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報告_Daiwa_川湖2059_20260806

更新 2026-08-07

PDF 原檔:報告_Daiwa_川湖2059_20260806_original.pdf

圖片清單(已驗證 2026-08-07)

檔名 size 分類 親眼所見內容
報告_Daiwa_川湖2059_20260806_001.png 25KB 真資料圖 雙折線圖,橫軸 Aug-25 至 Aug-26;藍線 King Slide 股價(左軸 2,000-10,500 TWD),橙虛線為相對 TWOTCI 表現(右軸 60-225%);2026 年中起兩線同步大幅走揚
報告_Daiwa_川湖2059_20260806_002.png 21KB 真資料圖 資料表格截圖:12-month range 2,855.00-10,100.00;Market cap USDbn 29.80;3m avg daily turnover USDm 135.53;Shares outstanding (m) 95;Major shareholder Ming Wei Global Co., Ltd. (6.7%)
報告_Daiwa_川湖2059_20260806_003.png 36KB 真資料圖 折線圖「King Slide: 1-year forward PER bands」,橫軸 Aug-18 至 Aug-26,縱軸 TWD 0-12,000;深藍線為實際股價,另有 10x/15x/20x/25x 四條本益比帶(灰/金/虛線/淺藍),2026 年股價突破所有本益比帶上緣
報告_Daiwa_川湖2059_20260806_004.png 24KB 真資料圖 堆疊柱狀圖「King Slide: revenue breakdown」,橫軸 2024/2025E/2026E/2027E/2028E;深藍 AI server(56%→52%→38%→34%→28%)、灰 Regular server(24%→35%→58%→63%→68%)、藍 Kitchen、灰黑 Others;顯示一般伺服器占比逐年超越 AI 伺服器

原始內容

Taiwan

King Slide Works (2059 TT)

Target price:

TWD15,000.00 (from TWD5,888.00)

Share price (6 Aug):

TWD10,100.00

|

Up/downside:

+48.5%

2Q26 results: strong beat and an improving outlook

  • Share gains in regular servers were the key growth driver in 2Q26
  • Increasing ASP trend is key to gross margin expansion
  • Reaffirming our Buy (1) rating; lifting 12M TP to TWD15,000

What's new: We provide updates after 2Q26 results released on 6 August.

What's the impact: 2Q26 results beat on revenue and gross margin. King Slide's 2Q26 earnings came in at TWD7.1bn (EPS: TWD74.4), 72% and 45% above our and street expectations, respectively, driven by the higher-than-expected revenue and gross margin. Revenue was TWD10.8bn (up 99% QoQ and 156% YoY), beating expectations by 2351% on increasing market share in the regular server segment and higherthan-expected ASPs per rail kit due to spec upgrades. The gross margin increased by 9.7pp QoQ on an improved ASP trend. The operating margin improved 15.0pp to 82.1% on the gross margin increase and opex control. Lastly, net profit was slightly impacted by the FX loss and higher tax rate.

Business outlook. After a strong beat in 2Q26, we believe King Slide is proving its dominance in the server market, even though we believe hyperscalers and key AI OEMs will likely introduce new suppliers in the rail kit market. We expect King Slide to still control a c.75% market share in Nvidia's supply chain and other ASIC-based AI servers, although we expect its share in Nvidia to decline from c.100% to c.75% from 2027. However, we lift our assumption for King Slide's market share for regular servers from c.60% to c.80%, especially from one particular CSP client, from 2Q26. We also lift the regular server rail kit ASP from USD30-40 to USD60-70, given the new CPU platform launch and an improving product mix, which raises our gross margin assumptions to 85-90% from 70% for 2026-28E. Given the upward revisions to ASP and market share assumptions in the regular server market, we lift our earnings forecasts by 73-149%. We see some new AI server and relevant racks as key growth drivers, and include c.10,000 CPU racks for Nvidia and c.8,000 Helios racks for AMD in our 2027 forecasts. We also believe that within the current trend, we will see switch rack, power rack and BBU rack volumes gradually picking up, but quantifying the volumes is difficult so we have not factored them into our model; therefore, these items (i.e. switch rack, power rack, BBU rack) would offer upside to our current forecasts.

What we recommend: We raise our 2026-27E EPS by 73-149% to factor in the 2Q26 results. We raise our 12M TP to TWD15,000, based on a PER of 36x (prior: 30x; higher than its past-3-year range of 9-23x) on our 4quarter forward EPS forecast, to reflect a higher earnings trajectory. Thus, we reaffirm our Buy (1) rating. Key downside risk: weaker-than-expected AI server demand.

