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報告_MS_貿聯3665_20260727

更新 2026-07-28

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原始內容

M July 27, 2026 04:04 PM GMT

Preliminary June Profit Announcement

June preliminary profit points to upside to market expectations, likely from recovering GM.

  • Revenue reached NT$8,518mn (+16% MoM/+64% YoY; 37% of 2Q26 revenue of NT$23,253mn), which was 37% of both our estimate at NT$22,836mn (+9% QoQ/+35% YoY) and consensus at NT$23,026mn (+10% QoQ/+36% YoY) for 2Q26.
  • Pretax income was NT$1,510mn (+57% YoY; margin at 17.7%), which was 41% of our pretax income estimate at NT$3,703mn (margin at 16.2%) and 38% of consensus at NT$3,938mn (margin at 17.1%) for 2Q26.
  • Net income was NT$1,180mn (+61% YoY; EPS NT$6.05; NPM 13.9%), which was 43% of our estimated net income at NT$2,752mn (EPS NT$14.23; NPM 12.0%) and 41% of consensus at NT$2,912mn (EPS NT$14.94; NPM 12.6%) for 2Q26.

Our view:

  • We see some upside to our earnings estimates and consensus for 2Q26, supported by 30%+ GM during the quarter, in our view. This is consistent with our expectation that the lower GM of 28.8% in 1Q26 was temporary
  • Looking ahead into 2H26, we believe the power interconnects should continue to benefit from server rack shipment growth along with higher dollar content from next-generation GPU servers and HVDC architecture into 2027, while data interconnects should grow with increasing AEC adoption and spec upgrade. Moreover, Bizlink has multiple optical interconnect offerings as well for longer-term growth. Stay OW.
  • Bizlink is scheduled to report its 2Q26 earnings at 2:30 PM HKT on August 21.

Update

Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited+ Derrick Yang Equity Analyst Derrick.Yang@morganstanley.com +886 2 2730-2862
Vivi Huang Research Associate Vivi.Huang@morganstanley.com +886 2 2730-2860
Morgan Stanley Asia Limited+ Andy Meng, CFA Equity Analyst Andy.Meng@morganstanley.com +852 2239-7689
報告_MS_貿聯3665_20260727_001

Greater China Technology Hardware | Taiwan

Stock Rating Overweight
Industry View In-Line
Price target NT$3,665.00
Up/downside to price target (%) 70
Shr price, close (Jul 27, 2026) NT$2,150.00
52-Week Range NT$3,010.00-821.00
Sh out, dil, curr (mn) 193
Mkt cap, curr (mn) NT$415,737
EV, curr (mn) NT$421,313
Avg daily trading value (mn) NT$5,974
Fiscal Year Ending 12/25 12/26e 12/27e 12/28e
EPS (NT$)** 46.57 63.77 120.77 143.77
EPS (NT$)§ 47.71 66.92 113.57 145.71
Revenue, net (NT$ mn) 71,247 97,108 149,307 173,575
EBITDA (NT$ mn) 15,154 19,697 34,427 41,565
ModelWare net inc (NT 9,005 12,331 23,352 27,800
$ mn)
P/E 32.6 33.7 17.8 15.0
P/BV 6.4 7.6 5.6 4.4
RNOA (%) 24.2 24.1 40.5 42.1
ROE (%) 24.9 26.4 41.6 36.8
EV/EBITDA 20.1 21.2 11.8 9.4
Div yld (%) 0.8 0.7 1.0 1.8
FCF yld ratio (%)** (0.8) 1.7 3.3 5.8
Leverage (EOP) (%) (0.9) (8.0) (18.9) (32.3)

Unless otherwise noted, all metrics are based on Morgan Stanley ModelWare framework

§ = Consensus data is provided by Refinitiv Estimates

** = Based on consensus methodology

e = Morgan Stanley Research estimates

Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of Morgan Stanley Research. Investors should consider Morgan Stanley Research as only a single factor in making their investment decision.