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報告_Daiwa_智原3035_20260728

更新 2026-07-29

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原始內容

Taiwan

Faraday Technology (3035 TT)

Target price:

TWD220.00 (from TWD195.00)

Share price (28 Jul): TWD185.50

|

Up/downside:

+18.6%

Turnaround confirmed

  • 2Q26 results upbeat, yet 3Q26 guidance a mixed bag
  • Near-term rebalancing no harm to structural turnaround
  • Reaffirming Buy (1) rating with a higher 12M TP of TWD220

What's new: Faraday disclosed upbeat 2Q26 results but mixed 3Q26 guidance due to stronger-than-expected MCU sales , which will likely be followed by a rebalancing on some demand pull-in. We view this as just seasonal and see no harm to our positive stance on Faraday which has, as expected , enjoyed a turnaround in profitability. We leave our forecasts little changed, raise our 12M TP and reaffirm our Buy (1) call on the counter.

What's the impact: Results upbeat; guidance a mixed bag. Faraday released 2Q26 EPS of TWD0.76, beating our/consensus estimates by 49%/37% thanks to: 1) higher revenue that beat our/consensus estimates by 19%/17% on stronger mass-production (MP) due to better MCU sales from its 50% owned Artery Tech (6907 TT, not rated); 2) better core operation where operating profit finished 54%/110% above our/consensus estimates on better opex control, helping offset the lower gross margin (GM) as a result of a less favourable product mix due to higher MP sales; and 3) higher non-operating gains mainly on dividend income. Guided metrics for 3Q26 were mixed, with GM and opex roughly intact but revenue a miss due to demand rebalancing as MCU strength in 2Q26 was partly from customers' order pull-in on price hikes and supply-chain uncertainties.

Positive on MCU, negative on AP ramp. Our takeaways from today's call were mixed, positive on Artery but negative on an advanced packaging (AP) ramp. Focusing on 32-bit MCUs, Artery targets high-end applications such as robot, drone, smart industry and 3D printer, to capture a fastgrowing trend of physical AI where demand looks less price-sensitive vs. consumers amid the 'silicon inflation'. Despite seeing demand rebalancing in 3Q26, management expects Artery to double its revenue YoY this year. On the other hand, owing to prolonged development times for AI ASIC due to increased design complexity and a supply-chain bottleneck, which affect the timing of NRE recognition, Faraday expects its AP revenue ramp to be delayed into 2027. That said, it is positive on a cooperation with Intel for the A18 process, and with Intel/UMC for the 12nmFF process, which should help gain traction with customers on localised manufacturing in the US.

What we recommend: Given the mixed dynamics mentioned above, we leave our forecasts little changed but raise our 12M TP for Faraday to TWD220 (previous: TWD195), based on our fine-tuned 4-quarter PER target of 37x (previous: 38x). We reiterate our Buy (1) rating with key downside risk of any geopolitical overhang (war, FX, interest rate) weighing on end-demand and prolonging a non-AI recovery.

How we differ: Our 2026E EPS is 13% below the consensus as we believe the street has yet to factor in a lower GM on higher MP contribution.

Daiwa

5

3

2

1

Buy

Rick Hsu

Rick Hsu

(886) 2 8758 6261 rick.hsu@daiwacm-cathay.com.tw

Sharon Kao (886) 2 8758 6255 sharon.kao@daiwacm-cathay.com.tw

Forecast revisions (%)

Year to 31 Dec 26E 27E 28E
Revenue change 2.1 (0.2) 1.2
Net profit change (0.1) (0.2) 0.7
Core EPS (FD) change (0.1) (0.2) 0.7

Source: Daiwa forecasts

Share price performance

報告_Daiwa_智原3035_20260728_001
12-month range 139.00-233.00
Market cap (USDbn) 1.50
3m avg daily turnover (USDm) 76.11
Shares outstanding (m) 261
Major shareholder UMC (13.8%)

Financial summary (TWD)

Year to 31 Dec 26E 27E 28E
Revenue (m) 12,736 15,475 17,419
Operating profit (m) 1,137 2,284 2,812
Net profit (m) 889 1,759 2,172
Core EPS (fully-diluted) 3.412 6.749 8.336
EPS change (%) 21.5 97.8 23.5
Daiwa vs Cons. EPS (%) (12.9) 1.7 (7.5)
PER (x) 54.4 27.5 22.3
Dividend yield (%) 1.0 1.3 2.4
DPS 1.8 2.5 4.5
PBR (x) 3.6 3.2 3.0
EV/EBITDA (x) 18.9 11.2 8.9
ROE (%) 6.7 12.4 14.0

