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報告_BofA_宏碁2353_20260715

更新 2026-07-17

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檔名 size 分類 親眼所見內容
260715_ml_acer_004.png 55KB 真資料圖 宏碁股價(NT$,深藍線,2023/7-2026中)疊加歷次目標價(PO)沿革標註:22→26→31→34→35→31→30→29→26,含每次調整日期,底色淺藍區塊代表當期 PO 區間
260715_ml_acer_002.png 36KB 真資料圖 Exhibit 7:宏碁歷史 P/B 走勢圖(2008/1-2026),深藍線為 P/B(x),另繪 -1SD/Mean/+1SD 三條水平線(約0.5x/0.85x/1.25x),近期在均值上緣
260715_ml_acer_003.png 34KB 真資料圖 Exhibit 6:宏碁歷史 P/E 走勢圖(2017/1-2026),深藍線為 P/E(x),另繪 -1SD/Mean/+1SD 三條水平線(約4x/11x/19x),近期落在均值與+1SD之間
260715_ml_acer_001.png 31KB 真資料圖 Exhibit 1:宏碁(深藍)與華碩(淺藍)季度存貨天數比較折線圖,1Q23-1Q26,1Q26 分別為 99 天/125 天

原始內容

Acer

Better 2Q26 sales; margin key watch point; reiterate Underperform with NT$26 PO

Reiterate Rating: UNDERPERFORM | PO: 26.00 TWD | Price: 31.05 TWD

Better 2Q26 sales driven by AI, commercial, non-PC

Acer ' s 2Q26 sales of NT$85.3bn (+18% QoQ, +28% YoY) were 23%/5% above BofAe/ consensus. We particularly highlight the better sales from AI, commercial, and non-PC businesses. According to Acer, sales from desktop, commercial products (excluding Chromebook), and non-PC grew 57.3%, 47.3%, and 48.2% YoY in 2Q26, respectively. Acer cited the strong desktop sales were mainly due to AI usage. The non-PC sales accounted for 34.3% of total in 2Q26, vs. 34.7%/29.9% in 1Q26/2Q25. Acer will report 2Q26 earnings after market close on 6 Aug and hold an analyst debriefing on 18 Aug.

Expect decent sales growth, but margins key watch point

Following memory price hikes and components tightness, we believe Acer and other PC brands should be able to raise prices to reflect the higher costs. This could lead to decent sales growth in 2026 (BofAe: +19% YoY for Acer) despite soft end-market demand. We flag margins as the key watch point during the prolonged memory upcycle, given Acer ' s smaller PC market share. In 1Q26, Acer ' s PC shipment share was 5.9%, vs. top 3 names Lenovo/HP/Dell at 24.3%/17.4%/14.2%. Acer and Asustek had high inventory days at 99/125 as of 1Q26 (Exhibit 1).

Maintain PO of NT$26; reiterate Underperform

We cut our 2026-27E EPS by 6-7% (to reflect 2025/1Q26 actual data, better 2Q26 sales, and margin concerns) and introduce our 2028 estimates (Exhibit 2). We maintain our PO of NT$26 with a valuation base rollover but unchanged P/E multiple -currently based on 15x 2H26-1H27E EPS vs. 15x 4Q25-3Q26E EPS previously. We reiterate Underperform on Acer, given moderate PC demand, potential margin pressure from component price hikes, and above-peer valuation (currently trades at 18x 2027E P/E vs. the peer average of 17x; Exhibit 5).

