3.4
2027E 43,303 34.02 20.2 6.9 1.6 26.4 9.2
2028E 62,453 49.09 44.3 4.8 1.2 28.8 11

Source: Powered by dataCentral

See Appendix A-1 for Analyst Certification, Important Disclosures and Research Analyst Affiliations.

n Buy

Price (06 Aug 26 13:30)

NT$233.50

Target price

NT$365.00↑

from NT$350.00

Expected share price return

56.3%

Expected dividend yield

9.3%

Expected total return

65.6%

Market Cap

NT$296,346M US$9,181M

Price Performance (RIC: 3036.TW, BB: 3036 TT)

報告_Citi_文曄3036_20260806_001

Jack Chen AC

+886-2-8726-9091 jack1.chen@citi.com

Laura (Chia Yi) Chen +886-2-8726-9090 laura.cy.chen@citi.com

Nicholas Lai +886-2-8726-9093 nicholas.lai@citi.com

3036.TW:Fiscalyearend31-Dec Price: NT$233.50; TP:NT$365.00; MarketCap:NT$296,346m; Recomm:Buy Price: NT$233.50; TP:NT$365.00; MarketCap:NT$296,346m; Recomm:Buy Price: NT$233.50; TP:NT$365.00; MarketCap:NT$296,346m; Recomm:Buy Price: NT$233.50; TP:NT$365.00; MarketCap:NT$296,346m; Recomm:Buy Price: NT$233.50; TP:NT$365.00; MarketCap:NT$296,346m; Recomm:Buy
Profit&Loss(NT$m) 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E Valuation ratios 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Sales revenue 959,432 1,177,949 2,319,543 3,402,972 4,633,878 PE(x) 29.0 19.8 8.3 6.9 4.8
Cost of sales -921,830 -1,130,325 -2,239,397 -3,299,730 -4,498,726 PB(x) 2.6 2.3 2.1 1.6 1.2
Gross profit 37,602 47,624 80,145 103,242 135,153 EV/EBITDA(x) 19.0 14.8 6.3 5.3 3.8
Gross Margin (%) 3.9 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.9 FCFyield (%) 16.5 6.1 -2.2 8.6 4.6
EBITDA(Adj) 16,671 22,637 53,242 64,300 88,139 Dividend yield (%) 0.8 2.1 3.4 9.2 11.0
EBITDAMargin(Adj) (%) 1.7 1.9 2.3 1.9 1.9 Payout ratio (%) 23 42 28 63 52
Depreciation -1,048 -1,180 -1,265 -1,311 -824 ROE(%) 10.3 12.2 28.2 26.4 28.8
Amortisation -359 -575 -430 -430 -430 Cashflow(NT$m) 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
EBIT (Adj) 15,264 20,882 51,547 62,559 86,885 EBITDA 16,671 22,637 53,242 64,300 88,139
EBIT Margin (Adj) (%) 1.6 1.8 2.2 1.8 1.9 Working capital 32,003 2,331 -44,894 -19,532 -50,143
Net interest -4,251 -4,280 -5,815 -6,360 -6,360 Other -6,246 -7,361 -14,741 -18,996 -24,172
Associates 642 -396 253 -100 -100 Operating cashflow 42,428 17,606 -6,394 25,772 13,825
Non-Op/Except/Other Adj 179 1,192 580 -230 -230 Capex -249 -1,668 -266 -240 -240
Pre-tax profit 11,835 17,399 46,564 55,870 80,195 Net acq/disposals 6,596 -3,948 1,729 0 0
Tax -2,629 -3,833 -9,782 -12,286 -17,462 Other -115,233 3,855 -10,489 -10,489 -10,489
Extraord./Min.Int./Pref.div. -364 -293 -274 -280 -280 Investing cashflow -108,886 -1,761 -9,027 -10,729 -10,729
Reported net profit 8,842 13,274 36,508 43,303 62,453 Dividends paid -2,548 -7,267 -10,241 -27,651 -32,748
Net Margin (%) 0.9 1.1 1.6 1.3 1.3 Financing cashflow 82,030 -26,818 13,332 -270 -270
CoreNPAT 8,842 13,274 36,508 43,303 62,453 Net change in cash 16,980 -11,589 -2,089 14,773 2,825
Per share data 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E Free cashflow to s/holders 42,179 15,938 -6,660 25,532 13,585
Reported EPS($) 8.06 11.77 28.30 34.02 49.09
Core EPS($) 8.06 11.77 28.30 34.02 49.09
DPS($) 1.82 5.00 7.84 21.57 25.59
CFPS($) 38.68 15.61 -4.96 20.25 10.87
FCFPS($) 38.45 14.14 -5.16 20.06 10.68
BVPS($) 90.33 103.08 111.95 145.97 195.04
Wtdavgordshares(m) 1,080 1,126 1,265 1,266 1,265
Wtdavgdiluted shares (m) 1,097 1,128 1,290 1,273 1,272
Growthrates 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Sales revenue (%) 61.4 22.8 96.9 46.7 36.2
EBIT (Adj) (%) 86.2 36.8 146.8 21.4 38.9
CoreNPAT(%) 136.3 50.1 175.0 18.6 44.2
CoreEPS(%) 92.0 46.1 140.4 20.2 44.3
BalanceSheet(NT$m) 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Cash&cashequiv. 39,728 28,139 25,463 40,468 43,373
Accounts receivables 142,094 170,018 118,762 162,708 292,354
Inventory 160,928 259,760 368,144 668,535 936,343
Net fixed &other tangibles 5,315 7,219 4,014 2,791 2,206
Goodwill &intangibles assets 43,103 40,606 40,935 40,935 40,935
Financial &other 21,323 21,817 32,539 51,399 83,687
Total assets Accounts 412,490 186,741 527,560 589,857 966,835 1,398,897
payable 317,278 310,932 610,728 946,583
Short-term debt 35,486 63,366 33,601 58,818 58,818 58,818 34,218
Long-term debt 34,383 34,218 34,218
Total liabilities 308,627 409,622 447,081 780,746 1,150,344
Minority interests 988 275 291 301 311
Total equity 103,863 117,938 142,776 186,090 248,553
59,125 39,846 67,573 52,568 49,663
Net debt (Adj)
Net debt to equity (Adj) (%) 56.9 33.8 47.3 28.2 20.0
For definitions of the items in this table, please click here.

