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報告_BofA_智原3035_20260728

更新 2026-07-29

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原始內容

Faraday

Sales and margin outlook largely unchanged; valuation remains stretched

Reiterate Rating: UNDERPERFORM | PO: 120.00 TWD | Price: 185.50 TWD

2Q26 sales beat on strong mass production revenue

Faraday ' s 2Q26 sales was +28% QoQ, far above BofAe/street estimates of +6%/+10% QoQ and its guidance of +high-single digit % QoQ, mainly driven by significant growth in MP revenue (+48% QoQ) from both ASIC/MCU product ramps and solid IP revenue contribution offsetting slowdown in NRE revenue recognition. 2Q26 GM dropped by 210 bps to 45.2% due to product mix. Stronger sales and improving operating leverage bring 2Q26 EPS to NT$0.76. (BofAe/street of NT$0.49/0.44)

Better sales mix support resilient margin in 2H26

Following customer pull-ins ahead of anticipated supply chain price increase in 2Q26, 3Q26 sales is guided to decline by single digit % QoQ, as sustained strength in IP revenue more than offset by NRE/MP revenue softness. With revenue mix shift toward higher margin IP segment, GM in 2H26 should remain resilient at 44-45% levels.

MCU support '26 growth; advanced projects ramp in '27

We now forecast Faraday ' s 2026/2027 sales to -32%/+48% YoY. Health demand across robotic, drone, and energy applications for high-end MCU, coupled with higher manufacturing costs pass through, will serve as the key growth catalyst for Faraday ' s MP segment, while part of advanced packaging/advanced nodes related revenue should see push-out from 2026 into 2027 due to verification and supply uncertainties. With advanced packaging/nodes projects ramping through 2027, GM should decline slightly from 45.4% in 2026 to 41.5% in 2027.

Reiterate Underperform with unchanged NT$120 PO

We lift our 2026 EPS slightly from NT$3.31 to NT$4.05 on better GM assumption, and only fine tune 2027/28 EPS from NT$7.25/8.53 to NT$7.07/8.77. We reiterate Underperform rating with unchanged PO of NT$120 on 17x 2027E P/E, as current valuation appears stretched with shares trading at 26x/21x '27/'28E P/E (vs. historical range of 13-42x). We believe a discount to historical average P/E should be more reasonable given declining margin trend and potential further delay in advanced packaging/nodes revenue contribution.

Estimates (Dec) (NT$) 2024A 2025A 2026E 2027E 2028E
Net Income (Adjusted - mn) 1,041 731 1,056 1,842 2,286
EPS 4.18 2.81 4.05 7.07 8.77
EPS Change (YoY) -34.6% -32.9% 44.4% 74.4% 24.1%
Dividend / Share 3.00 1.80 2.84 4.95 6.14
Free Cash Flow / Share 11.06 2.95 8.45 8.74 12.02
Valuation (Dec)
P/E 44.34x 66.09x 45.78x 26.24x 21.14x
Dividend Yield 1.62% 0.970% 1.53% 2.67% 3.31%
EV / EBITDA* 21.60x 27.42x 18.86x 13.09x 11.02x
Free Cash Flow Yield* 5.69% 1.59% 4.56% 4.71% 6.48%
* For full definitions of iQ method SM measures, see page 6.

This research report provides general information only. No part of this report may be used or reproduced or quoted in any manner whatsoever in Taiwan by the press or other persons without the express written consent of BofA Securities.

>> Employed by a non-US affiliate of BofAS and is not registered/qualified as a research analyst under the FINRA rules.

Refer to "Other Important Disclosures" for information on certain BofA Securities entities that take responsibility for the information herein in particular jurisdictions.

BofA Securities does and seeks to do business with issuers covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.