How we differ: Our 2026-28E EPS are 47-65% above the Bloomberg consensus as we are more positive on its revenue and profitability.

5

Daiwa

3

2

1

Buy

Sheng Cheng

(886) 2 8758 6253

sheng.cheng@daiwacm-cathay.com.tw

Allan Wang

(886) 2 8758 6249 allan.wang@daiwacm-cathay.com.tw

Forecast revisions (%)

Year to 31 Dec 26E 27E 28E
Revenue change 55.4 86.1 107.4
Net profit change 73.1 118.9 149.3
Core EPS (FD) change 73.1 118.9 149.3

Source: Daiwa forecasts

Share price performance

報告_Daiwa_川湖2059_20260806_001
報告_Daiwa_川湖2059_20260806_002
12-month range 2,855.00-10,100.00
Market cap (USDbn) 29.80
3m avg daily turnover (USDm) 135.53
Shares outstanding (m) 95
Major shareholder Ming Wei Global Co., Ltd. (6.7%)

Financial summary (TWD)

Year to 31 Dec 26E 27E 28E
Revenue (m) 42,873 62,370 79,189
Operating profit (m) 34,463 51,755 65,974
Net profit (m) 28,452 42,096 53,480
Core EPS (fully-diluted) 298.566 441.735 561.190
EPS change (%) 189.2 48.0 27.0
Daiwa vs Cons. EPS (%) 46.7 65.0 47.2
PER (x) 33.8 22.9 18.0
Dividend yield (%) 0.5 0.6 0.7
DPS 51.0 60.0 66.0
PBR (x) 18.6 10.9 7.1
EV/EBITDA (x) 26.3 16.9 12.6
ROE (%) 71.4 60.3 47.9

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

King Slide Works (2059 TT): 6 August 2026

King Slide: Daiwa revenue and earnings forecasts revisions vs. consensus

2026E 2026E 2026E 2027E 2027E 2027E 2028E 2028E 2028E
(TWDm) Previous New Consensus Previous New Consensus Previous New Consensus
Revenue 27,589 42,873 33,604 33,514 62,370 44,861 38,185 79,189 62,715
Diff (%) 55.4% 27.6% 86.1% 39.0% 107.4% 26.3%
Gross Margin (%) 76.1% 86.2% 77.5% 75.1% 87.6% 77.3% 75.1% 87.7% 76.4%
Operating profit 18,855 34,463 23,105 22,841 51,755 31,242 26,018 65,974 43,325
Op Margin (%) 68.3% 80.4% 68.8% 68.2% 83.0% 69.6% 68.1% 83.3% 69.1%
Net profit 16,442 28,452 19,391 19,227 42,096 25,518 21,453 53,480 36,332
EPS (TWD) 172.53 298.57 203.48 201.76 441.73 267.77 225.11 561.19 381.25
Diff (%) 73.1% 46.7% 118.9% 65.0% 149.3% 47.2%

