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260606_2357_華碩_gs_asustek

更新 2026-06-08

PDF 原檔:260606_2357_華碩_gs_asustek_original.pdf

原始內容

Asus (2357.TW): Enhanced AI-driven PC for LLM workloads and local AI tasks; TP raised to NT$1,082; Neutral

ASUS showcased the new ProArt P16/ P14 based on the NVIDIA RTX Spark Superchip (Link) during the Computex 2026, highlighting the faster AI model loading, ultra-responsive multitasking, and e ffi cient processing for creators, including the local AI tasks. Despite near-term pressures of memory cost weighing on the PC end demand, we see the company still bene fi ts from the rising AI PC adoption rate and speci fi cation upgrade for enhanced AI user experiences. Meanwhile, we expect to see company's AI server business ramp up across various platforms, supported by comprehensive o ff erings and client diversi fi cation. Maintain Neutral with TP raised to NT$1,082.

Monthly revenues preview: ASUS April revenues were +46% YoY/ -5% MoM to NT$82bn, or 36% higher than our estimates, and we attribute it to product mix upgrade with spec upgrade and customer pull-in. Looking ahead, despite memory cost pressures remaining, we expect the mix upgrade towards AI PC and rack-level AI server ramp up to support 2Q/ 3Q26E growth at 26%/ 12% YoY. We model May/ Jun revenues to grow 26%/ 9% YoY to NT$79bn/ NT$75bn, while MoM decline on the high base.

Exhibit 1: We expect ASUS May revenues growth at 26% YoY/ -3% MoM to NT$79bn ASUS monthly/ quarterly revenues

Apr-26 May-26E Jun-26E Jul-26E Aug-26E Sep-26E 2Q26E 3Q26E
Rev (NT$m) 81,915 79,458 74,725 68,747 74,246 93,105 236,098 223,645
Rev YoY 46% 26% 9% 25% 18% 13% 26% 12%
RevMoM/QoQ -5% -3% -6% -8% 8% 25% 22% -5%
GS estimates (NT$m) 60,259
Act vs. GS 36%

Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Allen Chang

+852-2978-2930 | allen.k.chang@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C.

Verena Jeng +852-2978-1681 | verena.jeng@gs.com

Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C.

Ting Song +852-2978-6466 | ting.song@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C.

e92c7a75ab8b4efbba794e6b187208c8

Exhibit 2: ASUS monthly revenues

260606_2357_華碩_gs_asustek_001

Source: Company data

Earnings revision: We revise up earnings by 4%/ 12%/ 14% in 2026-28E mainly on higher revenues. We revise up revenues on higher growth of (1) Notebook revenues driven by rising adoption of AI PC and speci fi cation upgrade to support on-device AI; (2) rack-level AI server ramp up with shipment growth and dollar content increase.

Exhibit 3: Earnings revision

2026E 2026E 2026E 2027E 2027E 2027E 2028E 2028E 2028E
NTm Old New Chg Old New Chg Old New Chg
Revenue 831,325 859,450 3% 876,897 967,080 10% 937,464 1,062,418 13%
GP 120,935 125,096 3% 136,440 149,602 10% 147,031 165,687 13%
OP 42,910 44,968 5% 50,417 57,633 14% 57,878 67,413 16%
Net income 40,100 41,798 4% 46,193 51,802 12% 52,163 59,314 14%
Margins
GM 14.5% 14.6% 15.6% 15.5% 15.7% 15.6%
OPM 5.2% 5.2% 5.7% 6.0% 6.2% 6.3%
NM 4.8% 4.9% 5.3% 5.4% 5.6% 5.6%

Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

e92c7a75ab8b4efbba794e6b187208c8

Exhibit 4: ASUS revenues changes by segment

Revenues (New) 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Notebook 353,080 333,226 339,767 344,796
Desktop 25,428 22,071 21,585 21,575
Tablet 1,655 1,663 1,561 1,483
Workstation 1,430 1,462 1,427 1,425
Motherboard/Graphic Cards 318,322 423,382 495,357 554,800
General servers 3,683 13,133 14,351 15,190
AI servers 16,968 46,389 70,391 94,862
AIoT 14,834 18,067 22,584 28,230
Total 738,905 859,450 967,080 1,062,418
Revenues (Old) 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Notebook 356,894 333,926 305,797 303,812
Desktop 21,614 21,839 21,373 21,376
Tablet 1,655 1,663 1,561 1,483
Workstation 1,430 1,462 1,427 1,425
Motherboard/Graphic Cards 323,455 404,005 464,606 511,066
General servers 2,992 12,259 12,524 13,425
AI servers 12,525 38,631 48,572 59,644
AIoT 14,834 17,484 20,981 25,177
Total 738,905 831,325 876,897 937,464
Revenues (Change) 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Notebook -1% 0% 11% 13%
Desktop 18% 1% 1% 1%
Tablet 0% 0% 0% 0%
Workstation 0% 0% 0% 0%
Motherboard/Graphic Cards -2% 5% 7% 9%
General servers 23% 7% 15% 13%
AI servers 35% 20% 45% 59%
AIoT 0% 3% 8% 12%
Total 0% 3% 10% 13%

Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Exhibit 5: ASUS GM changes by segment

GM (New) 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Notebook 14.6% 13.2% 13.8% 14.0%
Desktop 14.0% 12.5% 13.0% 13.2%
Tablet 11.1% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0%
Workstation 15.8% 16.0% 16.0% 16.0%
Motherboard/Graphic Cards 16.2% 16.4% 17.8% 18.0%
General servers 11.0% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0%
AI servers 6.7% 8.5% 9.0% 9.0%
AIoT 15.4% 15.3% 14.6% 14.6%
Total 15.1% 14.6% 15.5% 15.6%
GM (Old) 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Notebook 14.6% 13.2% 13.8% 13.9%
Desktop 13.8% 12.5% 13.0% 13.2%
Tablet 11.1% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0%
Workstation 16.1% 16.0% 16.0% 16.0%
Motherboard/Graphic Cards 16.2% 16.4% 17.7% 17.8%
General servers 11.0% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0%
AI servers 6.6% 8.6% 9.0% 9.0%
AIoT 14.8% 14.6% 14.6% 14.6%
Others 10.7% 11.1% 12.3% 12.3%
Total 15.1% 14.5% 15.6% 15.7%
GM (Change) 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Notebook 0ppts 0ppts 0ppts 0.1ppts
Desktop 0ppts 0ppts 0ppts 0ppts
Tablet 0ppts 0ppts 0ppts 0ppts
Workstation 0ppts 0ppts 0ppts 0ppts
Motherboard/Graphic Cards 0ppts 0ppts 0.1ppts 0.2ppts
General servers 0ppts 0ppts 0ppts 0ppts
AI servers 0ppts 0ppts 0ppts 0ppts
AIoT 0ppts 0.7ppts 0ppts 0ppts
Total 0ppts 0ppts -0.1ppts -0.1ppts

Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Valuation: We continue to use near term P/E to derive our 12M TP. Our target P/E is updated to 15.8x 2027E EPS, (vs. 11.3x previously), still derived from peers' avg. ratio of 2027E PE to 2028E NI YoY and OPM and supported by our higher 2028E NI growth at 15% (vs. 12% previously). With the updated earnings estimates and target P/E, our 12M TP is raised to NT$1,082.0 (vs. NT$690.1 previously). Maintain Neutral.