Estimates (Dec) (NT$) 2023A 2024A 2025E 2026E 2027E
Net Income (Adjusted - mn) 4,932 5,539 3,950 5,563 5,724
EPS 1.64 1.84 1.31 1.85 1.90
EPS Change (YoY) -1.4% 12.1% -28.7% 40.9% 2.9%
Consensus EPS (Visible Alpha) 1.25 1.54 1.61
Dividend / Share 1.60 1.70 1.05 1.48 1.52
Free Cash Flow / Share 4.05 -2.00 0.85 0.99 1.08
Valuation (Dec)
P/E 18.9x 16.9x 23.6x 16.8x 16.3x
Dividend Yield 5.2% 5.5% 3.4% 4.8% 4.9%
EV / EBITDA* 16.4x 13.8x 16.2x 12.0x 11.7x
Free Cash Flow Yield* 12.9% -6.3% 2.7% 3.2% 3.4%
* For full definitions of iQ method SM measures, see page 8.

This research report provides general information only. No part of this report may be used or reproduced or quoted in any manner whatsoever in Taiwan by the press or other persons without the express written consent of BofA Securities.

>> Employed by a non-US affiliate of BofAS and is not registered/qualified as a research analyst under the FINRA rules.

Refer to "Other Important Disclosures" for information on certain BofA Securities entities that take responsibility for the information herein in particular jurisdictions.

BofA Securities does and seeks to do business with issuers covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.

Refer to important disclosures on page 9 to 11. Analyst Certification on page 6. Price

15 July 2026

Equity

Robert Cheng >> Research Analyst Merrill Lynch (Taiwan) +886 2 2376 3731 robert.cheng@bofa.com

Doris Kao >> Research Analyst Merrill Lynch (Taiwan) +886 2 2376 3722 doris.kao@bofa.com

Katherine Zhu >> Research Analyst Merrill Lynch (Hong Kong) +852 3508 3374

kexin.zhu@bofa.com

Stock Data

Price 31.05 TWD
Price Objective 26.00 TWD
Date Established 18-Nov-2025
Investment Opinion B-3-7
52-Week Range 25.00 TWD-44.20 TWD
Mrkt Val / Shares Out (mn) 2,940 USD / 3,047.9
Market Value (mn) 94,636 TWD
Average Daily Value (mn) 62.28 USD
Free Float 93.7%
BofA Ticker / Exchange ASIYF / TAI
Bloomberg / Reuters 2353 TT / 2353.TW
ROE (2025E) 5.2%
Net Dbt to Eqty (Dec-2024A) -33.4%

