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報告_BofA_欣興3037_20260831

更新 2026-09-01

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檔名 size 分類 親眼所見內容
3037欣興_1150831_BofA_001.png 99KB 真資料圖 UMCRF 股價(藍線)+歷次 Price Objective 沿革圖(淺藍色帶,2023-2026),與 8/28 版本同系列圖,最新仍為 2026-07-29 PO:NT$1400(未變動)

原始內容

Unimicron

Additional thoughts on the investigation incident of 'products' origin'

Maintain Rating: BUY | PO: 1,400 TWD | Price: 1,110 TWD

Following our first take on the investigation incident (August 28), we lay out our further thoughts in this report. While the company does not disclose specifically which products or production sites are under investigation, supply chain checks indicate it is more likely to be related to the PCB (non-substrate), as the investigation may have taken place in the Hejiang plant (which focuses on PCB/HDI).

Concerns on high-end ABF substrate look overstated

Given that Unimicron ' s high-end ABF substrate capacity is all located in Taiwan, we believe the issue of ' mislabeling the products ' origin ' may not be associated with such business. Rather, it is more likely associated with the PCB/HDI business, since the firm operates the factories in both China and Taiwan for production (and there could be some workload sharing in between, which involves the export/import).

Fundamental impact minimal but share price likely to react

PCB/HDI accounts for only 15% of the firm ' s 2026 capex, and the business contributes no more than 10% of Unimicron ' s profits, based on our estimates. We thus expect no significant impact on the company ' s fundamental outlook, yet the share price may still react negatively on Monday, as the relevant issue (label of product origin) could be quite sensitive under the requirement/focus by US authorities and customers.

Positive stance remains backed by S/D in ABF substrate

On high-end ABF substrate, we do not think it makes sense for the firm to source from peers ' overseas capacity, given (1) Unimicron ' s relative strength in product quality; and (2) the ongoing industry-wide supply shortage. Maintain Buy given its position as a major supplier (20+% share) in high-end substrate market.

Estimates (Dec) (NT$) 2024A 2025A 2026E 2027E 2028E
Net Income (Adjusted - mn) 5,082 6,673 31,487 51,600 92,653
EPS 3.34 4.38 19.82 32.47 58.31
EPS Change (YoY) -57.6% 31.1% 352.3% 63.9% 79.6%
Consensus EPS (Visible Alpha) 21.07 40.12 66.29
Dividend / Share 1.50 2.00 9.90 16.20 29.20
Free Cash Flow / Share (10.15) (6.13) (0.489) 19.88 49.36
Valuation (Dec)
P/E 332.27x 253.38x 56.02x 34.18x 19.04x
Dividend Yield 0.135% 0.180% 0.892% 1.46% 2.63%
EV / EBITDA* 78.20x 155.19x 33.66x 18.33x 11.31x
Free Cash Flow Yield* -0.876% -0.530% -0.044% 1.79% 4.45%
* For full definitions of iQ method SM measures, see page 5.

This research report provides general information only. No part of this report may be used or reproduced or quoted in any manner whatsoever in Taiwan by the press or other persons without the express written consent of BofA Securities.

  • >> Employed by a non-US affiliate of BofAS and is not registered/qualified as a research analyst under the FINRA rules.

Refer to "Other Important Disclosures" for information on certain BofA Securities entities that take responsibility for the information herein in particular jurisdictions.

BofA Securities does and seeks to do business with issuers covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.

Refer to important disclosures on page 6 to 8. Analyst Certification on page 3. Price

31 August 2026

Equity

Mike Yang >> Research Analyst Merrill Lynch (Taiwan) +886 2 2376 3729 mike.c.yang@bofa.com

Stock Data

Price 1,110 TWD
Price Objective 1,400 TWD
Date Established 19-Aug-2026
Investment Opinion C-1-7
52-Week Range 128.50 TWD-1,230
TWD
Mrkt Val / Shares Out (mn) 55,798 USD / 1,588.9
Market Value (mn) 1,763,649 TWD
Average Daily Value (mn) 828.52 USD
Free Float 83.1%
BofA Ticker / Exchange UMCRF / TAI
Bloomberg / Reuters 3037 TT / 3037.TW
ROE (2026E) 26.0%
Net Dbt to Eqty (Dec-2025A) -18.7%

