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報告_Citi_亞德客1590_20260903

更新 2026-09-05

PDF 原檔:報告_Citi_亞德客1590_20260903_original.pdf

原始內容

citivelocity.com

03 Sep 2026 05:43:41 ET │ 11 pages

Airtac (1590.TW)

Broad-Based Growth Continued in Aug-26; Near-Term Volatility Ahead

CITI'S TAKE

Airtac reported Aug-26 sales of NT$3.7bn, up 43% y/y or Rmb 780mn, up 27% y/y. Sales decreased 7% m/m due to normal low-season effects, while daily shipment of pneumatic eased 2% m/m to Rmb 30.7mn. Growth remained broad-based in the month, led by textiles (+47% y/y), electronics (+36%), machine tools (+35%) and battery (+30%). Mgmt indicated that order received continued to exceed shipments, implying resilient underlying demand and its ongoing share gains in China's pneumatic market. QTD sales reached 69-71% of our/BBG 3Q26E sales estimates, tracking ahead of the historical avg of 66%. We maintain Buy rating, supported by sustained market share gains and the upcoming launch of semi-related products, which should broaden Airtac's addressable market and support its longer-term growth. Nevertheless, we adopt a more balanced near-term view, as seasonal demand moderation and increasing challenging comparisons from 4Q26E could slow headline growth and trigger profit-taking pressure.

Flash |

Buy

Price (03 Sep 26 13:30)

NT$1,375.00

Target price

NT$1,750.00

Expected share price return

27.3%

Expected dividend yield

2.7%

Expected total return Market Cap

30.0%

NT$275,000M

US$8,660M

Angela Hsu AC

+886-2-8726-9083 angela.hc.hsu@citi.com

See Appendix A-1 for Analyst Certification, Important Disclosures and Research Analyst Affiliations

(Dased on vur calculations)

Rmb mn

40

36

32

28

24

20

16

12

2024/1

2024/2

2024/3

2024/4

2024/5

2024/6

(Virect sales Unly)

50%

45%

40%

35%

30%

25%

20%

Figure 1. Airtac: Daily Run Rate of Pneumatics by Month (Based on Our Calculations) 5%

Electronic equipment

© 2026 Citigroup Inc. No redistribution without Citigroup's written permission.

Source: Company Reports, Citi Research

20%

Figure 2. Airtac: Sales Growth by Industry in Aug-26 (Direct Sales Only)

© 2026 Citigroup Inc. No redistribution without Citigroup's written permission.

Source: Company Reports, Citi Research

© 2026 Citigroup Inc. No redistribution without Citigroup's written permission.

Source: Company Reports, Citi Research

36%

30%

35%

47%

Airtac

Valuation

We derive our target price of NT$1,750 for Airtac by using a P/E methodology, as we believe the margin and earnings growth outlooks will be the key drivers of the stock. We apply a P/E of 27.5x for 2H26-1H27E, which we derive from the mid range of prior upcycle valuation 25-35x during 2021 in view of a strong upcycle with solid FA demand and ongoing share gains.

Risks

Key downside risks that could impede the Airtac stock from reaching our target price include: 1) a softer-than-expected China macro economy, resulting in downside to our sales forecasts; 2) intensifying competition leading to gross margin pressures; and 3) slower-than-expected progress of its linear guide business, causing low utilization of capacity.

Airtac (1590.TW)

Analyst: Angela Hsu

If you are visually impaired and would like to speak to a Citi representative regarding the details of the graphics in this document, please call USA 1-888-500-5008 (TTY: 711), from outside the US +1-210-677-3788

Date

Appendix A-1

[2] 30-Apr-24 10:21:43

*1,350.00

1,160.00

[5 30-0ct-25 09:57:38