For a full list of acronyms, see Exhibit 11

iQ profile SM Acer

Key Income Statement Data (Dec) 2023A 2024A 2025E 2026E 2027E
(NT$ Millions)
Sales 241,308 264,682 272,484 287,042 300,023
Gross Profit 25,823 28,006 29,200 32,281 34,044
Sell General &Admin Expense (19,479) (20,864) (22,273) (23,401) (24,498)
Operating Profit 4,225 4,876 4,828 6,613 7,047
Net Interest &Other Income 3,573 4,099 2,587 2,002 1,791
Associates NA NA NA NA NA
Pretax Income 7,799 8,974 7,416 8,616 8,838
Tax (expense) / Benefit (2,168) (2,756) (1,963) (2,412) (2,475)
Net Income (Adjusted) 4,932 5,539 3,950 5,563 5,724
Average Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding 3,001 3,006 3,006 3,006 3,006
Key Cash Flow Statement Data
Net Income 4,932 5,539 3,950 5,563 5,724
Depreciation &Amortization 1,776 2,272 1,247 1,568 1,381
Change in Working Capital (1,238) (12,584) (3,743) (4,386) (4,102)
Deferred Taxation Charge NA NA NA NA NA
Other Adjustments, Net 7,213 3,250 1,503 640 640
Cash Flow from Operations 12,684 (1,523) 2,958 3,386 3,643
Capital Expenditure (516) (4,482) (400) (400) (400)
(Acquisition) / Disposal of Investments (398) (4,310) 0 0 0
Other Cash Inflow / (Outflow) (6,452) (6,035) 0 0 0
Cash Flow from Investing (7,366) (14,828) (400) (400) (400)
Shares Issue / (Repurchase) 433 1,023 0 0 0
Cost of Dividends Paid (4,928) (5,338) (3,160) (4,451) (4,579)
Cash Flow from Financing (4,440) 3,871 (3,160) (4,451) (4,579)
Free Cash Flow 12,167 (6,005) 2,558 2,986 3,243
Net Debt (45,553) (27,914) (27,312) (25,847) (24,511)
Change in Net Debt (525) 17,639 602 1,465 1,336
Key Balance Sheet Data
Property, Plant &Equipment 4,424 8,431 7,584 6,416 5,434
Other Non-Current Assets 46,744 54,346 54,346 54,346 54,346
Trade Receivables 52,308 54,627 55,373 58,331 60,969
Cash &Equivalents 48,134 37,665 37,063 35,598 34,262
Other Current Assets 57,124 64,406 65,164 68,292 71,418
Total Assets 208,734 219,476 219,530 222,983 226,429
Long-Term Debt 1,565 3,663 3,663 3,663 3,663
Other Non-Current Liabilities 19,617 22,944 22,944 22,944 22,944
Short-Term Debt 1,016 6,088 6,088 6,088 6,088
Other Current Liabilities 106,193 103,211 100,972 102,672 104,334
Total Liabilities 128,392 135,906 133,667 135,367 137,029
Total Equity 80,342 83,570 85,863 87,616 89,400
Total Equity &Liabilities 208,734 219,476 219,530 222,983 226,429
iQ method SM - Bus Performance*
Return On Capital Employed 4.7% 4.5% 4.2% 5.1% 5.3%
Return On Equity 6.8% 7.4% 5.2% 7.1% 7.1%
Operating Margin 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 2.3% 2.3%
EBITDA Margin 2.5% 2.7% 2.2% 2.9% 2.8%
iQ method SM - Quality of Earnings*
Cash Realization Ratio 2.6x -0.3x 0.7x 0.6x 0.6x
Asset Replacement Ratio 0.5x 3.6x 0.3x 0.3x 0.3x
Tax Rate (Reported) 27.8% 30.7% 26.5% 28.0% 28.0%
Net Debt-to-Equity Ratio -56.7% -33.4% -31.8% -29.5% -27.4%
Interest Cover 14.9x 8.7x 6.2x 8.4x 8.9x

Key Metrics

  • For full definitions of iQ method SM measures, see page 8.

Company Sector

Technology Strategy

Company Description

Acer, founded in 1976 and headquartered in Taiwan, is a global top PC brand company with business involvement in tech hardware and software. After underwent several transformations, new management team redirected business strategy to margin focus from volume focus. Acer now emphasizes on gaming PC business for margin expansion and seeks future growth opportunities in non-PC areas (e.g. IoT).

Investment Rationale

We have an Underperform rating on Acer in view of unjustified valuation despite PC demand recovery. It is trading at over 0.5SD above historical P/E average. Despite Acer's leading market share in Chromebook vendor (22% shipment share in 2022, following Dell's 21%), Chromebook demand has stabilized in 2023-24 from the peak level in 2020-21.

Stock Data

Price to Book Value

1.2x

Exhibit 1: Acer/Asustek had high inventory days - 99/125 days as of 1Q26

Quarterly inventory days: Acer and Asustek, 1Q23-1Q26

260715_ml_acer_001

Source: BofA Global Research, TEJ, company data. Quarterly inventory days = 365 / 4 / (quarterly COGS / average inventories)

BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH

Exhibit 2: We cut 2026-27E EPS by 6-7% and introduce 2028 estimates

Earnings revisions summary, 2026-28E

NT$mn 2026E 2026E 2026E 2027E 2027E 2027E 2028E
New Old Diff (%) New Old Diff (%) New
Sales 327,270 287,042 14% 333,848 300,023 11% 339,676
Gross profit 36,774 32,281 14% 37,632 34,044 11% 38,656
Operating profit 6,464 6,613 -2% 7,387 7,047 5% 7,883
Pretax profit 8,692 8,616 1% 8,915 8,838 1% 9,412
Net income 5,222 5,563 -6% 5,302 5,724 -7% 5,660
EPS (NT$) 1.74 1.85 -6% 1.76 1.90 -7% 1.88
Margin
Gross margin 11.24% 11.25% 11.27% 11.35% 11.38%
Operating margin 1.98% 2.30% 2.21% 2.35% 2.32%
Pre-tax margin 2.66% 3.00% 2.67% 2.95% 2.77%
Net margin 1.60% 1.94% 1.59% 1.91% 1.67%