PCB - printed circuit board

HDI - high-density interconnect

ABF - Ajinomoto build-up film

S/D - supply/demand

iQ profile SM Unimicron

Key Income Statement Data (Dec) 2024A 2025A 2026E 2027E 2028E
(NT$ Millions)
Sales 115,373 131,241 188,122 266,337 376,002
Gross Profit 16,315 18,292 47,910 88,961 149,767
Sell General &Admin Expense (6,156) (6,619) (9,032) (9,877) (11,321)
Operating Profit 5,117 6,674 31,866 71,116 128,688
Net Interest &Other Income 2,204 2,153 8,794 1,453 1,553
Associates NA NA NA NA NA
Pretax Income 7,321 8,827 40,660 72,569 130,241
Tax (expense) / Benefit (1,765) (1,277) (6,909) (14,683) (26,316)
Net Income (Adjusted) 5,082 6,673 31,487 51,600 92,653
Average Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding 1,521 1,523 1,589 1,589 1,589
Key Cash Flow Statement Data
Net Income 5,082 6,673 31,487 51,600 92,653
Depreciation &Amortization 17,231 4,587 20,051 24,220 25,836
Change in Working Capital (5,229) (4,449) (12,023) (16,532) (23,170)
Deferred Taxation Charge NA NA NA NA NA
Other Adjustments, Net (6,791) 8,156 13,409 7,306 13,115
Cash Flow from Operations 10,294 14,967 52,923 66,594 108,433
Capital Expenditure (25,735) (24,307) (53,700) (35,000) (30,000)
(Acquisition) / Disposal of Investments (3,050) 1,730 0 0 0
Other Cash Inflow / (Outflow) (445) (440) 0 0 0
Cash Flow from Investing (29,230) (23,018) (53,700) (35,000) (30,000)
Shares Issue / (Repurchase) 0 2,150 0 0 0
Cost of Dividends Paid (4,575) (2,295) (3,178) (15,731) (25,741)
Cash Flow from Financing 8,336 19,073 (3,178) (15,731) (25,741)
Free Cash Flow (15,441) (9,340) (777) 31,594 78,433
Net Debt (14,657) (20,008) (16,053) (31,916) (84,609)
Change in Net Debt 22,021 3,162 3,955 (15,864) (52,692)
Key Balance Sheet Data
Property, Plant &Equipment 120,536 125,866 159,515 170,296 174,460
Other Non-Current Assets 23,442 24,628 29,169 29,169 29,169
Trade Receivables 23,617 27,570 39,519 55,950 78,987
Cash &Equivalents 43,753 54,872 50,916 66,780 119,472
Other Current Assets 19,499 22,856 27,153 33,010 40,711
Total Assets 230,847 255,792 306,272 355,204 442,798
Long-Term Debt 21,909 24,019 24,019 24,019 24,019
Other Non-Current Liabilities NA NA NA NA NA
Short-Term Debt 7,188 10,845 10,845 10,845 10,845
Other Current Liabilities 102,163 113,921 136,093 149,155 169,838
Total Liabilities 131,260 148,785 170,956 184,019 204,702
Total Equity 99,587 107,007 135,316 171,185 238,097
Total Equity &Liabilities 230,847 255,792 306,272 355,204 442,798
iQ method SM - Bus Performance*
Return On Capital Employed 3.2% 4.2% 17.0% 30.2% 42.9%
Return On Equity 5.2% 6.5% 26.0% 33.7% 45.3%
Operating Margin 4.4% 5.1% 16.9% 26.7% 34.2%
EBITDA Margin 19.4% 8.6% 27.6% 35.8% 41.1%
iQ method SM - Quality of Earnings*
Cash Realization Ratio 2.0x 2.2x 1.7x 1.3x 1.2x
Asset Replacement Ratio 1.5x 5.3x 2.7x 1.4x 1.2x
Tax Rate (Reported) 24.1% 14.5% 17.0% 20.2% 20.2%
Net Debt-to-Equity Ratio -14.7% -18.7% -11.9% -18.6% -35.5%
Interest Cover 4.0x 5.2x 25.0x NM NM

Key Metrics

  • For full definitions of iQ method SM measures, see page 5.

Company Sector

Electronics

Company Description

Unimicron (3037 TT) was founded in 1990 and listed on the Taiwan Stock Exchange in 1998. The firm manufactures a wide range of PCB and IC substrates for consumer electronics, industrial, and automotive. It is also the leading ABF supplier globally. The company merged with Phoenix Precision Technology (PPT, delisted) in 2009 and expanded its exposure in the IC substrate business. UMC is the biggest shareholder in Unimicron with a 13.3% stake.