Figure 2. WT Micro - Earnings Revisions

3Q26E 3Q26E 3Q26E 4Q26E 4Q26E 4Q26E 2026E 2026E 2026E 2027E 2027E 2027E 2028E 2028E 2028E
(NT$mn) New Old Chg. New Old Chg. New Old Chg. New Old Chg. New Old Chg.
Sales 601,326 630,892 -5% 633,250 647,056 -2% 2,319,543 2,362,077 -2% 3,402,972 3,539,175 -4% 4,633,878 4,788,919 -3%
Sequential growth (%) 2% 7% 5% 3% 97% 101% 47% 50% 36% 35%
Gross profit 21,365 20,070 6% 21,594 19,761 9% 80,145 76,151 5% 103,242 99,231 4% 135,153 126,782 7%
Opex 6,992 7,628 -8% 7,357 7,820 -6% 28,599 29,687 -4% 40,683 42,185 -4% -48,268 -49,743 -3%
Operating profit 14,373 12,443 16% 14,236 11,941 19% 51,547 46,464 11% 62,559 57,046 10% 86,885 77,039 13%
Pre-tax profit 12,726 11,648 9% 12,589 11,146 13% 46,564 43,057 8% 55,870 53,766 4% 80,195 73,759 9%
Net income 10,073 9,222 9% 9,998 8,851 13% 36,508 33,345 9% 43,303 41,669 4% 62,453 57,411 9%
EPS(NT$) 7.91 7.25 9% 7.86 6.95 13% 28.30 26.21 8% 34.02 32.74 4% 49.09 45.13 9%
Gross margin (%) 3.55% 3.18% +0.4 ppt 3.41% 3.05% +0.4 ppt 3.46% 3.22% +0.2 ppt 3.03% 2.80% +0.2 ppt 2.92% 2.65% +0.3 ppt
Opexratio (%) 1.16% 1.21% -0.0 ppt 1.16% 1.21% -0.0 ppt 1.23% 1.26% -0.0 ppt 1.20% 1.19% +0.0ppt -1.04% -1.04% -0.0 ppt
Operating margin (%) 2.39% 1.97% +0.4 ppt 2.25% 1.85% +0.4 ppt 2.22% 1.97% +0.3 ppt 1.84% 1.61% +0.2 ppt 1.87% 1.61% +0.3 ppt
Net margin (%) 1.68% 1.46% +0.2 ppt 1.58% 1.37% +0.2 ppt 1.57% 1.41% +0.2 ppt 1.27% 1.18% +0.1 ppt 1.35% 1.20% +0.1 ppt

© 2026 Citigroup Inc. No redistribution without Citigroup's written permission.

