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報告_Daiwa_台達電2308_20260730

更新 2026-07-31

PDF 原檔:報告_Daiwa_台達電2308_20260730_original.pdf

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260730_daiwa_delta_001.png 25KB 真資料圖 台達電股價(藍線)與相對 TWSE 指數(橘虛線)走勢,Jul-25 至 Apr-26
260730_daiwa_delta_002.png 36KB 真資料圖 台達電 1 年期遠期本益比帶圖(23x/31x/39x/48x),Jul-17 至 Jul-26,股價近期於高檔回落
260730_daiwa_delta_003.png 39KB 真資料圖 各事業群別營益率季度走勢(Power Electronics/Mobility/Automation/Infrastructure),1Q23 至 2Q26

原始內容

Taiwan

Delta Electronics (2308 TT)

Target price:

TWD2,988.00 (from TWD2,922.00)

Share price (30 Jul):

TWD1,530.00 | Up/downside: +95.3%

2Q26 review: worst is likely over

  • 2H26 outlook is promising on seasonality
  • Competition and new product development are largely on track
  • Reaffirming Buy (1) rating; lifting 12M TP to TWD2,988

What's new: We provide our latest view on Delta after its 2Q26 results call.

What's the impact: 2Q26 results beat on non-op gains. Delta's 2Q26 earnings came in at TWD25.1bn (EPS: TWD9.68), 2% above our estimate and largely in line with consensus. While revenue was higher than our forecast by 5%, it could have been even higher if there were no raw material shortages. Gross margin missed our estimate by 1pp, primarily driven by weaker-than-expected DET segment margins, which were weighed down by three factors: 1) a one-time inventory write-off on unsold products; 2) raw material cost hikes; and 3) an unfavourable product mix, as shortages impacted high-margin product lines. Operating margin also disappointed at 1.9pp below our forecast, as the component shortage drove an unfavourable product mix and less operating leverage. On a brighter note, net profit received a meaningful boost from a higher-thanexpected non-operating gain, driven by a TWD2.1bn FVTPL contribution.

Business outlook. During the results call, management had a positive tone on the business outlook regarding the AI capex cycle, near-term performance, competition landscape, and development of HVDC & other new technologies. For the near term, we believe Delta can achieve revenue growth on seasonality. We believe revenue growth QoQ would be 12% in 3Q26E and 3% in 4Q26E. We also forecast the gross margin to rebound to c.36% (1pp higher than in 2Q26) given the lack of one-off inventory writeoffs and an improving product mix. Per management, the component shortage is still under control and costs might be passed to end customers despite a time lag. While there are some concerns over rising competition in the power segment, including from Vertiv, Flex-Power, Megmeet, and Honoto, Delta is confident of its leading position within the server power segment given its track record and current fast spec migration trend. Delta is still confident that its +-400V VDC will see higher shipment (vs. 800V VDC) in 2026, while we might have wait until 2027 for a higher adoption of 800V VDC. In terms of the AI capex cycle, although there is a lot of noise in the short term, Delta does not expect a slowdown anytime soon.

What we recommend: We raise our 2026-28E EPS by 1-3% to reflect slightly higher revenue assumptions. We lift our 12M TP to TWD2,988 (from TWD2,922) based on an unchanged target PER of 55x (higher than its past-3-year range of 11-50x) applied to our 1-year-forward EPS forecast. Key downside risk: less-than-expected demand.

How we differ: Our 2028 revenue forecast is 9% above the Bloomberg consensus, likely due to our more bullish HVDC adoption rate assumption.

5

Daiwa

3

2

1

Buy

Sheng Cheng

(886) 2 8758 6253

sheng.cheng@daiwacm-cathay.com.tw

Allan Wang (886) 2 8758 6249 allan.wang@daiwacm-cathay.com.tw

Forecast revisions (%)

Year to 31 Dec 26E 27E 28E
Revenue change 5.2 7.5 9.3
Net profit change 1.5 1.1 3
Core EPS (FD) change 1.5 1.1 3

Source: Daiwa forecasts

Share price performance

260730_daiwa_delta_001
12-month range 567.00-2,520.00
Market cap (USDbn) 122.75
3m avg daily turnover (USDm) 787.47
Shares outstanding (m) 2,598
Major shareholder Hsiang Ta International (10.3%)

Financial summary (TWD)