Refer to important disclosures on page 7 to 9. Analyst Certification on page 4. Price

28 July 2026

Equity

Key Changes (NT$) Previous Current
2026E EPS 3.31 4.05
2027E EPS 7.25 7.07
2028E EPS 8.53 8.77
2026E EBITDA (m) 1,814.1 2,153.4
2027E EBITDA (m) 3,156.2 3,101.9
2028E EBITDA (m) 3,596.6 3,683.9

Haas Liu >> Research Analyst Merrill Lynch (Taiwan) +886 2 2376 3727 haas.liu@bofa.com

Mike Yang >> Research Analyst Merrill Lynch (Taiwan) mike.c.yang@bofa.com

Cathy Hsu >> Research Analyst Merrill Lynch (Taiwan) cathy.hsu3@bofa.com

Stock Data

Price 185.50 TWD
Price Objective 120.00 TWD
Date Established 13-Mar-2026
Investment Opinion C-3-7
52-Week Range 139.00 TWD-245.00
TWD
Mrkt Val / Shares Out (mn) 1,497 USD / 260.6
Market Value (mn) 48,332 TWD
Average Daily Value (mn) 50.95 USD
Free Float 81.7%
BofA Ticker / Exchange FDYTF / TAI
Bloomberg / Reuters 3035 TT / 3035.TW
ROE (2026E) 6.6%
Net Dbt to Eqty (Dec-2025A) -49.5%

IP: Intellectual property

MP: Mass Production

NRE: Non-Recurring Engineering

MCU: Microcontroller Unit

iQ profile SM Faraday

Key Income Statement Data (Dec) 2024A 2025A 2026E 2027E 2028E
(NT$ Millions)
Sales 11,065 17,993 12,275 18,155 21,959
Gross Profit 5,051 4,857 5,567 7,532 9,159
Sell General &Admin Expense (1,024) (1,094) (1,349) (1,361) (1,620)
Operating Profit 1,071 552 1,176 2,125 2,707
Net Interest &Other Income 272 449 475 507 513
Associates NA NA NA NA NA
Pretax Income 1,343 1,002 1,651 2,632 3,220
Tax (expense) / Benefit (271) (229) (405) (645) (789)
Net Income (Adjusted) 1,041 731 1,056 1,842 2,286
Average Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding 258 261 261 261 261
Key Cash Flow Statement Data
Net Income 1,041 731 1,056 1,842 2,286
Depreciation &Amortization 810 929 977 977 977
Change in Working Capital 1,295 (580) (209) (506) (56)
Deferred Taxation Charge NA NA NA NA NA
Other Adjustments, Net (246) (151) 543 145 145
Cash Flow from Operations 2,901 930 2,367 2,458 3,352
Capital Expenditure (148) (162) (165) (182) (220)
(Acquisition) / Disposal of Investments (911) (755) (276) 0 0
Other Cash Inflow / (Outflow) (1,503) (183) 360 (800) (800)
Cash Flow from Investing (2,562) (1,100) (81) (982) (1,020)
Shares Issue / (Repurchase) 3,720 0 0 0 0
Cost of Dividends Paid (1,118) (782) (469) (739) (1,289)
Cash Flow from Financing 2,178 (832) 251 (739) (1,289)
Free Cash Flow 2,752 768 2,202 2,276 3,133
Net Debt (7,886) (6,697) (9,388) (10,125) (11,168)
Change in Net Debt (2,418) 1,171 (2,677) (737) (1,043)
Key Balance Sheet Data
Property, Plant &Equipment 582 617 651 651 651
Other Non-Current Assets 6,724 7,115 11,294 12,727 14,468
Trade Receivables 1,054 1,726 1,596 2,829 2,614
Cash &Equivalents 8,334 7,286 9,894 10,631 11,675
Other Current Assets 1,636 2,188 3,206 4,723 4,886
Total Assets 18,330 18,932 26,641 31,560 34,294
Long-Term Debt 0 0 0 0 0
Other Non-Current Liabilities 984 719 751 751 751
Short-Term Debt 448 589 506 506 506
Other Current Liabilities 3,425 4,096 5,412 8,231 8,869
Total Liabilities 4,857 5,403 6,670 9,488 10,127
Total Equity 13,473 13,529 19,971 22,072 24,168
Total Equity &Liabilities 18,330 18,932 26,641 31,560 34,294
iQ method SM - Bus Performance*
Return On Capital Employed 7.4% 3.3% 5.3% 7.5% 8.7%
Return On Equity 9.2% 5.6% 6.6% 9.2% 10.4%
Operating Margin 9.7% 3.1% 9.6% 11.7% 12.3%
EBITDA Margin 17.0% 8.2% 17.5% 17.1% 16.8%
iQ method SM - Quality of Earnings*
Cash Realization Ratio 2.8x 1.3x 2.2x 1.3x 1.5x
Asset Replacement Ratio 1.0x 0.8x 0.8x 0.9x 1.0x
Tax Rate (Reported) 20.2% 22.8% 24.5% 24.5% 24.5%
Net Debt-to-Equity Ratio -58.5% -49.5% -47.0% -45.9% -46.2%
Interest Cover NM NM NM NM NM

Key Metrics

  • For full definitions of iQ method SM measures, see page 6.