Source: BofA Global Research estimates. Diff: difference

BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH

Exhibit 3: Our 2026/28E earnings are 7%/23% above consensus and 2027E earnings are 4% below consensus

BofAe vs. consensus, 2026-28E

NT$mn BofAe 2026E Consensus Diff (%) BofAe 2027E Consensus Diff (%) BofAe 2028E Consensus Diff (%)
Sales 327,270 312,367 5% 333,848 345,743 -3% 339,676 307,447 10%
Gross profit 36,774 35,132 5% 37,632 39,104 -4% 38,656 n.a. n.a.
Operating profit 6,464 6,079 6% 7,387 7,820 -6% 7,883 7,509 5%
Pretax profit 8,692 9,320 -7% 8,915 10,244 -13% 9,412 8,823 7%
Net income 5,222 4,862 7% 5,302 5,496 -4% 5,660 4,608 23%
EPS (NT$) 1.74 1.62 7% 1.76 1.83 -4% 1.88 1.53 23%
Margin
Gross margin 11.24% 11.25% 11.27% 11.31% 11.38% n.a.
Operating margin 1.98% 1.95% 2.21% 2.26% 2.32% 2.44%
Pre-tax margin 2.66% 2.98% 2.67% 2.96% 2.77% 2.87%
Net margin 1.60% 1.56% 1.59% 1.59% 1.67% 1.50%

Source: BofA Global Research estimates, Bloomberg. Diff: difference

BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH

Exhibit 4: Our new 2Q26E EPS is 19% above consensus

2Q26 results review

NT$mn 2Q26 BofAe New QoQ (%) YoY (%) 2Q26 BofAe Old Diff (%) 2Q26 Consensus Diff (%) 1Q26 2Q25
Sales 85,296 18% 28% 69,624 23% 81,312 5% 72,423 66,532
Gross profit 9,500 17% 41% 7,721 23% 9,215 3% 8,086 6,729
Operating profit 1,781 122% 143% 1,455 22% 1,679 6% 803 734
Pre-tax profit 2,208 25% 23% 1,902 16% 2,495 -12% 1,764 1,799
Net profit 1,440 105% 33% 1,210 19% 1,214 19% 702 1,085
EPS (NT$) 0.48 105% 33% 0.40 19% 0.40 19% 0.23 0.36
Margin
Gross margin 11.14% 0.0 ppt 1.0 ppt 11.09% 0.0 ppt 11.33% -0.2 ppt 11.16% 10.11%
Operating margin 2.09% 1.0 ppt 1.0 ppt 2.09% 0.0 ppt 2.07% 0.0 ppt 1.11% 1.10%
Pre-tax margin 2.59% 0.2 ppt -0.1 ppt 2.73% -0.1 ppt 3.07% -0.5 ppt 2.44% 2.70%
Net margin 1.69% 0.7 ppt 0.1 ppt 1.74% 0.0 ppt 1.49% 0.2 ppt 0.97% 1.63%

Source: BofA Global Research estimates, company data, Bloomberg. Diff: difference