Year to 31 Dec 26E 27E 28E
Revenue (m) 758,318 1,077,026 1,603,479
Operating profit (m) 136,739 218,460 354,257
Net profit (m) 103,133 160,325 258,555
Core EPS (fully-diluted) 39.704 61.722 99.538
EPS change (%) 71.6 55.5 61.3
Daiwa vs Cons. EPS (%) (3.2) (5.6) 2.3
PER (x) 38.5 24.8 15.4
Dividend yield (%) 0.8 1.3 2.0
DPS 11.6 20.0 30.0
PBR (x) 10.8 8.1 5.7
EV/EBITDA (x) 23.9 15.5 9.8
ROE (%) 32.5 37.3 43.5

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

Delta Electronics: revenue and earnings forecasts - Daiwa vs. consensus

2026E 2026E 2026E 2027E 2027E 2027E 2028E 2028E 2028E
(TWDm) Previous New Consensus Previous New Consensus Previous New Consensus
Revenue 720,711 758,318 768,662 1,002,184 1,077,026 1,076,927 1,466,796 1,603,479 1,468,734
Diff (%) 5.2% -1.3% 7.5% 0.0% 9.3% 9.2%
Gross Margin (%) 36.7% 36.3% 36.8% 36.7% 36.4% 37.8% 37.4% 36.8% 38.6%
Operating profit 135,098 136,739 146,337 215,592 218,460 231,685 342,138 354,257 345,130
Op Margin (%) 18.7% 18.0% 19.0% 21.5% 20.3% 21.5% 23.3% 22.1% 23.5%
Net profit 101,656 103,133 106,528 158,647 160,325 169,892 251,013 258,555 252,712
EPS 39.14 39.70 41.01 61.08 61.72 65.40 96.63 99.54 97.29
Diff (%) 1.5% -3.2% 1.1% -5.6% 3.0% 2.3%

Source: Bloomberg, Daiwa forecasts

Delta: quarterly and annual P&L statement

2026E 2026E 2026E 2026E 2027E 2027E 2027E 2027E 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
(TWDm) 1Q 2Q 3QE 4QE 1QE 2QE 3QE 4QE
Net revenue 159,353 183,256 204,794 210,915 216,124 248,525 287,101 325,275 554,885 758,318 1,077,026 1,603,479
COGS -100,392 -117,948 -130,267 -134,538 -137,594 -157,434 -181,656 -207,969 -364,729 -483,144 -684,653 -1,013,402
Gross profit 58,961 65,308 74,527 76,377 78,530 91,091 105,445 117,306 190,157 275,173 392,373 590,077
Operating expenses -30,544 -34,738 -36,453 -36,699 -37,606 -41,504 -45,362 -49,442 -106,224 -138,434 -173,913 -235,821
Operating profit 28,417 30,570 38,074 39,678 40,925 49,587 60,083 67,864 83,932 136,739 218,460 354,257
Non-operating profit 2,676 4,430 1,797 1,811 1,520 1,513 1,510 1,813 3,934 10,713 6,356 5,752
Pretax profit 31,093 35,000 39,871 41,489 42,445 51,100 61,593 69,678 87,866 147,452 224,816 360,009
Income taxes -7,258 -7,831 -8,772 -9,128 -9,126 -10,987 -13,243 -14,981 -19,930 -32,988 -48,335 -77,402
Net profit 20,556 25,142 28,027 29,408 30,077 36,386 44,044 49,818 60,108 103,133 160,325 258,555
Net EPS (TWD) 7.91 9.68 10.79 11.32 11.58 14.01 16.96 19.18 23.14 39.70 61.72 99.54
Operating Ratios
Gross margin 37.0% 35.6% 36.4% 36.2% 36.3% 36.7% 36.7% 36.1% 34.3% 36.3% 36.4% 36.8%
Operating margin 17.8% 16.7% 18.6% 18.8% 18.9% 20.0% 20.9% 20.9% 15.1% 18.0% 20.3% 22.1%
Pre-tax margin 19.5% 19.1% 19.5% 19.7% 19.6% 20.6% 21.5% 21.4% 15.8% 19.4% 20.9% 22.5%
Net margin 12.9% 13.7% 13.7% 13.9% 13.9% 14.6% 15.3% 15.3% 10.8% 13.6% 14.9% 16.1%
YoY (%)
Net revenue 34% 48% 36% 31% 36% 36% 40% 54% 32% 37% 42% 49%
Gross profit 56% 48% 42% 37% 33% 39% 41% 54% 39% 45% 43% 50%
Operating profit 102% 64% 53% 50% 44% 62% 58% 71% 76% 63% 60% 62%
Pretax profit 99% 79% 48% 62% 37% 46% 54% 68% 71% 68% 52% 60%
Net profit 101% 80% 51% 70% 46% 45% 57% 69% 71% 72% 55% 61%
QoQ (%)
Net revenue -1% 15% 12% 3% 2% 15% 16% 13%
Gross profit 5% 11% 14% 2% 3% 16% 16% 11%
Operating profit 8% 8% 25% 4% 3% 21% 21% 13%
Pretax profit 21% 13% 14% 4% 2% 20% 21% 13%
Net profit 19% 22% 11% 5% 2% 21% 21% 13%