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

Faraday: quarterly P&L estimates and forecasts

Daiwa

TWDm 1Q26 2Q26 3Q26E 4Q26E 1Q27E 2Q27E 3Q27E 4Q27E 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Revenue 2,589 3,314 3,194 3,639 3,551 3,625 4,075 4,223 17,993 12,736 15,475 17,419
COGS -1,364 -1,815 -1,746 -1,990 -1,944 -1,945 -2,190 -2,269 -13,135 -6,916 -8,349 -9,435
Gross profit 1,224 1,499 1,448 1,649 1,607 1,680 1,885 1,954 4,857 5,820 7,126 7,985
Opex 1,129 1,228 1,115 1,212 1,190 1,200 1,202 1,250 4,305 4,683 4,842 5,173
Operating profit 96 271 333 437 418 480 683 704 552 1,137 2,284 2,812
Non-op gains (losses) 83 111 21 21 22 24 26 26 449 236 98 123
Pretax profit 179 382 354 458 440 504 709 730 1,002 1,373 2,382 2,935
Income taxes & MI -75 -184 -99 -126 -97 -111 -156 -161 -270 -485 -524 -763
Net profit 104 198 255 332 321 373 525 540 731 889 1,759 2,172
EPS (TWD, fully diluted) 0.40 0.76 0.98 1.27 1.23 1.43 2.01 2.07 2.81 3.41 6.75 8.34
Revenue mix
MP 63% 73% 73% 75% 74% 72% 72% 72% 79% 72% 72% 72%
NRE 21% 14% 13% 13% 14% 14% 14% 15% 13% 15% 14% 15%
IP 16% 13% 14% 12% 12% 14% 13% 13% 8% 14% 13% 13%
Margin
Gross 47.3% 45.2% 45.3% 45.3% 45.3% 46.3% 46.3% 46.3% 27.0% 45.7% 46.1% 45.8%
Opex 43.6% 37.0% 34.9% 33.3% 33.5% 33.1% 29.5% 29.6% 23.9% 36.8% 31.3% 29.7%
Operating 3.7% 8.2% 10.4% 12.0% 11.8% 13.2% 16.8% 16.7% 3.1% 8.9% 14.8% 16.1%
Pretax 6.9% 11.5% 11.1% 12.6% 12.4% 13.9% 17.4% 17.3% 5.6% 10.8% 15.4% 16.8%
Net 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 9.1% 9.0% 10.3% 12.9% 12.8% 4.1% 7.0% 11.4% 12.5%
Growth (QoQ)
Revenue -8% 28% -4% 14% -2% 2% 12% 4%
Gross profit 3% 22% -3% 14% -3% 5% 12% 4%
Operating profit 19% 182% 23% 31% -4% 15% 42% 3%
Net profit -50% 90% 29% 30% -3% 16% 41% 3%
EPS (FD) -50% 90% 29% 30% -3% 16% 41% 3%
Growth (YoY)
Revenue -65% -27% -1% 30% 37% 9% 28% 16% 63% -29% 22% 13%
Gross profit -19% 37% 35% 39% 31% 12% 30% 18% -4% 20% 22% 12%
Operating profit -74% 324% nm 444% 336% 77% 105% 61% -48% 106% 101% 23%
Net profit -70% 666% 68% 60% 208% 89% 106% 63% -30% 22% 98% 24%
EPS (FD) -70% 666% 68% 60% 208% 89% 106% 63% -31% 22% 98% 24%

Source: Company, Daiwa estimates and forecasts

Note: * MP = mass-production, which includes HBM consigned revenue in 1H25, thus deflating organic GM; NRE = non-recurrent engineering; IP = intellectual property