Exhibit 6: ASUS P&L Summary

(NT$ m) 1Q25 2Q25 3Q25 4Q25 1Q26 2Q26E 3Q26E 4Q26E 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Revenue 147,693 188,006 200,281 202,924 194,051 236,098 223,645 205,656 537,192 482,314 587,087 738,905 859,450 967,080 1,062,418
Gross profit 24,600 25,963 28,706 32,346 26,709 33,886 33,646 30,855 74,145 72,405 103,474 111,614 125,096 149,602 165,687
Operating income 12,580 7,835 9,839 9,403 10,502 10,748 12,400 11,317 12,982 11,164 29,595 39,656 44,968 57,633 67,413
Net income 12,791 9,806 10,556 11,405 9,797 10,120 11,400 10,481 14,691 15,928 31,394 44,558 41,798 51,802 59,314
EPS (NT$) 17.22 13.20 14.21 15.36 13.19 13.62 15.35 14.11 19.78 21.44 42.27 59.99 56.27 69.74 79.13
Margins / ratio
Gross margin 16.7% 13.8% 14.3% 15.9% 13.8% 14.4% 15.0% 15.0% 13.8% 15.0% 17.6% 15.1% 14.6% 15.5% 15.6%
Operating margin 8.5% 4.2% 4.9% 4.6% 5.4% 4.6% 5.5% 5.5% 2.4% 2.3% 5.0% 5.4% 5.2% 6.0% 6.3%
Net margin 8.7% 5.2% 5.3% 5.6% 5.0% 4.3% 5.1% 5.1% 2.7% 3.3% 5.3% 6.0% 4.9% 5.4% 5.6%
QoQ
Revenue -4% 27% 7% 1% -4% 22% -5% -8%
Gross profit -6% 6% 11% 13% -17% 27% -1% -8%
Operating income 699% -38% 26% -4% 12% 2% 15% -9%
Net income 681% -23% 8% 8% -14% 3% 13% -8%
EPS 681% -23% 8% 8% -14% 3% 13% -8%
YoY
Revenue 21% 30% 20% 32% 31% 26% 12% 1% 0% -10% 22% 26% 16% 13% 10%
Gross profit 26% -7% -4% 24% 9% 31% 17% -5% -33% -2% 43% 8% 12% 20% 11%
Operating income 160% -32% -16% 497% -17% 37% 26% 20% -74% -14% 165% 34% 13% 28% 17%
Net income 135% -17% -16% 596% -23% 3% 8% -8% -67% 8% 97% 42% -6% 24% 15%
EPS 135% -17% -16% 596% -23% 3% 8% -8% -67% 8% 97% 42% -6% 24% 13%

Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

e92c7a75ab8b4efbba794e6b187208c8

30

25

20

15

10

x

70% 66%

60%

50%

Exhibit 7: Target P/E is derived from peers' avg. ratio of 2027E PE to 2028E NI YoY and OPM

42%

Company Ticker Rating ASUS 2357.TW Neutral Lenovo 0992.HK Buy Gigabyte 2376.TW Neutral Dell DELL Buy Quanta 2382.TW Neutral HP HPQ Sell Apple AAPL Buy
2027E PE 15.8 16.5 12.8 19.3 12.5 8.7 32.5
2028E NI YoY 15% 25% 15% 12% 4% 12% 6%
2028E OPM 6.3% 3.8% 5.0% 9.5% 3.6% 7.0% 32.1%
Ratio 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.7 0.5 0.8
Avg. 0.8

Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

260606_2357_華碩_gs_asustek_002

Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

260606_2357_華碩_gs_asustek_003

e92c7a75ab8b4efbba794e6b187208c8

Exhibit 10: ASUS Balance sheet and Cash fl ow statement

Balance Sheet (NT$m) 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Cash and equivalents 79,227 94,038 90,079 78,847 80,451 102,128
Accounts receivable 86,817 107,078 139,327 152,651 175,892 179,218
Inventory 122,790 152,620 197,642 265,101 294,815 294,816
Other current assets 18,342 25,507 26,786 26,786 26,786 26,786
Current assets 307,177 379,243 453,834 523,385 577,943 602,947
Net PP&E/Fixed assets 20,082 20,838 21,359 20,386 19,322 18,229
Net intangibles 2,687 2,891 13,283 9,881 6,873 4,711
Other long-term assets 150,136 153,552 143,181 143,181 143,181 143,181
Non-current assets 172,905 177,281 177,823 173,448 169,376 166,121
Total assets 480,082 556,524 631,657 696,833 747,319 769,068
Accounts payable 56,967 73,997 119,584 174,158 202,106 200,809
Short-term debt 16,273 25,296 29,755 29,755 29,755 29,755
Other current liabilities 124,312 132,574 158,009 156,076 163,081 168,340
Current liabilities 197,552 231,867 307,347 359,989 394,941 398,903
Long-term debt 162 366 293 293 293 293
Other long-term liabilities 23,386 27,093 26,453 26,453 26,453 26,453
Non-current liabilities 23,547 27,459 26,747 26,747 26,747 26,747
Total liabilities 221,100 259,326 334,094 386,735 421,687 425,650
Common stock 7,428 7,428 7,428 7,428 7,428 7,428
Retained earnings 163,411 182,629 202,004 214,538 230,072 247,859
Other common equity 68,977 79,483 58,865 58,865 58,865 58,865
Total common equity 239,816 269,540 268,297 280,831 296,365 314,152
Minority interest 19,166 27,658 29,266 29,266 29,266 29,266
Total equity 258,982 297,198 297,563 310,097 325,632 343,419
BVPS 321.62 360.10 354.99 371.27 391.81 415.32
Cash conversion cycle
Account receivable days 67 60 61 62 62 61
Inventory days 118 104 102 115 125 120
Net payable days 48 49 56 73 84 82
Cash conversion cycle 137 115 106 104 103 99
Ratios
ROA 3% 6% 8% 6% 7% 8%
Net debt to total equity -25% -24% -20% -16% -16% -21%
Net cash per share (NTD) 86.18 94.85 80.54 65.63 67.75 96.41
Total liabilities to total assets 46% 47% 53% 55% 56% 55%
Dupont analysis
Asset turnover 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4
Leverage (assets to equity) 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.2
Net margin 3% 5% 6% 5% 5% 6%
ROE (total equity) 7% 11% 15% 14% 16% 18%
CROCI (EDBITA/total equity) 5% 11% 14% 17% 20% 21%
Cash flow statement (NT$m) 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Net income 15,928 31,394 44,558 41,798 51,802 59,314
Minority interest add-back (1,962) (2,845) (3,659) - - -
Depreciation and amortization add-back 2,771 2,894 3,117 6,266 6,007 5,220
(Increase)/decrease in working capital 29,775 (33,060) (31,685) (26,208) (25,008) (4,623)
Other operating cash flow items 5,574 9,648 17,999 - - -
Cash flow from operating 52,087 8,030 30,330 21,855 32,801
59,911
Capital expenditure Other investment cash flow items (1,688) 3,895 (2,068) (1,123) (985) (7,198) (1,891) - (1,934) - (1,965) -
Cash flow from investing 2,206 (3,190) (8,183) (1,891) (1,934) (1,965)
Dividends paid (11,141) (12,627) (25,254) (31,196) (29,263) (36,268)
Change in common stock - - - - - -
Increase/(decrease) in short-term debt (32,635) 9,024 4,458 - - -
Increase/(decrease) in long-term debt 17 204 (73) - - -
Other financing cash flow items (1,481) 8,204 (2,352) - - -
Cash flow from financing (45,240) 4,806 (23,221) (31,196) (29,263) (36,268)
Net change in cash 9,904 14,811 (3,959) (11,231) 1,603 21,677
FCF 50,399 5,963 29,345 19,965 30,867 57,945
Ratio 0.2%
Capex to revenue 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%

Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

e92c7a75ab8b4efbba794e6b187208c8

Price Target Risks and Methodology - Asus

We are Neutral rated on ASUS with a 12-month target price of NT$1,082. Our TP is based on 15.8x 2027E P/E, which is based on brand makers' avg. ratio of 2027E PE to 2028E NI YoY and OPM. We see EPS growth and OPM as a major factor for the stock's share performance.