Source: Company, Daiwa forecast

Delta: 1-year forward PER band

260730_daiwa_delta_002

Source: TEJ, Daiwa forecasts

Delta Electronics (2308 TT): 30 July 2026

Delta: operating margin by segment (quarterly)

260730_daiwa_delta_003

Source: Company

Daiwa

Financial summary

Key assumptions

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Automation revenue growth (YoY) 18 19 (0) (3) 5 10 7 6
Infrastructure revenue growth (YoY) (8) 26 (4) 2 82 45 74 61
Power Electronics sales growth (YoY) 21 21 9 (10) 25 43 30 46

Profit and loss (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Power Electronics 187,316 227,311 248,257 223,992 280,032 400,303 518,398 754,808
Automation 45,881 54,519 54,296 52,403 54,943 60,345 64,800 68,944
Other Revenue 81,474 102,613 98,674 144,752 219,911 297,670 493,828 779,727
Total Revenue 314,671 384,443 401,227 421,148 554,885 758,318 1,077,026 1,603,479
Other income 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
COGS (224,461) (273,671) (284,013) (284,567) (364,729) (483,144) (684,653) (1,013,402)
SG&A (31,642) (37,564) (40,215) (47,354) (57,482) (74,497) (88,366) (117,431)
Other op.expenses (27,202) (31,770) (36,048) (41,575) (48,743) (63,937) (85,547) (118,390)
Operating profit 31,365 41,439 40,950 47,652 83,932 136,739 218,460 354,257
Net-interest inc./(exp.) 134 38 899 1,859 1,501 1,600 1,576 1,572
Assoc/forex/extraord./others 4,128 4,588 6,793 1,804 2,433 9,113 4,780 4,180
Pre-tax profit 35,628 46,065 48,642 51,316 87,866 147,452 224,816 360,009
Tax (7,128) (9,075) (9,762) (10,925) (19,930) (32,988) (48,335) (77,402)
Min. int./pref. div./others (1,703) (4,325) (5,488) (5,163) (7,828) (11,331) (16,155) (24,052)
Net profit (reported) 26,796 32,666 33,393 35,229 60,108 103,133 160,325 258,555
Net profit (adjusted) 26,796 32,666 33,393 35,229 60,108 103,133 160,325 258,555
EPS (reported)(TWD) 10.316 12.576 12.855 13.562 23.140 39.704 61.722 99.538
EPS (adjusted)(TWD) 10.316 12.576 12.855 13.562 23.140 39.704 61.722 99.538
EPS (adjusted fully-diluted)(TWD) 10.316 12.576 12.855 13.562 23.140 39.704 61.722 99.538
DPS (TWD) 5.500 5.500 9.840 6.430 7.000 11.600 20.000 30.000
EBIT 31,365 41,439 40,950 47,652 83,932 136,739 218,460 354,257
EBITDA 48,516 60,375 62,540 72,668 111,771 165,904 255,452 398,422

Cash flow (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Profit before tax 35,628 46,065 48,642 51,316 87,866 147,452 224,816 360,009
Depreciation and amortisation 17,151 18,936 21,590 25,016 27,839 29,164 36,993 44,166
Tax paid (7,128) (9,075) (9,762) (10,925) (19,930) (32,988) (48,335) (77,402)
Change in working capital (20,506) (20,062) 2,466 (2,538) (24,348) (75,550) (99,259) (103,852)
Other operational CF items 3,175 10,665 8,151 10,025 27,047 (97) (80) (80)
Cash flow from operations 28,319 46,529 71,086 72,895 98,474 67,981 114,134 222,841
Capex (23,027) (21,824) (27,830) (33,485) (46,091) (70,524) (64,622) (76,967)
Net (acquisitions)/disposals (1,953) (2,489) (5,421) (304) (2,702) 0 0 0
Other investing CF items (1,501) (406) (251) (6,571) (4,420) 0 0 0
Cash flow from investing (26,481) (24,719) (33,502) (40,360) (53,214) (70,524) (64,622) (76,967)
Change in debt 6,993 (1,900) 10,327 7,135 11,729 0 0 0
Net share issues/(repurchases) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dividends paid (15,751) (15,026) (27,455) (18,696) (20,313) (30,132) (51,951) (77,926)
Other financing CF items 421 (2,814) 6,651 444 (817) 0 0 0
Cash flow from financing (8,337) (19,739) (10,478) (11,118) (9,401) (30,132) (51,951) (77,926)
Forex effect/others (2,358) 9,621 (1,198) 8,586 (2,146) 0 0 0
Change in cash (8,857) 11,692 25,909 30,003 33,713 (32,674) (2,438) 67,948
Free cash flow 5,292 24,705 43,257 39,410 52,383 (2,542) 49,513 145,874