Faraday: 2Q26 results review and 3Q26 guidance check

2Q26 2Q26 2Q26 Variance Variance Growth Growth
TWDm Actual Daiwa Consensus Daiwa Consensus QoQ YoY Guidance Daiwa (previous)
Revenue 3,314 2,795 2,836 19% 17% 28% -27% down a single-digit %QoQ up 2% QoQ (TWD3.4bn)
MP 2,430 1,824 na 33% na 48% -36%
NRE 451 524 na -14% na -16% 9%
IP 433 448 na -3% na 5% 50%
Gross profit 1,499 1,322 1,276 13% 17% 22% 37% GM c.45% GM = 46%
Opex 1,228 1,146 1,147 7% 7% 9% 20% opex up single-digit %QoQ opex up 3% QoQ
Operating profit 271 176 129 54% 110% 183% 325%
Pretax profit 382 196 192 95% 99% 113% 756%
Net profit 198 133 145 49% 37% 90% 666%
FD EPS (TWD) 0.76 0.51 0.56 49% 37% 90% 667%
Margin
Gross 45.2% 47.3% 45.0% -2.0% 0.2%
Operating 8.2% 6.3% 4.6% 1.9% 3.6%
Net 6.0% 4.7% 5.1% 1.2% 0.9%
Revenue mix*
IP 13% 16%
NRE 14% 19%
MP 73% 65%

Source: Company, Daiwa estimates and forecasts

Note: * IP = intellectual property, NRE = non-recurrent engineering, MP = mass-production

Faraday: revenue mix by business

報告_Daiwa_智原3035_20260728_002

Source: Company, Daiwa estimates and forecasts

Note: * IP = intellectual property, NRE = non-recurrent engineering, MP = mass-production

Faraday Technology (3035 TT): 28 July 2026

Faraday: 4-quarter forward PER band

報告_Daiwa_智原3035_20260728_003

Source: Company, TEJ, Daiwa forecasts

Financial summary

Key assumptions

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
IP revenue growth (%) 26.5 26.4 4.5 11.3 (2.8) 14.5 17.6 11.3
NRE revenue growth (%) 32.4 22.1 0.2 30.4 1.7 (17.8) 17.9 18.1
MP revenue growth (%) 56.3 78.2 (11.6) (17.9) 95.6 (35.7) 23 11.7

Profit and loss (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
NRE 1,410 1,721 1,725 2,250 2,289 1,881 2,217 2,618
MP 5,614 10,002 8,839 7,255 14,188 9,119 11,215 12,528
Other Revenue 1,062 1,342 1,402 1,560 1,516 1,736 2,042 2,274
Total Revenue 8,085 13,065 11,966 11,065 17,993 12,736 15,475 17,419
Other income 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
COGS (3,995) (6,690) (6,658) (6,013) (13,135) (6,916) (8,349) (9,435)
SG&A (726) (1,018) (983) (989) (1,114) (1,253) (1,222) (1,257)
Other op.expenses (1,962) (2,436) (2,369) (2,991) (3,191) (3,430) (3,620) (3,916)
Operating profit 1,402 2,921 1,956 1,071 552 1,137 2,284 2,812
Net-interest inc./(exp.) 7 27 52 100 83 83 98 123
Assoc/forex/extraord./others 93 109 63 173 366 153 0 0
Pre-tax profit 1,502 3,057 2,070 1,343 1,002 1,373 2,382 2,935
Tax (212) (547) (509) (271) (229) (312) (524) (646)
Min. int./pref. div./others (134) (56) 28 (30) (42) (173) (100) (117)
Net profit (reported) 1,156 2,455 1,589 1,041 731 889 1,759 2,172
Net profit (adjusted) 1,156 2,455 1,589 1,041 731 889 1,759 2,172
EPS (reported)(TWD) 4.651 9.876 6.395 4.042 2.807 3.412 6.749 8.336
EPS (adjusted)(TWD) 4.651 9.876 6.395 4.042 2.807 3.412 6.749 8.336
EPS (adjusted fully-diluted)(TWD) 4.651 9.791 6.379 3.995 2.807 3.412 6.749 8.336
DPS (TWD) 1.000 3.300 5.000 4.341 3.000 1.800 2.500 4.500
EBIT 1,402 2,921 1,956 1,071 552 1,137 2,284 2,812
EBITDA 1,807 3,394 2,457 1,880 1,481 2,214 3,537 4,227

