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260607_2395_研華_ms_advantech

更新 2026-06-08

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原始內容

M June 7, 2026 08:14 AM GMT

Advantech | Asia Pacific

May Sales -6% MoM/+32% YoY

In this report, we focus on Advantech's monthly sales, which we believe could be a catalyst for its share price.

Details:

  • May sales were NT$7,734mn (-6% MoM/+32% YoY).
  • QTD revenue reached 75% of consensus at NT$21,274mn (+4% QoQ/+19% YoY) and 77% of the company's guidance at NT$20,790mn (+2% QoQ/+17% YoY at mid-point).

Our view:

  • We see 2Q26 revenue tracking ahead of market expectations.
  • Management sees limited GM impact from elevated component costs, as it remains confident in passing most incremental costs to customers (see our report).
  • A solid B/B ratio continues to point to a strong revenue outlook, supported by demand from the semi equipment, robotics, and smart manufacturing segments.
  • We remain constructive on Advantech, as it is well positioned to benefit from accelerating IoT market growth amid edge AI proliferation.

Exhibit 1 : Advantech's monthly sales vs. its share price since 2010

260607_2395_研華_ms_advantech_001

Note: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Results shown do not include transaction costs. Source: Company data, TEJ, Morgan Stanley Research.

Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited+

Derrick Yang Equity Analyst Derrick.Yang@morganstanley.com +886 2 2730-2862
Vivi Huang Research Associate Vivi.Huang@morganstanley.com +886 2 2730-2860
Sharon Shih Equity Analyst Sharon.Shih@morganstanley.com +886 2 2730-2865
260607_2395_研華_ms_advantech_002

Advantech (2395.TW, 2395 TT)

Greater China Technology Hardware | Taiwan

Stock Rating Overweight
Industry View In-Line
Price target NT$400.00
Up/downside to price target (%) (19)
Shr price, close (Jun 5, 2026) NT$496.00
52-Week Range NT$539.00-271.00
Sh out, dil, curr (mn) 863
Mkt cap, curr (mn) US$13,561
EV, curr (mn) US$12,787
Avg daily trading value (mn) US$29
Fiscal Year Ending 12/24 12/25e 12/26e 12/27e
EPS (NT$)** 10.45 13.47 14.77 16.97
EPS (NT$)§ 10.02 11.43 15.34 17.83
Revenue, net (NT$ mn) 59,786 72,630 80,754 90,288
EBITDA (NT$ mn) 10,144 13,564 14,958 17,272
ModelWare net inc (NT 9,005 11,633 12,750 14,652
$ mn)
P/E 33.2 21.4 33.6 29.2
P/BV 5.8 4.5 7.2 6.7
RNOA (%) 26.7 38.1 41.1 48.1
ROE (%) 18.4 22.5 22.9 24.8
EV/EBITDA 27.0 16.3 26.5 22.8
Div yld (%) 2.7 2.6 2.0 2.2
FCF yld ratio (%) 3.4 3.7 2.6 2.7
Leverage (EOP) (%) (47.2) (49.6) (52.7) (54.4)

Unless otherwise noted, all metrics are based on Morgan Stanley ModelWare framework

** = Based on consensus methodology

§ = Consensus data is provided by Refinitiv Estimates

e = Morgan Stanley Research estimates

Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of Morgan Stanley Research. Investors should consider Morgan Stanley Research as only a single factor in making their investment decision.

圖片清單(已驗證 2026-07-02)

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檔名 size 分類 親眼所見內容
260607_2395_研華_ms_advantech_001.png 60KB 真資料圖 雙軸線圖「Share price(左軸,NT$)、Monthly Sales(右軸,NT$mn)」,橫軸 2010-2026,藍線股價、黃線月營收
260607_2395_研華_ms_advantech_003.png 66KB 真資料圖 股價與目標價沿革圖,藍線為股價,紅色虛線階梯為目標價,橫軸 2023/06-2026/06,標註評等調整點與價位數字