Exhibit 5: Acer trades at 18x 2027E P/E vs. the peer average of 17x

Valuation comparison: Acer and global peers

Share price Market cap P/E (x) P/E (x) P/B (x) P/B (x) EPS growth EPS growth Dividend yield (%) Dividend yield (%) ROE (%) ROE (%) EV/EBITDA (x) EV/EBITDA (x) Net cash (debt) to market cap Net cash (debt) to market cap
Ticker Company (LC) (US$mn) 26E 27E 26E 27E 26E 27E 26E 27E 26E 27E 26E 27E 26E 27E
2353 TT Acer 31.1 2,938 17.9 17.6 1.2 1.2 38% 2% 4.5 4.5 6.9 6.8 17.7 15.4 -11% -10%
Global peers Global peers Global peers Global peers Global peers Global peers Global peers Global peers
2357 TT Asustek 712.0 16,419 14.5 14.1 1.9 1.8 -20% 3% 4.7 4.8 13.5 13.4 13.3 13.1 -3% -4%
2377 TT MSI * 148.5 3,895 12.8 13.1 2.1 2.0 70% -2% 4.1 5.8 16.0 14.4 7.9 8.1 24% 23%
2376 TT Gigabyte * 344.0 7,155 11.3 10.1 3.2 2.8 67% 11% 4.9 6.1 30.3 27.6 8.3 7.7 -4% -5%
992 HK Lenovo 23.2 37,981 22.8 14.9 37.1 28.5 27% 53% 1.6 1.6 29.9 35.2 8.6 7.2 0% 1%
HPQ US HP 24.6 22,525 8.3 8.4 50.3 9.3 -5% -1% 4.9 4.9 n.m. n.m. 6.6 6.7 -22% -15%
DELL US Dell 457.5 295,636 44.4 23.5 n.m. 45.5 27% 89% 0.5 0.6 n.m. n.m. 29.2 18.4 -6% -2%
AAPL US Apple 314.9 4,624,461 36.5 31.8 40.4 27.4 16% 15% 0.3 0.4 n.m. n.m. 25.9 23.6 -1% -1%
Overall peer average Overall peer average Overall peer average Overall peer average 21.5 16.6 22.5 16.7 26% 24% 3.0 3.4 22.4 22.6 14.3 12.1 -2% 0%
Overall peer median Overall peer median Overall peer median Overall peer median 14.5 14.1 20.2 9.3 27% 11% 4.1 4.8 23.0 21.0 8.6 8.1 -3% -2%

Source: BofA Global Research estimates, Bloomberg. Share price and market cap as of 2026/07/15 (Asia companies) and 07/14 (US companies). ROE (return on equity) refers to average ROE. LC: local currency. n.m.: not meaningful. EV: enterprise value. EBITDA: earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. * Non-covered companies' forecasts based on Bloomberg consensus.

BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH

Exhibit 7: Acer's historical P/B trading average since 2008 is at 0.9x Acer's historical P/B and -1/+1 standard deviation since 2008

260715_ml_acer_002

Source: BofA Global Research estimates, TEJ, company data, Bloomberg

BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH

Exhibit 6: Acer's historical P/E trading average since 2006, but excluding outliers over 2010-16, is at 11x