Cash flow (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Profit before tax 1,502 3,057 2,070 1,343 1,002 1,373 2,382 2,935
Depreciation and amortisation 405 473 502 810 929 1,077 1,252 1,415
Tax paid (212) (547) (509) (271) (229) (312) (524) (646)
Change in working capital (256) (2,368) 1,487 1,331 (1,123) (748) (61) (137)
Other operational CF items 1,067 584 (543) (312) 351 (0) (0) (0)
Cash flow from operations 2,506 1,200 3,007 2,901 930 1,391 3,050 3,568
Capex (41) (86) (49) (148) (162) (127) (155) (174)
Net (acquisitions)/disposals (842) 1,082 (670) 0 0 0 0 0
Other investing CF items 295 (1,373) 16 (2,414) (938) 0 0 0
Cash flow from investing (588) (377) (704) (2,562) (1,100) (127) (155) (174)
Change in debt 0 127 (30) (70) 0 (46) (37) (29)
Net share issues/(repurchases) 0 0 0 3,720 0 0 0 0
Dividends paid (249) (820) (1,243) (1,118) (782) (469) (651) (1,172)
Other financing CF items 49 (89) (148) (354) (50) (564) (46) (37)
Cash flow from financing (200) (782) (1,421) 2,178 (832) (1,078) (734) (1,238)
Forex effect/others (3) 69 (40) 80 (28) 0 0 0
Change in cash 1,715 110 842 2,596 (1,030) 185 2,161 2,156
Free cash flow 2,465 1,114 2,958 2,752 768 1,263 2,895 3,394

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

Faraday Technology (3035 TT): 28 July 2026

Daiwa

Financial summary continued …

Balance sheet (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Cash & short-term investment 4,823 4,899 5,741 8,337 7,293 7,478 9,639 11,795
Inventory 1,321 3,017 1,187 1,074 955 1,319 1,426 1,676
Accounts receivable 939 1,354 1,559 1,054 1,726 1,275 2,117 1,701
Other current assets 310 485 386 560 1,227 1,227 1,227 700
Total current assets 7,392 9,754 8,873 11,024 11,201 11,299 14,409 15,872
Fixed assets 518 514 553 582 617 582 549 724
Goodwill & intangibles 505 615 683 2,115 1,761 1,115 363 80
Other non-current assets 3,621 2,629 3,309 4,609 5,354 5,354 5,354 5,354
Total assets 12,037 13,513 13,418 18,330 18,932 18,350 20,676 22,030
Short-term debt 0 127 95 448 589 71 62 54
Accounts payable 1,372 1,129 999 1,675 1,649 814 1,702 1,400
Other current liabilities 2,134 2,899 2,142 1,750 2,447 2,447 2,447 2,447
Total current liabilities 3,506 4,156 3,236 3,872 4,685 3,331 4,210 3,901
Long-term debt 0 0 0 416 228 183 146 117
Other non-current liabilities 376 388 328 569 491 600 700 1,000
Total liabilities 3,881 4,544 3,564 4,857 5,403 4,114 5,056 5,018
Share capital 2,486 2,486 2,486 2,606 2,606 2,606 2,606 2,606
Reserves/R.E./others 5,354 6,114 7,048 10,469 10,451 10,985 12,269 13,545
Shareholders' equity 7,840 8,599 9,533 13,075 13,056 13,591 14,874 16,150
Minority interests 315 369 321 399 472 645 745 862
Total equity & liabilities 12,037 13,513 13,418 18,330 18,932 18,350 20,676 22,030
EV 43,825 43,930 43,007 41,257 42,328 41,752 39,645 37,570
Net debt/(cash) (4,823) (4,772) (5,646) (7,473) (6,476) (7,225) (9,432) (11,624)
BVPS (TWD) 31.543 34.597 38.356 50.743 50.111 52.162 57.089 61.984