Investment Rationale

We have a Buy rating on Unimicron in view of strong demand from AI accelerators (especially ASICs), which we expect to boost the utilization rate of the ABF substrate business from 2H26, in turn bolstering the company's margin profile and profitability going into 2027.

Stock Data

Price to Book Value

13.0x

Price objective basis & risk

Unimicron (UMCRF)

Our PO of NT$1,400 is based on 35x 2H27-1H28E, which is roughly 1 standard deviation above the historical average of 20x since 2017. In our view, the multiple is appropriate, as we expect Unimicron's earnings to be supported by its high-end technology offerings, where end market demand seems more resilient.

Upside risks are (1) tighter ABF supply, (2) greater PC and regular server demand, and (3) lower competition pressure.

Downside risks are (1) greater ABF expansion from peers, (2) lower ASP content increase at AI server, and (3) bigger drop in the demand of consumer electronic products.

Analyst Certification

I, Mike Yang, hereby certify that the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject securities and issuers. I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or view expressed in this research report.

Special Disclosures

Information on securities which are listed on the exchanges where ML Securities (Taiwan) Limited is not permitted to trade or solicit trades for clients is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation or a solicitation to trade such securities. ML Securities (Taiwan) Limited will not execute transactions for nor accept orders from clients to trade such securities. Foreign investment in Taiwan securities is regulated and restricted. Currently, foreign investment in Taiwan securities is permitted by investment through: (1) global depository receipts, (2) convertible bonds, (3) mutual funds issued offshore of Taiwan, and (4) a special foreign institutional investors (FINIs) and foreign individual investors (FIDIs) program supervised by the Taiwan SFB whereunder FINIs/FIDIs may apply for investment ID to invest in Taiwan securities by registration with Taiwan Stock Exchange. FINIs will additionally need consent from the foreign exchange authority, ie, the Central Bank of China. In addition to the limitations above, various industryspecific percentage-based limitations on foreign ownership of Taiwan companies (and in some cases prohibitions) may apply. Investments are subject to exchange rate and currency conversion restrictions and risks. Dividends and interest earned by foreign investors' Taiwan securities/instruments are generally subject to a 20% withholding tax. Ordinary shares are not available to ML private client accounts in the U.S.

This report is distributed in Taiwan by Merrill Lynch Securities (Taiwan) Limited, which is regulated by the Taiwan SFB.

APR - Technology Hardware Coverage Cluster

Investment rating Company BofA Ticker Bloomberg symbol Analyst
BUY
AAC Technologies AACAF 2018 HK Katherine Zhu
Advantech ADTEF 2395 TT Robert Cheng
Asia Vital Components AVMPF 3017 TT Doris Kao
Asustek AKCPF 2357 TT Robert Cheng
BizLink BIZLF 3665 TT Doris Kao
Chenbro CEOMF 8210 TT Doris Kao
Cowell CWLLF 1415 HK Katherine Zhu
Crystal-Optech XMKAF 002273 CH Katherine Zhu
Delta Electronics (Thailand) XLETF DELTA TB Suppapong Iemkongaek, CFA, CMT

