PDF 原檔:研究_SEMICON2026台灣工業股重點_FirstRead_20260902_original.pdf
原始內容
First Read
Taiwan Industrial Sector
Highlights from SEMICON Taiwan: Automation upcycle to extend into 2027
Optimistic order outlook shared by component and robot suppliers
Our key takeaway from SEMICON Taiwan 2026 is that the semiconductor capex upcycle remains firmly intact. BizLink, Advantech, Mirle Automation (6464.TW, not rated), Hiwin and Festo (unlisted) all cited robust order momentum, with visibility extending into 2027. Besides the semi industry, demand is particularly strong across PCB/substrate and CPO testing and assembly. Most companies expect the cyclical factory automation upturn to run through 2027, while the more bullish ones foresee that rising AI adoption in robotics, PCs and smartphones, will serve as the next growth driver, post the AI infrastructure capex boom peaks.
Hiwin/Mirle: Expanding product offering in semi/CPO
Hiwin and Mirle are automation solution providers. Hiwin is highly vertically integrated, while Mirle integrates software and hardware. At the booth, Hiwin exhibited new products such as a wafer level testing platform and a coupler/FAU assembly module for CPO testing equipment. These products have started commercial sales. Although the CPO-related product sales mix is still small, order momentum has been brisk. Hiwin also demonstrated a positioning stage that can tilt and move to address sensing failure caused by warpage. Hiwin expects the FA upcycle to last at least into 2027. Hiwin is also bullish about AI-aided special-purpose robotics. Mirle showcased its comprehensive semiconductor factory automation solutions, including OHT (overhead hoist transport) systems, EFEM (equipment front-end module) platforms, robots (robotic dogs) and AMR. Its OHT solutions are used in semi, ABF substrates and panel-level packaging formats, including CoPoS (chip-on-panel-on-substrate) and FOPLP (fan-out panel-level packaging).
BizLink: Solid SPE orders until H227, expanding service scope
BizLink makes 14% of sales from capital equipment (+52 YoY in Q226). Our previous understanding was that BizLink supplies cables, fluid distribution systems and boxbuilding services for semi equipment companies, mainly for semi front-end manufacturing. At the booth, BizLink indicated it also assembles edge-computing server racks, PDUs (power distribution units) and all other sub modules to help semi equipment customers with faster delivery. Order momentum is robust and visibility is high into 2027.
Advantech: Tailored solution for semi - timely image processing
Advantech demonstrated IPC solutions for alignment and AOI (automated optical inspection) and testing. These systems can process large data volume images with no latency. To support more efficient data processing, Advantech demonstrated its offering of high-computing power server racks for support. Separately, Advantech showcased its new tablet solutions for fab operations.
Figure 1: Valuation summary of our covered stocks
| Market cap | Price 03-Sep | Price target | Earnings growth (%) | Earnings growth (%) | P/E (x) | P/E (x) | P/B (x) | P/B (x) | ROE (%) | ROE (%) | Div Yld (%) | Div Yld (%) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Company | Ticker | (US$m) | (LC$) | (LC$) | Rating | 2026E | 2027E | 2026E | 2027E | 2026E | 2027E | 2026E | 2027E | 2026E | 2027E |
| Airtac International | 1590.TW | 8,675 | 1,375.00 | 1,877.00 | Buy | 48.9 | 13.5 | 22.0 | 19.4 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 22.3 | 22.7 | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| Hiwin Technologies | 2049.TW | 3,845 | 344.50 | 484.00 | Buy | 126.5 | 15.1 | 35.3 | 30.6 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 9.0 | 9.7 | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| Advantech | 2395.TW | 18,351 | 674.00 | 744.00 | Buy | 64.6 | 24.2 | 33.6 | 27.0 | 9.3 | 8.6 | 29.6 | 33.0 | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| Sinbon Electronics | 3023.TW | 2,461 | 325.00 | 340.00 | Buy | 12.6 | 16.2 | 22.2 | 19.1 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 21.0 | 22.5 | 3.1 | 3.2 |
| BizLink Holding | 3665.TW | 12,915 | 2,100.00 | 3,617.00 | Buy | 43.6 | 82.9 | 31.7 | 17.3 | 7.2 | 5.6 | 25.0 | 36.6 | 0.7 | 1.9 |
Source: Reuters, UBS estimates. Note: Prices as of 3 Sept 2026.
Equities
Taiwan
Electric Components & Equipment
Ally Chen
Analyst ally.chen@ubs.com +886-2-8722 7347
Megan Li
Analyst
megan.li@ubs.com +886-2-8722 7393
Valuation Method and Risk Statement
Our price targets for Sinbon, Advantech, BizLink, Hiwin and Airtac are based on PE multiples.
The key risks for Sinbon are: 1) a global economic slowdown impacting end demand; 2) volatile green energy demand driven by changes in government policy; 3) a slower-thanexpected change in the product mix leading to slower-than-expected gross margin expansion; and 4) a rise in raw material prices.
The key risks for Advantech are: 1) slower-than-expected edge-AI product adoption; 2) competition in the non-AI IPC segment, especially in China; 3) rising component prices; 4) NTD appreciation against the USD; 5) slower macroeconomic growth that could negatively impact overall capex allocation; and 6) demand growth that could attract more new suppliers to join the market, which may intensify competition and possibly bring price pressure.
The key risks for BizLink are: 1) a global economic slowdown impacting end-demand; 2) a slower-than-expected change in the product mix leading to slower-than-expected gross margin expansion; and 3) a rise in raw material prices.
The key risks for Hiwin are: 1) weaker than expected capex demand in the China market; and 2) lower than expected margin expansion due to positive operating leverage.
The key risks for Airtac are:) a slower-than-expected cyclical demand recovery; 2) fiercer competition or a price war, which could put downside pressure on sales and profitability; and 3) lower-than-expected margin expansion from scale benefits.
The key industry-specific risks are: unexpected changes in the underlying global macro environment; currency and interest rate movement; and commodity price inflation.
Required Disclosures
This document has been prepared by UBS Securities Pte. Ltd., Taipei Branch, an affiliate of UBS AG. UBS AG, its subsidiaries, branches and affiliates, including former Credit Suisse AG and its subsidiaries, branches and affiliates are referred to herein as "UBS".
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