Key ratios (%)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Sales (YoY) 47.1 61.6 (8.4) (7.5) 62.6 (29.2) 21.5 12.6
EBITDA (YoY) 210.0 87.8 (27.6) (23.5) (21.2) 49.5 59.7 19.5
Operating profit (YoY) 840.3 108.4 (33.1) (45.3) (48.4) 105.9 100.9 23.1
Net profit (YoY) 330.6 112.3 (35.2) (34.5) (29.8) 21.5 97.8 23.5
Core EPS (fully-diluted) (YoY) 332.1 110.5 (34.8) (37.4) (29.7) 21.5 97.8 23.5
Gross-profit margin 50.6 48.8 44.4 45.7 27.0 45.7 46.1 45.8
EBITDA margin 22.4 26.0 20.5 17.0 8.2 17.4 22.9 24.3
Operating-profit margin 17.3 22.4 16.3 9.7 3.1 8.9 14.8 16.1
Net profit margin 14.3 18.8 13.3 9.4 4.1 7.0 11.4 12.5
ROAE 16.4 29.9 17.5 9.2 5.6 6.7 12.4 14.0
ROAA 11.4 19.2 11.8 6.6 3.9 4.8 9.0 10.2
ROCE 19.3 33.9 20.5 8.8 3.9 7.9 15.1 17.0
ROIC 37.3 63.7 35.1 16.7 6.5 12.5 27.0 37.9
Net debt to equity net cash net cash net cash net cash net cash net cash net cash net cash
Effective tax rate 14.1 17.9 24.6 20.2 22.8 22.7 22.0 22.0
Accounts receivable (days) 36.8 32.0 44.4 43.1 28.2 43.0 40.0 40.0
Current ratio (x) 2.1 2.3 2.7 2.8 2.4 3.4 3.4 4.1
Net interest cover (x) n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Net dividend payout 92.6 71.0 50.6 69.7 75.1 64.1 73.3 66.7
Free cash flow yield 5.1 2.3 6.1 5.7 1.6 2.6 6.0 7.0

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

Company profile

Founded in 1993, Faraday is a hybrid design service provider offering IP and ASIC design services to fabless, foundry and system houses. It has R&D and marketing locations in the US, Japan, China, India, and Vietnam.

Faraday Technology (3035 TT): 28 July 2026

Daiwa

ESG analysis

ESG risks

Risks Management Analyst comments
Executive/board quality 2 Faraday's Board of Directors (BoD) consists of 10 members, including 4 independent directors, representing 40% of the board-significantly above the regulatory minimum of 20%. Three of the 10 directors are female, reflecting progress toward gender diversity at the board level. The roles of Chairman and President are separated, supporting stronger governance checks and balances. However, most non independent directors concurrently serve as executive managers, which may elevate concerns regarding board independence and management oversight from an ESG governance perspective.
Capital management 1 Over the past 10 years, Faraday has kept its dividend payout ratio at above 70% most of the time, in spite of an up or down cycle. As an IC design service company without capex for manufacturing fabs, Faraday's high dividend payout is appropriate, in our view.
Related party & transaction 1 UMC, which is Faraday's largest shareholder, is Faraday's major foundry for its turnkey business. For IC design service companies, a close relationship with foundries is essential since their design should build on a foundry's process node and their turnkey businesses also require a foundry's capacity support. UMC's support offers Faraday a competitive advantage, in our view. Faraday has developed many standard cell and I/O libraries for UMC, covering logic and mixed-signal specialty processes across 0.5μ to 22nm.
Supply chain management 1 Faraday has set several evaluation standards for its existing and new suppliers and it requires all suppliers to get ISO9001 and ISO14001 certifications for quality and environmental management. In 2024, 100% of its wafer, packaging and testing providers had ISO9001 and ISO14001 certifications. In addition, Faraday also has on-site audits (quality system and process quality audit, CSR evaluation and environment management system) for its suppliers with a mid- to-long term target of conducting annual onsite audits for 100% of its suppliers.
Water & wastewater management 1 As an IC design service company, Faraday outsources its manufacturing and thus has no own production sites. As such, Faraday's water use is primarily for general operations, not for production. Faraday continues to conduct several water reduction measures to manage water usage.
Waste & hazardous materials management 1 Faraday has established a green supply chain in accordance with the EU Directive on the Restriction of the Use of Certain Hazardous Substances in Electrical and Electronic Equipment (RoHS) and with the EU Chemicals Policy (REACH). Faraday has a mid-to-long term target of carefully evaluating and selecting raw materials with low hazard levels to comply with the Hazardous Substance-Free Product Standard. All of its packaging materials are 100% lead-free and halogen-free.
GHG emissions 1 With Faraday's energy saving measures, it reduced the GHG emissions intensity gradually. As an IC design service company without onsite production, Faraday's GHG emissions are much lower than other semiconductor manufacturing companies. Faraday's low power design also helps reduce GHG emissions. In 2019, Faraday completed the development of its ultra-low power consumption 22nm IP solution.

Note: Management score represents a company's ability to manage/benefit from certain ESG topics. The scores range from 1 to 3, with 1 being the strongest.

Update Date: 10 Feb 2026

Source: Daiwa, Company

Faraday Technology (3035 TT): 28 July 2026

Daiwa