Source: Bloomberg, Daiwa forecasts

King Slide: quarterly and annual P&L statement

2026E 2026E 2026E 2026E 2027E 2027E 2027E 2027E 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
(TWDm) 1Q 2Q 3QE 4QE 1QE 2QE 3QE 4QE
Net revenue 5,450 10,830 12,991 13,602 13,899 14,673 16,563 17,236 17,501 42,873 62,370 79,189
COGS -1,213 -1,362 -1,571 -1,773 -1,739 -1,772 -2,050 -2,143 -4,192 -5,919 -7,704 -9,777
Gross profit 4,237 9,468 11,420 11,829 12,160 12,901 14,512 15,093 13,309 36,953 54,666 69,412
Operating expenses -582 -578 -650 -680 -667 -697 -754 -793 -1,220 -2,490 -2,911 -3,438
Operating profit 3,654 8,890 10,770 11,149 11,492 12,204 13,759 14,300 12,089 34,463 51,755 65,974
Non-operating profit 697 229 212 215 214 213 215 216 335 1,353 858 868
Pre-tax profit 4,352 9,118 10,982 11,364 11,707 12,418 13,974 14,516 12,423 35,816 52,614 66,842
Income taxes -866 -2,030 -2,195 -2,272 -2,340 -2,482 -2,793 -2,902 -2,586 -7,363 -10,518 -13,362
Net profit 3,486 7,088 8,787 9,092 9,367 9,935 11,180 11,614 9,837 28,452 42,096 53,480
Net EPS (TWD) 36.58 74.38 92.20 95.41 98.29 104.26 117.32 121.87 103.23 298.57 441.73 561.19
Operating Ratios
Gross margin 77.7% 87.4% 87.9% 87.0% 87.5% 87.9% 87.6% 87.6% 76.0% 86.2% 87.6% 87.7%
Operating margin 67.1% 82.1% 82.9% 82.0% 82.7% 83.2% 83.1% 83.0% 69.1% 80.4% 83.0% 83.3%
Pre-tax margin 79.9% 84.2% 84.5% 83.5% 84.2% 84.6% 84.4% 84.2% 71.0% 83.5% 84.4% 84.4%
Net margin 64.0% 65.4% 67.6% 66.8% 67.4% 67.7% 67.5% 67.4% 56.2% 66.4% 67.5% 67.5%
YoY (%)
Net revenue 38% 156% 197% 175% 155% 35% 27% 27% 73% 145% 45% 27%
Gross profit 41% 189% 251% 214% 187% 36% 27% 28% 90% 178% 48% 27%
Operating profit 34% 200% 262% 226% 214% 37% 28% 28% 98% 185% 50% 27%
Pre-tax profit 39% 916% 175% 159% 169% 36% 27% 28% 59% 188% 47% 27%
Net profit 39% 1054% 175% 159% 169% 40% 27% 28% 60% 189% 48% 27%
QoQ (%)
Net revenue 10% 99% 20% 5% 2% 6% 13% 4%
Gross profit 12% 123% 21% 4% 3% 6% 12% 4%
Operating profit 7% 143% 21% 4% 3% 6% 13% 4%
Pre-tax profit -1% 110% 20% 3% 3% 6% 13% 4%
Net profit -1% 103% 24% 3% 3% 6% 13% 4%

Source: Company, Daiwa forecasts

King Slide: 2Q26 comparison table

(TWDm) Actual QoQ% YoY% Daiwa Diff% Consensus Diff%
Revenue 10,830 99% 156% 7,195 51% 8,772 23%
Gross profit 9,468 123% 189% 5,449 74% 6,795 39%
Gross margin (%) 87.4% 75.7% 77.5%
Operating profit 8,890 143% 200% 4,945 80% 5,974 49%
Operating margin (%) 82.1% 68.7% 68.1%
Pre-tax profit 9,118 110% 916% 5,139 77% 6,192 47%
Net profit 7,088 103% 1054% 4,112 72% 4,884 45%
EPS (TWD) 74.38 103% 1054% 43.15 72% 51.25 45%

Source: Company data, Daiwa forecasts, Bloomberg

King Slide: 1-year forward PER bands

報告_Daiwa_川湖2059_20260806_003

Source: TEJ, Daiwa forecasts

King Slide: revenue breakdown

報告_Daiwa_川湖2059_20260806_004

Source: Company, Daiwa forecasts

Daiwa

Financial summary

Key assumptions

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Server railkit shipment (k) 3,938.0 4,477.0 3,556.9 2,711.9 6,021.2 13,568.7 19,055.5 23,782.4
HGX railkit shipment (k) 0.0 0.0 90.0 360.0 270.0 248.5 180.0 85.0
NVL railkit shipment (k) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 636.7 1,572.8 1,736.3 1,522.5

Profit and loss (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Regular server railkit sales 4,489 5,081 2,678 2,451 6,126 24,738 39,145 53,753
AI server railkit sales 0 0 982 5,668 9,122 16,303 20,954 22,497
Other Revenue 1,853 2,717 2,103 2,011 2,252 1,832 2,271 2,939
Total Revenue 6,342 7,799 5,763 10,129 17,501 42,873 62,370 79,189
Other income 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
COGS (2,987) (3,333) (2,231) (3,128) (4,192) (5,919) (7,704) (9,777)
SG&A (386) (474) (408) (550) (743) (1,650) (1,884) (2,293)
Other op.expenses (250) (239) (235) (351) (477) (840) (1,027) (1,145)
Operating profit 2,720 3,753 2,888 6,101 12,089 34,463 51,755 65,974
Net-interest inc./(exp.) 10 159 495 653 692 758 755 755
Assoc/forex/extraord./others (134) 1,162 43 1,035 (358) 595 103 113
Pre-tax profit 2,596 5,073 3,426 7,789 12,423 35,816 52,614 66,842
Tax (523) (1,017) (721) (1,633) (2,586) (7,363) (10,518) (13,362)
Min. int./pref. div./others 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Net profit (reported) 2,073 4,056 2,704 6,156 9,837 28,452 42,096 53,480
Net profit (adjusted) 2,073 4,056 2,704 6,156 9,837 28,452 42,096 53,480
EPS (reported)(TWD) 21.748 42.563 28.378 64.594 103.225 298.566 441.735 561.190
EPS (adjusted)(TWD) 21.748 42.563 28.378 64.594 103.225 298.566 441.735 561.190
EPS (adjusted fully-diluted)(TWD) 21.748 42.563 28.378 64.594 103.225 298.566 441.735 561.190
DPS (TWD) 6.120 10.880 20.000 14.190 32.200 51.000 60.000 66.000
EBIT 2,720 3,753 2,888 6,101 12,089 34,463 51,755 65,974
EBITDA 2,934 3,977 3,157 6,429 12,449 34,966 52,601 67,169

