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報告_Daiwa_台達電2308_20260728

更新 2026-07-28

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原始內容

Delta Electronics (2308 TT)

Share price (28 Jul): TWD1,580.00

12-mth rating: Buy (1)

Information Technology: Taiwan

Read-through from Delta Thailand's 2Q26 results

Sheng Cheng

(886) 2 8758 6253

sheng.cheng@daiwacm-cathay.com.tw

Allan Wang

(886) 2 8758 6249

allan.wang@daiwacm-cathay.com.tw

Summary: Our read-throughs from Delta Thailand's (DELTA TB, Bt285, BUY; covered by Pattadol Bunnak at alliance partner ttb wealth) 2Q26 results (released on 24 July) was negative, as the profitability from Delta Thailand was weaker than our expectations. We attribute the softer profitability to three reasons, including 1) one-time inventory write-off from unsold products (especially from one sanctioned supplier), 2) raw material price hike, impacting c.2.5pp on gross margin, and 3) inferior product mix, as shortages occurred in key high-margin products, which also negatively impacted gross margins by c.2.5pp. Due mainly to the component shortage, it also dragged the revenue growth rate by c.10pp. Considering that the share price of Delta Electronics (Delta; 2308 TT) has corrected by c.39% (vs. the Taiex' 14% correction) from the peak, we believe the weaker-than-expected results at Delta for 2Q26 are largely priced in. Looking ahead, we expect revenue momentum and margin trend to improve on seasonality and improving component supply situation from 2H26. We have a Buy (1) rating on Delta with a 12M TP of TWD2,922, based on a target PER of 55x applied to our 1-year-forward EPS forecast. Key downside risk: weaker-than-expected end-market demand.

What's the impact:

Below is our read-through from Delta Thailand's 2Q26 results (released on 24 July).

  • 2Q26 results missed on margins Delta Thailand reported 2Q26 earnings of THB6,075m (EPS: THB0.49). Although revenue rose 6% QoQ, supported by solid power demand, net profit fell 33% QoQ due to softer-than-expected gross margins. In 2Q26, Delta Thailand's gross margin declined by 4.9pp QoQ to 26.8%. Based on comments from Pattadol Bunnak at Daiwa's Thailand partner, ttb wealth securities, we attribute the margin weakness to three factors: 1) a one-time inventory write-off related to unsold products, especially from one sanctioned supplier; 2) higher raw material costs, which reduced gross margin by around 2.5pp; and 3) an unfavourable product mix, as shortages affected key high-margin products, lowering gross margin by another c.2.5pp. In addition, the component shortage weighed on revenue growth by roughly 10pp.
  • Business outlook. Looking ahead, we believe the component shortage and issues related to the sanctioned supplier have largely been resolved, which should support improving revenue momentum in 2H26. Gross margin should also gradually recover as the impact from the component shortage fades and the one-off inventory write-off does not recur in 2H26.
  • Implication for Delta (2308 TT) : Delta will release its 2Q26 results after market hours on 29 July. While we expect Delta Thailand's weaker-than-expected 2Q26 results to weigh on Delta's 2Q26 profitability relative to our prior estimates (gross/operating margins: 36.6%/18.6%), we believe the impact should be temporary. The component shortage is easing from July, and the inventory write-off appears to have been a one-off event in 2Q26. Looking ahead, we continue to see HVDC adoption as a key catalyst for Delta, and we expect adoption to exceed 30% in 2028.

What we recommend:

28 July 2026

We have a Buy (1) rating on Delta with a 12M TP of TWD2,922, based on a target PER of 55x applied to our 1-year-forward EPS forecast. Key downside risk: weaker-than-expected end-market demand.

Delta Thailand: quarterly and annual P&L statement

2025 2025 2026 2026 2024 2025
(in THBm) 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
Net revenue 42,736 44,490 53,214 57,714 61,387 65,191 146,371 164,733 198,153
COGS -31,809 -33,381 -38,129 -41,228 -41,921 -47,722 -112,881 -124,236 -144,547
Gross profit 10,927 11,109 15,085 16,485 19,466 17,469 33,491 40,497 53,606
Operating expenses -5,227 -6,011 -7,695 -8,462 -10,021 -11,397 -15,483 -22,637 -27,395
Operating profit 5,700 5,098 7,390 8,024 9,445 6,072 18,008 17,860 26,211
Non-operating profit 573 300 1,341 462 999 1,330 1,488 1,889 2,675
Pre-tax profit 6,273 5,398 8,731 8,486 10,444 7,402 19,496 19,748 28,887
Income taxes -784 -768 -1,289 -1,230 -1,363 -1,327 -1,073 -810 -4,073
Net profit 5,488 4,629 7,441 7,256 9,081 6,075 18,423 18,939 24,814
Net EPS (THB) 0.44 0.37 0.60 0.58 0.73 0.49 1.48 1.52 1.99
Operating Ratios
Gross margin 25.6% 25.0% 28.3% 28.6% 31.7% 26.8% 22.9% 24.6% 27.1%
Operating margin 13.3% 11.5% 13.9% 13.9% 15.4% 9.3% 12.3% 10.8% 13.2%
Pre-tax margin 14.7% 12.1% 16.4% 14.7% 17.0% 11.4% 13.3% 12.0% 14.6%
Net margin 12.8% 10.4% 14.0% 12.6% 14.8% 9.3% 12.6% 11.5% 12.5%
YoY (%)
Net revenue 12% 7% 23% 38% 44% 47% 23% 13% 20%
Gross profit 37% -1% 26% 76% 78% 57% 20% 21% 32%
Operating profit 53% -12% 23% 244% 66% 19% 24% -1% 47%
Pre-tax profit 42% -20% 44% 231% 67% 37% 23% 1% 46%
Net profit 27% -29% 26% 237% 65% 31% 20% 3% 31%
QoQ (%)
Net revenue 2% 4% 20% 8% 6% 6%
Gross profit 17% 2% 36% 9% 18% -10%
Operating profit 144% -11% 45% 9% 18% -36%
Pre-tax profit 145% -14% 62% -3% 23% -29%
Net profit 155% -16% 61% -2% 25% -33%

Source: Company, Daiwa forecasts

In the interests of timeliness, this document has not been edited.