Source: Citi Research Estimates

Earnings upward revisions; lift TP NT$365 on attractive valuation; Buy -We lift our 2026/27/28E earnings by 9%/4%/9% to factor in more AI ASIC ramp from 4Q26 onward and auto/industrial recovery. We raise our DCF-based TP to NT$365 (implied 11x 2027E EPS) from NT$350 (implied 10x 2027E EPS). We believe 11x multiple isn't stretched and justified by semiconductor upcycle. Reiterate our Buy rating.

Figure 1. WT Micro - 2Q26 Results

(NT$mn) 2Q26 Actual 1Q26 Actual Q/Q 2Q25 Actual Y/Y 2Q26 Citi Diff. 2Q26 Cons. Diff.
Revenue 590,694 494,273 20% 259,503 128% 589,855 0% 580,201 2%
Gross profit 20,142 17,044 18% 11,217 80% 19,275 4% 19,025 6%
Gross margin 3.4% 3.4% -0.0 ppt 4.3% -0.9 ppt 3.3% +0.1 ppt 3.3% +0.1 ppt
Op. profit 12,994 9,944 31% 4,660 179% 12,136 7% 11,817 10%
OPmargin 2.2% 2.0% +0.2 ppt 1.8% +0.4 ppt 2.1% +0.1 ppt 2.0% +0.2 ppt
Net income 9,713 6,723 44% 2,560 279% 8,533 14% 8,251 18%
EPS(NT$) 7.63 5.01 52% 2.27 236% 6.70 14% 6.46 18%

© 2026 Citigroup Inc. No redistribution without Citigroup's written permission.

Source: Citi Research Estimates, Company Reports, Bloomberg

Figure 3. WT Micro - Forecast Summary

WT Micro (NT$ in Mn, year-end Dec) 2027 2027 2027 2027 2019 2020
WT Micro (NT$ in Mn, year-end Dec) 1Q 2QE 2026 3QE 4QE 1QE 2QE 3QE 4QE 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Revenue 494,273 590,694 601,326 633,250 539,461 761,555 1,040,400 1,061,557 335,187 353,152 447,896 571,197 594,519 959,432 1,177,949 2,319,543 3,402,972 4,633,878
COGS -477,229 -570,551 -579,961 -611,656 -520,582 -737,836 -1,010,382 -1,030,930 -324,387 -342,378 -430,909 -551,365 -576,113 -921,830 -1,130,325 -2,239,397 -3,299,730 -4,498,726
Depreciation costs -293 -321 -324 -327 -326 -327 -328 -330 -288 -297 -348 -380 -448 -1,048 -1,180 -1,265 -1,311 -824
Gross Profit 17,044 20,142 21,365 21,594 18,879 23,719 30,018 30,626 10,800 10,774 16,987 19,832 18,406 37,602 47,624 80,145 103,242 135,153
Operating Expense -7,100 -7,149 -6,992 -7,357 -6,896 -9,494 -11,919 -12,374 -5,547 -5,458 -6,430 -8,050 -10,206 -22,338 -26,742 -28,599 -40,683 -48,268
SG&A expenses -6,707 -6,776 -6,615 -6,966 -6,635 -9,139 -11,444 -11,889 -5,138 -5,048 -5,818 -7,394 -9,443 -21,389 -25,291 -27,063 -39,108 -46,161
R&Dexpenses -212 -253 -258 -271 -231 -327 -446 -455 -407 -386 -609 -655 -755 -851 -810 -994 -1,459 -1,987
EBIT 9,944 12,994 14,373 14,236 11,984 14,225 18,098 18,253 5,253 5,316 10,557 11,783 8,200 15,264 20,882 51,547 62,559 86,885
Net Interest Income -1,045 -1,590 -1,590 -1,590 -1,590 -1,590 -1,590 -1,590 -1,932 -975 -709 -2,406 -3,728 -4,251 -4,280 -5,815 -6,360 -6,360
Net Other Income 124 824 -57 -57 -157 -57 -57 -57 -13 457 331 535 724 821 796 833 -330 -330
Pre-Tax Profit 9,022 12,227 12,726 12,589 10,236 12,577 16,451 16,605 3,309 4,799 10,180 9,911 5,195 11,835 17,399 46,564 55,870 80,195
Tax -2,027 -2,502 -2,672 -2,581 -2,300 -3,144 -3,455 -3,387 -778 -1,004 -2,325 -2,311 -1,217 -2,629 -3,833 -9,782 -12,286 -17,462
Net Profit 6,723 9,713 10,073 9,998 7,926 9,153 13,016 13,208 2,531 3,794 7,866 7,361 3,742 8,842 13,274 36,508 43,303 62,453
EPS (NT$) 5.01 7.63 7.91 7.86 6.23 7.19 10.23 10.38 4.17 5.07 9.80 8.55 4.20 8.06 11.77 28.30 34.02 49.09
Margins (%)
Gross Margin 3.4% 3.4% 3.6% 3.4% 3.5% 3.1% 2.9% 2.9% 3.2% 3.1% 3.8% 3.5% 3.1% 3.9% 4.0% 3.5% 3.0% 2.9%
Operating Margin 2.0% 2.2% 2.4% 2.2% 2.2% 1.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.6% 1.5% 2.4% 2.1% 1.4% 1.6% 1.8% 2.2% 1.8% 1.9%
Net Margin 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 1.6% 1.5% 1.2% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 1.3% 1.3%
Sequential Growth (%)
Revenue 0.4 20% 2% 5% -15% 41% 37% 2% 23% 5% 27% 28% 4% 61% 23% 97% 47% 36%
Gross Profit 0.3 18% 6% 1% -13% 26% 27% 2% 1% 0% 58% 17% -7% 104% 27% 68% 29% 31%
EBIT 0.7 31% 11% -1% -16% 19% 27% 1% 0% 1% 99% 12% -30% 86% 37% 147% 21% 39%
Net Profit 0.6 44% 4% -1% -21% 15% 42% 1% -9% 50% 107% -6% -49% 136% 50% 175% 19% 44%
EPS 0.3 52% 4% -1% -21% 15% 42% 1% -11% 22% 93% -13% -51% 92% 46% 140% 20% 44%