Cash flow (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Profit before tax 2,596 5,073 3,426 7,789 12,423 35,816 52,614 66,842
Depreciation and amortisation 214 224 269 328 360 502 845 1,195
Tax paid (523) (1,017) (721) (1,633) (2,586) (7,363) (10,518) (13,362)
Change in working capital (997) (209) 52 (1,598) (1,230) 811 (1,953) (1,709)
Other operational CF items 228 (133) 252 301 2,366 0 0 (0)
Cash flow from operations 1,518 3,938 3,278 5,187 11,334 29,766 40,989 52,965
Capex (768) (824) (375) (354) (922) (4,287) (4,366) (5,543)
Net (acquisitions)/disposals (1,495) 389 215 884 2 0 0 0
Other investing CF items 1 (1) (0) (0) (8) 0 0 0
Cash flow from investing (2,261) (436) (161) 530 (927) (4,287) (4,366) (5,543)
Change in debt 257 448 (32) (130) (268) 0 0 0
Net share issues/(repurchases) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dividends paid (583) (1,037) (1,906) (1,352) (3,069) (4,860) (5,718) (6,290)
Other financing CF items (33) (35) (28) (26) (26) 0 0 0
Cash flow from financing (359) (624) (1,966) (1,508) (3,363) (4,860) (5,718) (6,290)
Forex effect/others (22) 788 (141) 676 (452) 0 0 0
Change in cash (1,124) 3,666 1,010 4,886 6,591 20,619 30,905 41,132
Free cash flow 751 3,114 2,903 4,833 10,412 25,479 36,623 47,422

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

King Slide Works (2059 TT): 6 August 2026

Daiwa

Financial summary continued …

Balance sheet (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Cash & short-term investment 9,421 12,698 13,494 17,495 24,084 44,703 75,608 116,740
Inventory 926 920 1,012 1,231 1,165 1,297 1,689 2,143
Accounts receivable 1,774 1,866 1,656 3,180 4,687 4,111 5,981 7,593
Other current assets 31 36 40 43 54 54 54 54
Total current assets 12,151 15,520 16,202 21,949 29,990 50,165 83,331 126,530
Fixed assets 2,446 2,955 3,192 3,287 3,882 7,666 11,187 15,535
Goodwill & intangibles 3 2 3 2 6 6 6 6
Other non-current assets 832 759 1,184 1,234 1,206 1,206 1,206 1,206
Total assets 15,433 19,236 20,581 26,472 35,083 59,043 95,729 143,277
Short-term debt 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Accounts payable 469 374 309 441 654 1,022 1,330 1,688
Other current liabilities 1,211 1,599 1,866 2,708 4,713 4,713 4,713 4,713
Total current liabilities 1,680 1,973 2,174 3,149 5,367 5,734 6,042 6,400
Long-term debt 452 895 741 615 377 377 377 377
Other non-current liabilities 698 730 1,229 1,416 1,313 1,313 1,313 1,313
Total liabilities 2,830 3,598 4,145 5,180 7,057 7,425 7,733 8,091
Share capital 953 953 953 953 953 953 953 953
Reserves/R.E./others 11,650 14,685 15,483 20,339 27,073 50,665 87,043 134,234
Shareholders' equity 12,603 15,638 16,436 21,292 28,026 51,618 87,996 135,187
Minority interests 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total equity & liabilities 15,433 19,236 20,581 26,472 35,083 59,043 95,729 143,277
EV 953,532 950,697 949,748 945,620 938,794 918,175 887,270 846,138
Net debt/(cash) (8,969) (11,804) (12,753) (16,880) (23,707) (44,326) (75,230) (116,363)
BVPS (TWD) 132.253 164.101 172.473 223.431 294.090 541.656 923.391 1,418.581

