PDF 原檔:報告_UBS_創意3443_20260730_original.pdf
圖片清單(已驗證 2026-07-31)
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100KB | 真資料圖 | 創意電子(GUC, 3443.TW)股價(黑線)與目標價(藍線)走勢圖,2023/04-2026 中,附下方 Buy/Sell/No Rating 評等區間色塊;目標價階梯上修至 NT$6,500 |
原始內容
Fast Take
Global Unichip
Headline
GUC posted Q2 EPS of NT$11.61, ahead of upwardly revised UBSe and consensus due to operating leverage.
Our Take
Q226 GM came in at 21.5%, down 5.7 ppts QoQ, in line with UBSe/VA's ~22% likely due to higher sales mix from advanced node projects for both NRE and turnkey, in our view. GUC will host a physical result meeting tomorrow at 2pm TW time.
| Equities | Equities | Equities |
|---|---|---|
| Taiwan | Taiwan | Taiwan |
| Semiconductors | Semiconductors | Semiconductors |
| 12-month rating | 12-month rating | Buy |
| 12m price target | 12m price target | NT$6,500.00 |
| Price (30 Jul 2026) | Price (30 Jul 2026) | NT$3,460 |
| RIC: 3443.TW BBG: 3443 TT | RIC: 3443.TW BBG: 3443 TT | RIC: 3443.TW BBG: 3443 TT |
| Trading data and key metrics | Trading data and key metrics | Trading data and key metrics |
| 52-wk range | 52-wk range | NT$5,730.00-1,160.00 |
| Market cap. | Market cap. | NT$463b/US$14.3b |
| Shares o/s | Shares o/s | 134m (ORD) |
| Free float | Free float | 64% |
| Avg. daily volume ('000) | Avg. daily volume ('000) | 2,482 |
| Avg. daily value (m) | Avg. daily value (m) | NT$11,610.8 |
| Common s/h equity (12/26E) | Common s/h equity (12/26E) | NT$17.3b |
| P/BV (12/26E) | P/BV (12/26E) | 26.7x |
| Net debt to EBITDA (12/26E) | Net debt to EBITDA (12/26E) | NM |
| EPS (UBS, diluted) (NT$) | EPS (UBS, diluted) (NT$) | EPS (UBS, diluted) (NT$) |
| UBS | Cons. | |
| 12/26E | 52.96 | 46.39 |
| 12/27E | 104.14 | 94.24 |
| 12/28E | 155.25 | 164.31 |
Jerry Su
Analyst jerry.su@ubs.com +886-28-722 7306
Annie Chen
Associate Analyst annie.chen@ubs.com +886-2-8722 7281
| Highlights (NT$m) | 12/23 | 12/24 | 12/25 | 12/26E | 12/27E | 12/28E | 12/29E | 12/30E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 26,241 | 25,044 | 34,141 | 60,741 | 117,077 | 170,092 | 226,241 | 238,265 |
| EBIT (UBS) | 3,969 | 3,803 | 4,350 | 7,936 | 16,061 | 23,939 | 31,287 | 33,747 |
| Net earnings (UBS) | 3,508 | 3,451 | 3,770 | 7,091 | 13,944 | 20,788 | 27,163 | 29,810 |
| EPS (UBS, diluted) (NT$) | 26.19 | 25.77 | 28.15 | 52.96 | 104.14 | 155.25 | 202.86 | 222.63 |
| DPS (net) (NT$) | 13.99 | 14.00 | 16.00 | 20.00 | 25.00 | 30.00 | 35.00 | 40.00 |
| Net (debt) / cash | 7,638 | 10,427 | 6,650 | 9,906 | 13,418 | 17,931 | 39,862 | 62,091 |
| Profitability/valuation | 12/23 | 12/24 | 12/25 | 12/26E | 12/27E | 12/28E | 12/29E | 12/30E |
| EBIT (UBS) margin% | 15.1 | 15.2 | 12.7 | 13.1 | 13.7 | 14.1 | 13.8 | 14.2 |
| ROIC (EBIT)% | 320.5 | 261.3 | 122.0 | 115.8 | 146.2 | 115.9 | 115.7 | 118.7 |
| EV/EBITDA (UBS core) x | 38.2 | 38.6 | 35.0 | 52.4 | 26.9 | 18.1 | 13.6 | 12.0 |
| P/E (UBS, diluted) x | 52.1 | 52.1 | 48.9 | 65.3 | 33.2 | 22.3 | 17.1 | 15.5 |
| Equity FCF (UBS) yield% | 2.2 | 3.0 | (1.3) | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 5.8 | 6.0 |
| Dividend yield (net)% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Source: Company accounts, LSEG Eikon, UBS estimates. Metrics marked as (UBS) have had analyst adjustments applied. Valuations: based on an average share price that year, (E): based on a share price of NT$ 3,460.00 on 30-Jul-2026
Forecast returns
| Forecast price appreciation | 87.9% |
|---|---|
| Forecast dividend yield | 0.6% |
| Forecast stock return | 88.4% |
| Market return assumption | 6.3% |
| Forecast excess return | 82.2% |
Company Description
Global Unichip (GUC) is a leading IC design service company in Taiwan, founded in 1998. The company's business is to design chipsets for customers that do not have IC design capability, with the goal of reducing entry barriers and risks for chipset design and shortening the time to market. The company's target to enable more IC design for start-ups and system companies is complimentary with TSMC, which would benefit from a growing customer and application base, in addition to the company's existing IC design and IDM customers.
Valuation Method and Risk Statement
We value Global Unichip based on a PE methodology. Downside risks include a slower-than-expected business recovery for mature node, lack of new project wins, and wafer capacity constraints.
Required Disclosures
This document has been prepared by UBS Securities Pte. Ltd., Taipei Branch, an affiliate of UBS AG. UBS AG, its subsidiaries, branches and affiliates, including former Credit Suisse AG and its subsidiaries, branches and affiliates are referred to herein as "UBS".
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