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

Delta Electronics (2308 TT): 30 July 2026

Daiwa

Financial summary continued …

Balance sheet (TWDm)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Cash & short-term investment 51,268 63,572 92,620 121,793 155,113 122,439 120,001 187,949
Inventory 69,697 83,980 81,756 89,706 108,208 145,537 212,165 293,033
Accounts receivable 72,700 89,676 81,706 92,180 125,020 169,016 237,169 321,732
Other current assets 3,213 3,222 3,877 7,246 7,440 7,440 7,440 7,440
Total current assets 196,878 240,450 259,958 310,925 395,781 444,432 576,776 810,153
Fixed assets 76,607 86,267 98,002 115,710 142,040 183,399 211,028 243,829
Goodwill & intangibles 73,610 77,170 78,544 78,783 75,326 75,326 75,326 75,326
Other non-current assets 18,017 21,987 21,242 26,480 26,472 26,568 26,648 26,728
Total assets 365,112 425,874 457,747 531,898 639,619 729,726 889,778 1,156,037
Short-term debt 4,442 2,119 5,875 8,121 17,325 2,364 2,364 2,364
Accounts payable 54,570 62,716 53,539 69,223 94,452 100,226 135,749 197,327
Other current liabilities 49,157 60,179 66,671 74,939 97,888 97,888 97,888 97,888
Total current liabilities 108,169 125,013 126,085 152,283 209,665 200,479 236,001 297,579
Long-term debt 43,914 44,337 51,420 56,309 56,703 56,703 56,703 56,703
Other non-current liabilities 26,904 31,156 37,506 43,740 47,861 47,861 47,861 47,861
Total liabilities 178,988 200,507 215,011 252,332 314,230 305,043 340,566 402,144
Share capital 25,975 25,975 25,975 25,975 25,975 25,975 25,975 25,975
Reserves/R.E./others 128,811 160,813 173,188 204,112 242,083 341,376 465,906 670,587
Shareholders' equity 154,787 186,789 199,164 230,087 268,058 367,351 491,881 696,562
Minority interests 31,338 38,578 43,572 49,478 57,331 57,331 57,331 57,331
Total equity & liabilities 365,112 425,874 457,747 531,898 639,619 729,726 889,778 1,156,037
EV 4,002,668 3,995,704 3,982,488 3,966,357 3,950,488 3,968,200 3,970,638 3,902,691
Net debt/(cash) (2,912) (17,115) (35,325) (57,363) (81,085) (63,372) (60,934) (128,881)
BVPS (TWD) 59.590 71.910 76.674 88.579 103.197 141.423 189.364 268.162

Key ratios (%)

Year to 31 Dec 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Sales (YoY) 11.3 22.2 4.4 5.0 31.8 36.7 42.0 48.9
EBITDA (YoY) 2.6 24.4 3.6 16.2 53.8 48.4 54.0 56.0
Operating profit (YoY) (0.2) 32.1 (1.2) 16.4 76.1 62.9 59.8 62.2
Net profit (YoY) 5.1 21.9 2.2 5.5 70.6 71.6 55.5 61.3
Core EPS (fully-diluted) (YoY) 5.1 21.9 2.2 5.5 70.6 71.6 55.5 61.3
Gross-profit margin 28.7 28.8 29.2 32.4 34.3 36.3 36.4 36.8
EBITDA margin 15.4 15.7 15.6 17.3 20.1 21.9 23.7 24.8
Operating-profit margin 10.0 10.8 10.2 11.3 15.1 18.0 20.3 22.1
Net profit margin 8.5 8.5 8.3 8.4 10.8 13.6 14.9 16.1
ROAE 17.8 19.1 17.3 16.4 24.1 32.5 37.3 43.5
ROAA 7.6 8.3 7.6 7.1 10.3 15.1 19.8 25.3
ROCE 13.8 16.4 14.3 14.8 22.6 31.0 40.0 49.9
ROIC 14.6 17.0 15.7 17.5 27.8 35.1 40.4 50.0
Net debt to equity net cash net cash net cash net cash net cash net cash net cash net cash
Effective tax rate 20.0 19.7 20.1 21.3 22.7 22.4 21.5 21.5
Accounts receivable (days) 79.7 77.1 78.0 75.4 71.4 70.8 68.8 63.6
Current ratio (x) 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.0 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.7
Net interest cover (x) n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Net dividend payout 56.1 53.3 78.2 50.0 51.6 50.1 50.4 48.6
Free cash flow yield 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.0 1.3 n.a. 1.2 3.7

Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

Company profile

Founded in 1971, Delta Electronics has been the global leader in switching power supply solutions since 2002 and DC brushless fans since 2006. Its business covers 3 key areas: power electronics (eg, power supplies, thermal management products and passive components), automation (eg, controllers, robot arms and building management systems), and infrastructure (eg, datacentre infrastructure, networking and EV charging).

Delta Electronics (2308 TT): 30 July 2026

Daiwa

ESG analysis

ESG risks

Risks Management Analyst comments
Executive/board quality 1 Delta's board has 7 non-independent and 5 independent directors with a term of three years. The total number of directors and ratio of independent directors appear higher than most other listed companies. Besides, according to Delta's CSR report, enhancing the board's functions is one of the key goals for the company to achieve better corporate governance; also, the board members' diversity and professionalism will be taken into consideration to ensure a good board quality. Moreover, the company evaluates all the directors in the board using internal regulations and an external independent institution each year and at least once every three years, respectively. We believe Delta has implemented relatively more enhanced measure than most listed firms to improve its board quality.
G Capital management 2 During 2016-19, Delta's payout ratio was stable in the range of c.70%, but fell to 56% in 2020 and 53% in 2021. For 2020, it was mainly due to a sizeable non-cash re-valuation gain after the acquisition of Delta Thailand (DET), while the company maintained more cash on hand to deal with the uncertainties caused by COVID-19. However, the DPS growth from 2016 to 2021 was limited, as Delta struggled with business diversification into new end-markets (eg, smartphone, NEV). We believe that Delta's effort started to bear fruit in recent years after its NEV business has gradually picked up. Overall, we see a stable dividend policy from Delta and expect its DPS to continue to grow YoY in the future given that they declared a TWD7.0 DPS for 2024 which
Related party & transaction 1 equals a 52% payout ratio. Revenue from related parties stood at 4% of total 2024 revenue and purchases from related parties were at 9%. We see limited risk from related party transactions.
S Supply chain management 1 Delta focuses on: 1) localised management, 2) supplier certification and risk management, and 3) supplier sustainability engagement as key initiatives under the scope of supply chain management. In 2019, 144 new suppliers joined Delta's supply chain system. All of them passed environmental and social evaluations, signed the declaration of "non-use of conflict materials", and complied with Responsible Business Alliance's (BRA) Code of Conduct. Also, these vendors had to implement and abide by Delta's supply chain CSR policy and code of conduct. To lower ESG risks, Delta carries out RBA audits and monitors high-risk critical suppliers each year. The suppliers that fail these audits have to provide detailed improvement plans in response to identified issues. Besides, Delta has surveyed a total of 263 suppliers with potential risk and 63 suppliers with high risk of the total 1,331 suppliers, based on its CSR policy and code of conduct. If these suppliers are flagged as high-risk and no concrete improvements are made, Delta may consider terminating cooperation and transactions with them to improve the company's engagement on supplier sustainability. Overall, we think Delta has a solid plan to improve its supply chain management with specific KPIs, including: 1) achieving supplier improvement rate of 80% in 2025, 2) reducing GHG emissions rate of critical suppliers by 10% in 2025, and 3) improving water saving rate of critical suppliers by 12% in 2025.
S Data security 2 Delta's Information Security team created Delta's Information Security Policy in November 2013 and started providing educational training to global employees in 2014. Delta gradually introduced the Information Security Management System (ISMS) in 2016 and obtained the ISO 27001 international certification in 2018. According to ISO27001, Delta has to conduct at least one internal audit on information security and appoint an independent institution to conduct audit externally. According to Delta, no major deficiencies have been found in recent years.

Note: Management score represents a company's ability to manage/benefit from certain ESG topics. The scores range from 1 to 3, with 1 being the strongest.

Update Date: 30 Jul 2026

Source: Daiwa, Company

Delta Electronics (2308 TT): 30 July 2026

Daiwa