Acer's historical P/E and -1/+1 standard deviation since 2017

260715_ml_acer_003

Source: BofA Global Research estimates, TEJ, company data, Bloomberg

BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH

BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH

Exhibit 8: We model Acer's 2026-28 sales/EPS CAGR at 2%/4%

Acer's quarterly earnings summary, 2025-28E

NT$mn 1Q26 2Q26E 3Q26E 4Q26E 1Q27E 2Q27E 3Q27E 4Q27E 1Q28E 2Q28E 3Q28E 4Q28E 2025 2026E 2027E 2028E
Sales 72,423 85,296 86,987 82,564 78,807 82,107 87,723 85,210 81,098 84,508 88,300 85,770 275,628 327,270 333,848 339,676
Gross profit 8,086 9,500 9,872 9,316 8,679 9,271 9,970 9,712 8,940 9,618 10,191 9,906 29,990 36,774 37,632 38,656
Operating profit 803 1,781 1,913 1,968 1,626 1,758 1,935 2,069 1,681 1,886 2,103 2,213 5,144 6,464 7,387 7,883
Pretax profit 1,764 2,208 2,368 2,353 1,914 2,159 2,380 2,461 1,976 2,282 2,548 2,607 7,651 8,692 8,915 9,412
Net income 702 1,440 1,545 1,534 741 1,395 1,554 1,612 785 1,483 1,674 1,717 3,780 5,222 5,302 5,660
EPS (NT$) 0.23 0.48 0.51 0.51 0.25 0.46 0.52 0.54 0.26 0.49 0.56 0.57 1.26 1.74 1.76 1.88
Margin%
Gross margin 11.16% 11.14% 11.35% 11.28% 11.01% 11.29% 11.37% 11.40% 11.02% 11.38% 11.54% 11.55% 10.88% 11.24% 11.27% 11.38%
Operating margin 1.11% 2.09% 2.20% 2.38% 2.06% 2.14% 2.21% 2.43% 2.07% 2.23% 2.38% 2.58% 1.87% 1.98% 2.21% 2.32%
Pretax margin 2.44% 2.59% 2.72% 2.85% 2.43% 2.63% 2.71% 2.89% 2.44% 2.70% 2.89% 3.04% 2.78% 2.66% 2.67% 2.77%
Net margin 0.97% 1.69% 1.78% 1.86% 0.94% 1.70% 1.77% 1.89% 0.97% 1.75% 1.90% 2.00% 1.37% 1.60% 1.59% 1.67%
QoQ (%)
Sales -3% 18% 2% -5% -5% 4% 7% -3% -5% 4% 4% -3%
Gross profit -6% 17% 4% -6% -7% 7% 8% -3% -8% 8% 6% -3%
Operating profit -57% 122% 7% 3% -17% 8% 10% 7% -19% 12% 12% 5%
Pretax profit -19% 25% 7% -1% -19% 13% 10% 3% -20% 15% 12% 2%
Net income -34% 105% 7% -1% -52% 88% 11% 4% -51% 89% 13% 3%
YoY (%)
Sales 18% 28% 19% 11% 9% -4% 1% 3% 3% 3% 1% 1% 4% 19% 2% 2%
Gross profit 25% 41% 21% 8% 7% -2% 1% 4% 3% 4% 2% 2% 7% 23% 2% 3%
Operating profit -23% 143% 27% 5% 102% -1% 1% 5% 3% 7% 9% 7% 5% 26% 14% 7%
Pretax profit 84% 23% -13% 8% 9% -2% 1% 5% 3% 6% 7% 6% -15% 14% 3% 6%
Net income 36% 33% 39% 43% 6% -3% 1% 5% 6% 6% 8% 7% -32% 38% 2% 7%

Source: BofA Global Research estimates, company data

Exhibit 11: Acronyms and corresponding full forms

Acronyms

Acronym Acronym Acronym
CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate OPM Operating Margin PO Price Objective
EPS Earnings per share Opex Operating Expense ROE Return on Equity
GM Gross Margin P/B Price to Book Value Ratio S.D. Standard Deviation
NB Notebook P/E Price to Earnings Ratio U/P Underperform
NT$ New Taiwan Dollar PC Personal Computer US$ US Dollar

Source:

BofA Global Research

BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH

BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH

Price objective basis & risk

Acer (ASIYF)

Our PO of NT$26 is based on 15x 2H26-1H27E EPS, which is around 0.5SD above the company's historical trading average since 2006 but excluding outliers in 2010-16, when Acer's PC market share started recovering to 6-7%, which is similar to current level. We apply this multiple in view of PC demand recovery in 2024-25 from 2022-23 downcycle, sales/profit supported by key non-PC subsidiaries, and Acer's strong cash position.

Upside risks to our PO are (1) Acer's stronger-than-expected revenue growth from better-margin gaming PC business, (2) more stringent opex control, and (3) higher revenue/profits contribution from subsidiaries.

Downside risks to our PO are (1) increasing competition in the gaming PC market, (2) execution risks in opex control, and (3) limited revenue/profits contribution from new subsidiaries.