APR - Technology Hardware Coverage Cluster

Investment rating Company BofA Ticker Bloomberg symbol Analyst
Delta Electronics Inc. DLTEF 2308 TT Robert Cheng
Duksan Neolux XDSXF 213420 KS Simon Woo, CFA
Dynamic Holding XLHCF 3715 TT Mike Yang
Elite Material ETMCF 2383 TT Mike Yang
Foxconn Industrial Internet XDAZF 601138 CH Robert Cheng
Goertek XGKCF 002241 CH Katherine Zhu
Gold Circuit GOCCF 2368 TT Doris Kao
Hana Microelectronics XHNNF HANA TB Suppapong Iemkongaek, CFA,
Hon Hai Precision Industry HNHAF 2317 TT Robert Cheng
Huaqin XHUAF 603296 CH Katherine Zhu
Huaqin XPEZF 3296 HK Katherine Zhu
ISU Petasys IPTYF 007660 KS Matt Shin
Jentech XVFSF 3653 TT Doris Kao
King Slide KGSLF 2059 TT Doris Kao
Kingboard Laminates KGBLF 1888 HK Katherine Zhu
Kinsus KNSUF 3189 TT Mike Yang
Largan Precision LGANF 3008 TT Robert Cheng
Lenovo Group LNVGF 992 HK Robert Cheng
Lenovo Group LNVGY LNVGY US Robert Cheng
Lens Tech XLTVF 6613 HK Katherine Zhu
LG CNS XLGLF 064400 KS Simon Woo, CFA
LG Electronics LGEAF 066570 KS Simon Woo, CFA
LG Innotek XLGQF 011070 KS Simon Woo, CFA
Lotes Luxshare ZYZTF 3533 TT Doris Kao
Netweb Technologies XNJQF XNTZF 002475 CH IN Robert Cheng Jatin Kalra, CFA
NYPCB NETWEB Mike Yang
Quanta Computer NANYF QUCPF 8046 TT 2382 TT Robert Cheng
Samsung Electro-Mechanics SMSGF 009150 KS Simon Woo, CFA
Samsung SDI SSDIF 006400 KS Simon Woo, CFA
Samsung SDS XWPBF 018260 KS Simon Woo, CFA
Shennan Circuits XAMKF 002916 CH Katherine Zhu
Taiwan Union Technology Corporation TWUNF 6274 TT Mike Yang
Unimicron UMCRF Mike Yang
Universal Display Victory Giant OLED XENEF 3037 TT OLED US Simon Woo, CFA Zhu
300476 CH Katherine
TT
Wiwynn XWIQF 6669 Robert Cheng
Yageo YGEQF 2327 TT Robert Cheng
Zhen Ding Tech XFAGF
Zhongji Innolight XZICF 4958 TT 300308 CH Doris Kao Katherine Zhu
NEUTRAL
Auras Technology AUTCF 3324 TT Doris Kao
BYD Electronic BYDIF 285 HK Katherine Zhu
DS Precision XBASF 002384 CH Katherine Zhu
E Ink Holdings PVWIF 8069 TT Doris Kao
Lite-On Tech LOTZF 2301 TT Doris Kao
Sunny Optical SNPTF 2382 HK Katherine Zhu
UNDERPERFORM
Acer ASIYF 2353 TT Robert Cheng
Catcher Tech CHERF 2474 TT Robert Cheng
Compal Electron XLCPF 2324 TT Doris Kao
Everwin Precision XSHZF 300115 CH Katherine Zhu
Genius Electronic Optical GNSEF 3406 TT Robert Cheng
Lens Tech XLTGF 300433 CH Katherine Zhu
LG Display LPHLF 034220 KS Simon Woo, CFA
LG Display-ADR LPL LPL US Simon Woo, CFA
Pegatron PGTRF 4938 TT Robert Cheng
Sanan Opto XEQYF 600703 CH Katherine Zhu
Seoul Semiconductor SLSOF 046890 KS Simon Woo, CFA
Shengyi DGUNF 600183 CH 300136 CH Mike Yang
Sunway Communications Transsion XWSVF XCINF 688036 CH Katherine Zhu Robert Cheng

APR - Technology Hardware Coverage Cluster

Investment rating Company BofA Ticker Bloomberg symbol Analyst
ZTE Corporation SHZZF 000063 CH Katherine Zhu
ZTE Corporation ZTCOF 763 HK Katherine Zhu

iQ method SM Measures Definitions

Business Performance Numerator Denominator
Return On Capital Employed NOPAT = (EBIT + Interest Income) × (1 - Tax Rate) + Goodwill Amortization Total Assets - Current Liabilities + ST Debt + Accumulated Goodwill Amortization
Return On Equity Net Income Shareholders' Equity
Operating Margin Operating Profit Sales
Earnings Growth Expected 5 Year CAGR From Latest Actual N/A
Free Cash Flow Cash Flow From Operations - Total Capex N/A
Quality of Earnings Numerator Denominator
Cash Realization Ratio Cash Flow From Operations Net Income
Asset Replacement Ratio Capex Depreciation
Tax Rate Tax Charge Pre-Tax Income
Net Debt-To-Equity Ratio Net Debt = Total Debt - Cash &Equivalents Total Equity
Interest Cover EBIT Interest Expense
Valuation Toolkit Numerator Denominator
Price / Earnings Ratio Current Share Price Diluted Earnings Per Share (Basis As Specified)
Price / Book Value Current Share Price Shareholders' Equity / Current Basic Shares
Dividend Yield Annualised Declared Cash Dividend Current Share Price
Free Cash Flow Yield Cash Flow From Operations - Total Capex Market Cap = Current Share Price × Current Basic Shares
Enterprise Value / Sales EV = Current Share Price × Current Shares + Minority Equity + Net Debt + Other LT Liabilities Sales
EV / EBITDA Enterprise Value Basic EBIT + Depreciation + Amortization

iQ method SM is the set of BofA Global Research standard measures that serve to maintain global consistency under three broad headings: Business Performance, Quality of Earnings, and validations. The key features of iQmethod are: A consistently structured, detailed, and transparent methodology. Guidelines to maximize the effectiveness of the comparative valuation process, and to identify some common pitfalls.

