PDF 原檔:260529_3711_日月光_ms_ASE_original.pdf
原始內容
M May 29, 2026 07:56 AM GMT
ASE Technology Holding Co. Ltd. | Asia Pacific
Asia AI Summit 2026 Feedback
ASE AI summit takeaways:
- Utilization: ASE's ATM 1Q utilization is ~80%. 2Q improves to 80%+, with 85% as full utilization.
- Capex: 2026 capex is expected at US$8.5bn: US$3bn for buildings and infrastructure, and US$5.5bn for machinery and equipment. Within equipment, testing accounts for 40%, packaging 55%, and the rest EMS. Management expects 2027 capex to at least match 2026 and could be higher.
- Margin: Management expects ATM gross margins to remain within the structural 24-30% range through 2026, improving each quarter, with 2H reaching the upper end.
- CPO opportunities: The company has a mini line for CPO and is part of the supply chain.
- CoPoS: A few products are in qualification, but mass production timing is not clear at this stage.
Update
| Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited+ | Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited+ | Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited+ | Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Chan | Charlie Chan | Charlie Chan | Charlie Chan |
| Equity Analyst Charlie.Chan@morganstanley.com | Equity Analyst Charlie.Chan@morganstanley.com | Equity Analyst Charlie.Chan@morganstanley.com | +886 2 2730-1725 |
| Daniel Yen, CFA | Daniel Yen, CFA | Daniel Yen, CFA | |
| Equity Analyst Daniel.Yen@morganstanley.com | Equity Analyst Daniel.Yen@morganstanley.com | Equity Analyst Daniel.Yen@morganstanley.com | +886 2 2730-2863 |
| Morgan Stanley Asia Limited+ | Morgan Stanley Asia Limited+ | Morgan Stanley Asia Limited+ | |
| Daisy Dai, CFA | Daisy Dai, CFA | Daisy Dai, CFA | |
| Equity Analyst | Equity Analyst | Equity Analyst | |
| Daisy.Dai@morganstanley.com | Daisy.Dai@morganstanley.com | Daisy.Dai@morganstanley.com | +852 2848-7310 |
| Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited+ | Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited+ | Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited+ | |
| Lucas Wang | Lucas Wang | Lucas Wang | |
| Research Associate Lucas.Wang@morganstanley.com | Research Associate Lucas.Wang@morganstanley.com | Research Associate Lucas.Wang@morganstanley.com | +886 2 2730-2875 |
| Morgan Stanley Asia Limited+ | Morgan Stanley Asia Limited+ | Morgan Stanley Asia Limited+ | |
| Henry Zhao | Henry Zhao | Henry Zhao | |
| Research Associate | Research Associate | Research Associate | |
| Henry.Zhao@morganstanley.com | Henry.Zhao@morganstanley.com | Henry.Zhao@morganstanley.com | +852 2239-7731 |
| Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited+ | Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited+ | Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited+ | |
| Tiffany Yeh | Tiffany Yeh | Tiffany Yeh | |
| Equity Analyst | Equity Analyst | Equity Analyst | |
| Tiffany.Yeh@morganstanley.com | Tiffany.Yeh@morganstanley.com | Tiffany.Yeh@morganstanley.com | +886 2 7712-3032 |
| Morgan Stanley Asia Limited+ | Morgan Stanley Asia Limited+ | Morgan Stanley Asia Limited+ | |
| Ethan Jia | Ethan Jia | Ethan Jia | |
| Research Associate Ethan.Jia@morganstanley.com | Research Associate Ethan.Jia@morganstanley.com | Research Associate Ethan.Jia@morganstanley.com | +852 3963-2287 |
| ASE Technology Holding Co. Ltd. (3711.TW, 3711 TT) | ASE Technology Holding Co. Ltd. (3711.TW, 3711 TT) | ASE Technology Holding Co. Ltd. (3711.TW, 3711 TT) | ASE Technology Holding Co. Ltd. (3711.TW, 3711 TT) |
| Stock Rating | Overweight | ||
| Industry View | Industry View | Industry View | Attractive |
| Price target | Price target | Price target | NT$558.00 |
| Up/downside to price target (%) | Up/downside to price target (%) | Up/downside to price target (%) | (9) |
| Shr price, close (May 29, 2026) | Shr price, close (May 29, 2026) | Shr price, close (May 29, 2026) | NT$611.00 |
| 52-Week Range | 52-Week Range | 52-Week Range | NT$669.00-133.00 |
| Mkt cap, curr (mn) | Mkt cap, curr (mn) | Mkt cap, curr (mn) | NT$2,757,201 |
| Fiscal Year Ending | 12/25 | 12/26e | 12/27e 12/28e |
| EPS (NT$)** | 9.22 | 16.84 | 26.95 40.85 |
| Prior EPS (NT$)** EPS (NT$)§ | - 8.70 | - 16.44 | - - 23.16 31.73 |
| Revenue, net (NT$ bn) | 645.4 | 792.7 | 1,012.8 1,317.9 |
| P/E ROE (%) | 27.2 11.8 | 36.3 19.9 | 22.7 15.0 28.1 36.3 |
| Div yld | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| (%) | 0.9 |
Unless otherwise noted, all metrics are based on Morgan Stanley ModelWare framework
Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of Morgan Stanley Research. Investors should consider Morgan Stanley Research as only a single factor in making their investment decision.
圖片清單(已驗證 2026-07-02)
回補驗證:僅涵蓋已被 lib 頁嵌入的圖片,非全量驗證。
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61KB | 真資料圖 | 日月光股價走勢圖(2023/05–2026/05),藍線為股價,紅色虛線為目標價階梯,圖上標示評等變動點(E/I、O/A、E/A、O/I)與各階段目標價數字(98, 128, 150, 172, 180, 198, 208, 188, 228, 308, 338, 368, 408, 558 等) |