Key ratios (%)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Sales (YoY) 32.1 23.0 (26.1) 75.8 72.8 145.0 45.5 27.0
EBITDA (YoY) 36.0 35.5 (20.6) 103.6 93.6 180.9 50.4 27.7
Operating profit (YoY) 38.6 38.0 (23.0) 111.2 98.2 185.1 50.2 27.5
Net profit (YoY) 78.0 95.7 (33.3) 127.6 59.8 189.2 48.0 27.0
Core EPS (fully-diluted) (YoY) 78.0 95.7 (33.3) 127.6 59.8 189.2 48.0 27.0
Gross-profit margin 52.9 57.3 61.3 69.1 76.0 86.2 87.6 87.7
EBITDA margin 46.3 51.0 54.8 63.5 71.1 81.6 84.3 84.8
Operating-profit margin 42.9 48.1 50.1 60.2 69.1 80.4 83.0 83.3
Net profit margin 32.7 52.0 46.9 60.8 56.2 66.4 67.5 67.5
ROAE 17.5 28.7 16.9 32.6 39.9 71.4 60.3 47.9
ROAA 14.4 23.4 13.6 26.2 32.0 60.5 54.4 44.8
ROCE 22.3 25.4 17.1 31.2 48.1 85.7 73.7 58.9
ROIC 73.5 80.3 60.7 n.a n.a n.a n.a n.a
Net debt to equity n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Effective tax rate 20.2 20.0 21.1 21.0 20.8 20.6 20.0 20.0
Accounts receivable (days) 83.0 85.2 111.6 87.1 82.0 37.5 29.5 31.3
Current ratio (x) 7.2 7.9 7.5 7.0 5.6 8.7 13.8 19.8
Net interest cover (x) n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Net dividend payout 50.1 50.0 47.0 50.0 49.9 49.4 20.1 14.9
Free cash flow yield 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.1 2.6 3.8 4.9

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

Company profile

Founded in 1986, King Slide Works started as a rail kit manufacturer. Leveraging its years of mechanism design experience, the company soon started manufacturing server rail kit in 2000. With 40 years of development, King Slide's product portfolio now comprises server rail kit, kitchen rail kit and hinge. The company is headquartered in Kaohsiung city with two production sites including King Slide Works Co., LTD (ball bearing slide and hinge) and King Slide Technology Co., LTD (server rail kit and functional kitchen rail kit). King Slide also owns sales offices in the US and China. It was listed on the Taiwan Stock Exchange in 2008.

King Slide Works (2059 TT): 6 August 2026

Daiwa

ESG analysis

ESG risks

Risks Management Analyst comments
G Executive/board quality 2 King Slide's board consists of 7 directors, including 4 independent directors. The total number of directors is lower than that of other listed companies in our coverage. King Slide held 6 board meetings in 2024; the actual attendee rate was 100%. Most of the board members are King Slide's founder's family members, which we believe presents downside risks to independent governance. However, the independent directors have diversified backgrounds with expertise in accounting and management, a positive for the board's quality.
Capital management 2 King Slide declared a DPS of TWD32.2 in 2024, representing a payout ratio of 50%. The payout ratio was in line with the level of 46-53% during 2012-22. As a rail kit manufacturer, King Slide is set to deliver solid revenue growth and FCF over our forecast horizon amidst strong ASP increase in the AI server market.
Related party & transaction 1 The company did not report any related-party transactions in 2024. We see limited risks from related party transactions.
S Product design & lifecycle management 2 King Slide applies life cycle thinking and the 3R principle (Reduce/Reuse/Recycle) across its product design to minimise environmental impact. Its green designs focus on controlling environmentally sensitive substances, using non toxic materials, and enabling easy assembly/disassembly to extend product lifespans. The company continues to advance its green product program. Based on 2024 shipments, carbon reductions amounted to 68,067 metric tons of CO2e versus 2023, underscoring progress in lowering the environmental footprint of its products.
S GHG emissions 2 King Slide is cutting greenhouse-gas emissions through targeted energy-efficient upgrades and process improvements. Across its Works and Technology sites, the company is replacing older motors and lighting with more efficient alternatives, introducing a formal GHG-reducing inventory, and refining equipment controls to eliminate unnecessary idling. These practical measures reduce electricity use, improve operational efficiency and lower the company's carbon footprint in a cost-effective, scalable way.

Note: Management score represents a company's ability to manage/benefit from certain ESG topics. The scores range from 1 to 3, with 1 being the strongest.

Update Date: 3 Feb 2026

Source: Daiwa, Company

King Slide Works (2059 TT): 6 August 2026

Daiwa