© 2026 Citigroup Inc. No redistribution without Citigroup's written permission.

Source: Citi Research Estimates, Company Reports

報告_Citi_文曄3036_20260806_002

NT$

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Aug 25

4 63% Upside

NT$ 365.00

A 56% Upside

Bull/Bear: WT Micro (3036.TW)

報告_Citi_文曄3036_20260806_003

BASE Assumptions

• Recovery in overall semiconductor market

  • Mild recovery in auto/industrial sectors.

• Mild synergy created from the merger of Future.

BEAR Assumptions

  • Slower recovery in overall semiconductor market · Furthur decline in auto/industrial sectors.

• No synergy created from the merger of Future.

NT$ 150.00

• 36% Downside

WT Micro

Company description

Founded in 1993, WT Micro focuses on semiconductor-related component agency sales. Currently, it ranks among the top four IC distributors globally and holds a market share of around 12%. Headquartered in Taiwan, WT Micro has an extensive marketing and sales channel with nearly 50 regional offices across China, Korea, Singapore, India, Thailand, Malaysia, and Vietnam. WT Micro currently serves as the distribution partner to >25,000 customers for over 80 global leading semiconductor partners. As of 2023, 28% revenues came from mobile phone, 22% from datacenter, 14% from communication, 10% from industrial, 10% from PC, 9% from consumer and 8% from automotive application

Investment strategy

We rate WT Micro as Buy. From a top-down view, we expect the IC distribution industry to be aided by semi upcycle on AI in 2026. We also see global supply chain relocation favoring WT Micro going forward given its more diversified global footprints. For its subsidiary, Future Electronics, which WT Micro acquired in 2024, we are seeing the merger bearing fruit given ongoing recovery in auto/industrial business for US/European customers with higher GM profile. Furthermore, we believe there is significant further potential from synergies, primarily through cross-selling to each company's customer base and securing new distribution rights in the U.S. and Europe.

Valuation

We use DCF methodology to derive our target price of NT$365. Key assumptions of our DCF model include a risk-free rate of 4.1% (10-year government bond rate), a market risk premium of 7%, and an equity beta of 0.9 (1-year weekly share price), which derives a WACC of 8.6%. Our model assumes 1% long-term revenue growth and gradual expanding of EBIT margin from 1.9% in 2028 to 2.3% in the long term. Our target price is equivalent to 13x/11x 2026/27E EPS and 3.3x/2.5x BVPS, which is in line with its peers' valuation and we believe is justified by AI trend, upsides from its subsidiary, Future Electronics.

Risks

Key downside risks that could prevent WT Micro's share price from reaching our target price are: 1) weaker-than-expected end market demand; 2) lowerthan-expected synergy from the acquisition of Future; 3) taking longer time to acquire new distribution rights or 4) aggressive funding for its working capital via higher leverage ratio (more interest expense) or GDR issuance (earnings dilution).

WT Micro (3036.TW)

Analyst: Jack Chen

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If you are visually impaired and would like to speak to a Citi representative regarding the details of the graphics in this document, please call USA 1-888-500-5008 (TTY: 711), from outside the US +1-210-677-3788 ¡EMAMIJASON 11 A

Date

Appendix A-1

*Indicates Change