database iQ

®

is our real-time global research database that is sourced directly from our equity analysts' earnings models and includes forecasted as well as historical data for income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements for companies covered by BofA Global Research.

iQ profile SM , iQ method SM are service marks of Bank of America Corporation. iQ database ® is a registered service mark of Bank of America Corporation.

Disclosures

Important Disclosures

Unimicron (UMCRF) Price Chart

The Investment Opinion System is contained at the end of the report under the heading "Fundamental Equity Opinion Key". Dark grey shading indicates the security is restricted with the opinion suspended. Medium grey shading indicates the security is under review with the opinion withdrawn. Light grey shading indicates the security is not covered. Chart is current as of a date no more than one trading day prior to the date of the report.

Equity Investment Rating Distribution: Electronics Group (as of 30 Jun 2026)

Coverage Universe Count Percent Inv. Banking Relationships R1 Count Percent
Buy 34 55.74% Buy 16 47.06%
Hold 10 16.39% Hold 3 30.00%
Sell 17 27.87% Sell 6 35.29%

Equity Investment Rating Distribution: Global Group (as of 30 Jun 2026)

Coverage Universe Count Percent Inv. Banking Relationships R1 Count Percent
Buy 1987 56.11% Buy 1190 59.89%
Hold 797 22.51% Hold 496 62.23%
Sell 757 21.38% Sell 391 51.65%

R1 Issuers that were investment banking clients of BofA Securities or one of its affiliates within the past 12 months. For purposes of this Investment Rating Distribution, the coverage universe includes only stocks. A stock rated Neutral is included as a Hold, and a stock rated Underperform is included as a Sell.

FUNDAMENTAL EQUITY OPINION KEY: Opinions include a Volatility Risk Rating, an Investment Rating and an Income Rating. VOLATILITY RISK RATINGS, indicators of potential price fluctuation, are: A - Low, B - Medium and C - High. INVESTMENT RATINGS reflect the analyst ' s assessment of both a stock ' s absolute total return potential as well as its attractiveness for investment relative to other stocks within its Coverage Cluster (defined below). Our investment ratings are: 1 - Buy stocks are expected to have a total return of at least 10% and are the most attractive stocks in the coverage cluster; 2 - Neutral stocks are expected to remain flat or increase in value and are less attractive than Buy rated stocks and 3 - Underperform stocks are the least attractive stocks in a coverage cluster. An investment rating of 6 (No Rating) indicates that a stock is no longer trading on the basis of fundamentals. Analysts assign investment ratings considering, among other things, the 0-12 month total return expectation for a stock and the firm ' s guidelines for ratings dispersions (shown in the table below). The current price objective for a stock should be referenced to better understand the total return expectation at any given time. The price objective reflects the analyst ' s view of the potential price appreciation (depreciation).

Investment rating Total return expectation (within 12-month period of date of initial rating) Total return expectation (within 12-month period of date of initial rating) Ratings dispersion guidelines for coverage cluster R2
Buy ≥ 10% ≤ 70%
Neutral ≥ 0% ≤ 30%
Underperform N/A ≥ 20%

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Price Charts for the securities referenced in this research report are available on the Price Charts website, or call 1-800-MERRILL to have them mailed. In the US, retail sales and/or distribution of this report may be made only in states where these securities are exempt from registration or have been qualified for sale: Unimicron. The country in which this issuer is organized has certain laws or regulations that limit or restrict ownership of the issuer's shares by nationals of other countries: Unimicron. BofA Global Research personnel (including the analyst(s) responsible for this report) receive compensation based upon, among other factors, the overall profitability of Bank of America Corporation, including profits derived from investment banking. The analyst(s) responsible for this report may also receive compensation based upon, among other factors, the overall profitability of the Bank's sales and trading businesses relating to the class of securities or financial instruments for which such analyst is responsible.

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