Company Sector

Semiconductors

Company Description

Faraday Technology Corp. was established in 1993 and listed in 1999. The company is an affiliate of the second biggest semiconductor logic foundry (UMC) in Taiwan, and has been the main provider to UMC's IP library. Faraday is also known for its total solution in ASIC (customized chips) which includes chip-design and turnkey mass production, on top of its IP offering. The company has a diversified endmarket exposure, including internet of things, factory automation, solar, microcontrollers etc.

Investment Rationale

We have an Underperform rating on Faraday, as we are wary of the slower for longer business outlook in mature node projects, while its collaboration with non-TSMC foundries bears the uncertainty.

Stock Data

Price to Book Value

2.5x

Focus table

Exhibit 1: Faraday 2Q26-3Q26 and 2026-27 estimates BofAe vs. street

Our EPS estimates for '26/27 is now NT$4.05/7.07

2Q26E 2Q26E 2Q26E 3Q26E 3Q26E 3Q26E 2026E 2026E 2026E 2027E 2027E 2027E
Actual Old Street BofAe Old Street BofAe Old Street BofAe Old Street
Sales (NT$mn) Sales QoQ / YoY (%) $3,314 28.0% $2,748 6.2% $2,836 9.6% $3,079 -7.1% $2,951 7.4% $3,594 26.7% $12,275 -31.8% $12,162 -32.4% $13,624 -24.3% $18,155 47.9% $18,180 49.5% $16,863 23.8%
Gross profit (NT$mn) $1,499 45.2% $1,239 45.1% $1,276 45.0% $1,387 45.1% $1,242 42.1% $1,559 43.4% $5,567 45.4% $5,272 43.3% $5,984 43.9% $7,532 41.5% $7,550 41.5% $7,156 42.4%
GMs (%) $271 8.2% $98 3.6% $129 4.6% $340 $239 8.1% $306 8.5% 9.6% $849 7.0% $1,099 8.1% $2,125 11.7% $2,191 12.1% 12.1%
Operating profit (NT$mn) 11.1% $1,176 $2,038
OpMs (%) Pretax margins (%) $382 11.5% 7.6% $192 6.8% 15.7% 13.0% 10.3% $1,651 13.5% $1,326 10.9% 11.3% $2,632 14.5% $2,700 14.9% $2,348 13.9%
Pretax profit (NT$mn) $210 $485 $383 $369 $1,539
Tax expense (NT$mn) Tax rate (%) -$184 48.2% -$82 38.9% -$47 24.7% -$153 31.5% -$126 33.0% -$88 23.8% -$595 36.1% -$464 35.0% -$518 33.7% -$790 30.0% -$811 30.0% -$619 26.4%
Net profit (NT$mn) $145
$128 $332 $282
$198 $257 $1,056 $862 $1,021 $1,842 $1,889 $1,729
Net margins (%) 6.0% 4.7% 5.1% 10.8% 8.7% 7.8% 8.6% 7.1% 7.5% 10.1% 10.4% 10.3%
EPS (NT$) $0.76 $0.49 $0.44 $1.27 $0.99 $1.16 $4.05 $3.31 $4.09 $7.07 $7.25 $6.48

Source: BofA Global Research estimates, Bloomberg

BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH

Price objective basis & risk

Faraday (FDYTF)

Our PO NT$120 is derived from 17x 2027E P/E, which is at low-to-mid-end of the company's historical valuation range. In our view, the multiple is backed by gross margin expansion from 27% in 2025 to over 40% in 2026/27 while revenue would slow down from a peak in 2025.

Upside risks: (1) faster-than-expected progress in new businesses including advanced nodes and advanced packaging, and (2) a better margin profile thanks to more stringent opex and enhanced value-add to customers

Downside risks: (1) downturn in foundry business cycle, given that the firm adopts a cost-plus model for turnkey (mass production) business, and (2) slower qualification and ramp-up of the yield rate for advanced packaging business