Key upside / downside risks include: 1) stronger / weaker-than-expected PC market growth, 2) faster / slower-than-expected AI and gaming PC growth, and 3) faster / slower-than-expected AI servers ramp-up.

2357.TW 12m Price Target: NT$1,082.00 12m Price Target: NT$1,082.00 Price: NT$900.00 Price: NT$900.00 Upside: 20.2% Upside: 20.2%
Neutral Neutral GS Forecast GS Forecast GS Forecast GS Forecast GS Forecast
Market c ap: NT$668.5b n / $ 21 . 2 b n Market c ap: NT$668.5b n / $ 21 . 2 b n Revenue ( NT$m n ) N e w Revenue (NT$ mn) Old EBITDA (NT$ mn) E PS ( NT$) N e w 12/25 7 3 8 ,904. 8 12/26E 85 9,449. 5 12/27E 9 67 ,0 7 9.9 12/28E 1 ,0 62 ,4 17 . 7
En terpr is e v a lu e: En terpr is e v a lu e: 738,904.8 831,325.3 876,896.8 937,464.3
NT$6 49 . 0 b n / $ 20 .6b n NT$6 49 . 0 b n / $ 20 .6b n 42,773.2 51,233.2 63,639.2 72,633.4
3m AD T V : NT$ 3 .5b n / $ 109 .8 mn 3m AD T V : NT$ 3 .5b n / $ 109 .8 mn 5 9.99 56 . 27 6 9. 7 4 7 9. 1 3
Ta iw a n Ta iw a n EPS (NT$) Old 59.99 53.99 62.19 69.22
G reater Chin a Te chnology G reater Chin a Te chnology P/E (X) 10.6 16.0 12.9 11.4
M &A R a n k: 3 M &A R a n k: 3 P/B (X) 1.8 2.4 2.3 2.2
L ea s e s incl . in n et d ebt & EV? : s L ea s e s incl . in n et d ebt & EV? : s Dividend yield (%) 6.5 4.3 5.3 6.1
Y e Y e CROCI (%) 26.9 19.7 22.1 22.7
3 /26 6/26E 9 /26E 12/26E
EPS (NT$) 13.19 13.62 15.35 14.11

Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Research estimates, FactSet. Price as of 5 Jun 2026 close.

e92c7a75ab8b4efbba794e6b187208c8

圖片清單(已驗證 2026-07-02)

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檔名 size 分類 親眼所見內容
260606_2357_華碩_gs_asustek_001.png 57KB 真資料圖 營收長條圖+YoY%折線圖,縱軸左 NT$m(0-100,000)、右 YoY%(-60%~120%),橫軸 Jan-11至Sep-25,藍色柱狀為「Series1」,紅線為「YoY (RHS)」
260606_2357_華碩_gs_asustek_002.png 54KB 真資料圖 標題「Exhibit 8: ASUS 12M forward PE ratio」藍線走勢圖,橫軸 Jan-19至May-26,縱軸0-30x,標示三條水平虛線:+1st.v 14.4x、avg 10.2x、-1st.v 5.9x
260606_2357_華碩_gs_asustek_003.png 58KB 真資料圖 標題「Exhibit 9: ASUS QFII」藍線走勢圖,橫軸Jan-19至May-26,縱軸0-70%,標示三個數字節點66%(起點)、42%(低點)、36%(末端),來源 TEJ
260606_2357_華碩_gs_asustek_004.png 80KB 真資料圖 標題「Asus (2357.TW) Goldman Sachs rating and stock price target history」雙軸圖:藍色方塊為評等區間(NA/B/N,含日期)、藍點+數字為歷次目標價(522~890區間多個數字)、淺藍線為股價、灰線為Taiwan SE Weighted Index,來源 Goldman Sachs Investment Research,FactSet closing prices as of 3/31/2026