PDF 原檔:報告_Citi_致茂2360_20260826_original.pdf
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104KB | 真資料圖 | Citi Bull/Bear 目標價情境圖:基準日 25 Aug 26 收盤 NT$1,965,牛市 NT$3,135(+60%)、基準 NT$2,500(+27%)、熊市 NT$1,370(-30%) |
報告_Citi_致茂2360_20260826_005.png |
234KB | 真資料圖 | Chroma ATE (2360.TW) 評等與目標價歷史雙圖:上為目標價沿革(11-Oct-23 330 →…→ 22-Feb-26 1,200 → 11-Mar-26 1,650 → 03-May-26 2,500),下為 Catalyst Watch/Short-Term View 紀錄 |
未讀(<40KB 或同組抽樣):001(Chroma 月營收趨勢,34KB)、002(12M Fwd P/E Band,30KB)、003(12M Fwd P/E Chart,31KB)
原始內容
rigure l. Cnroma Aie- Montniy nevenue Irena
(NT$ mn)
citivelocity.com
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
25 Aug 2026 13:28:53 ET │ 12 pages
Chroma ATE (2360.TW)
Chroma Plans 13.6mn Share GDR Issuance; Dilution Manageable with Long-Term Upside Potential · 2026
CITI'S TAKE
Chroma ATE announced today after market close its plan to issue up to 13.6mn new shares through GDR. The proceeds will be used for overseas operation expansion and overseas material procurement. At today's closing price of NT$1,965, we estimate the additional 13.6mn shares could raise NT$26.7bn in funding. The Board will hold an EGM on October 20th to decide the proposed GDR issuance. Chroma shares fell as much as 9% on August 25th likely due to investor concerns of potential share dilution (~3% EPS dilution) and GDR price discount. That said, we view the 3% dilutive impact as modest and manageable. Chroma's order outlook remains robust while its production capacity remains tight. Additional funding for overseas expansion could help the company better capture future growth opportunities longer term. Chroma remains one of the key testing solution providers supporting the global AI expansion. Maintain Buy and NT$2,500 TP.
Figure 1. Chroma ATE - Monthly Revenue Trend
- © 2026 Citigroup Inc. No redistribution without Citigroup's written permission.
Source: Company Reports, Citi Research
See Appendix A-1 for Analyst Certification, Important Disclosures and Research Analyst Affiliations
Buy
Price (25 Aug 26 13:30)
NT$1,965.00
Target price
NT$2,500.00
Expected share price return
27.2%
Expected dividend yield
1.0%
Expected total return
28.2%
Market Cap
NT$835,608M US$26,240M
Kevin Chen AC
+852-2501-2125 kevin.y.chen@citi.com
Kyna Wong
kyna.wong@citi.com
Karen Huang
karen.xw.huang@citi.com
Yiming Li, CFA
yiming.li@citi.com
Figure <. Chroma Alt -12m Fwa. r/E band
NT$
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
Aug-21
M 2026 Citicroun Ine Mo rodictribution without Citicroun'c writton normiccion
Figure s. Chroma Alt - 12m Fwa. P/e Chart
X
55
50
-
45
40
35
30
Figure 2. Chroma ATE - 12M Fwd. P/E Band
25
20
+2std
+1std
Figure 3. Chroma ATE - 12M Fwd. P/E Chart
Aug-22
€ 2M06 Citicenun Ine No rodictribution without Citicroun'e writton normiccion
© 2026 Citigroup Inc. No redistribution without Citigroup's written permission. Source: dataCentral, Citi Research
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Chroma ATE (2360.TW): July Revenue Exceeded NT$5.4bn, Bright Outlook Remains Intact Chroma ATE (2360.TW): 2Q Beat on Non-Op, Positive Outlook Intact Greater China Semiconductors: US Marketing Takeaways
© 2026 Citigroup Inc. No redistribution without Citigroup's written permission. Source: dataCentral, Citi Research
NT$
3,138
2,615
2,092
1,569
1,046
523 MM
Aug 25
BASE Assumptions
NT$ 1,370.00
• 30% Downside
• NT$3,135.00
• Revenue growth to NT$52bn/69bn in 2026E/27E
• Net profit growth to NT$18.8bn/26.5bn in 2026E/27E
• Valuation re-rating to 40x 2027E P/E
- BEAR Assumptions
- {3 • Revenue growth to NT$50bn/65bn in 2026E/27E
• Net profit growth to NT$17.5bn/24.3bn in 2026E/27E
• Valuation re-rating to 25x 2027E P/E
4 60% Upside
NT$ 2,500.00
Bull/Bear: Chroma ATE
• 27% Upside
Chroma ATE
Valuation
Our target price of NT$2,500 is based on 40x 2027E P/E, at close to 1x PEG. Chroma shares have re-rated above its historical range as its growth outlook is now strongly tied to AI infrastructure build out. We estimate 60%+ of its revenue are now AIrelated, with strong growth across product segments including power testers, SLT, metrology, and photonics. Chroma has a commanding market share in most of these segments and well positioned to capitalized on the global AI expansion.
Risks
Downside risks to our target price include: 1) softer AI/CPO growth expectation due to changes in capex outlook or production bottleneck; 2) fewer SLT needed as a result of shortened cycle time as GPU yield rate improves; 3) disappointing metrology shipment due to changes at ramp-up schedule; 4) testing process change leading to loss in market share; 5) FX risks (50-60% of Chroma's sales are in US$, 10-20% in Rmb).
Chroma ATE (2360.TW)
Analyst: Kevin Chen
Date
07-Aug-24 18:28:11
2 13- Sep-24 00:34:47
[J 04-Nov-24 12:53:01
[02-Feb-25 19:44:53
CW - Catalyst Watch, STV - Short-Term View
TWD
3,000
2,000
1,000
If you are visually impaired and would like to speak to a Citi representative regarding the details of the graphics in this document, please call USA 1-888-500-5008 (TTY: 711), from outside the US +1-210-677-3788
Date
Appendix A-1
[2 21- Feb-2411:50:58
1
*280.00
227.50
[30-Apr-25 14:29:54